Fresh-Oak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$467

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 09-08 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% -$13

Politics

0% 67% +$0

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3000 on february 2	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	No	+$1	02-02 00:22
ethereum above 3200 on february 1	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$1	02-01 00:27
ethereum above 3100 on january 31	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	No	+$1	01-31 01:19
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$1	01-30 01:43
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	No	+$1	01-29 01:37
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$1	01-28 04:06
ethereum above 2600 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	Yes	+$2	01-27 00:48
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	No	+$1	01-26 02:02
xrp above 2pt5 on january 25	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	No	+$1	01-25 03:26
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	No	+$1	01-23 02:35
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	No	+$3	01-24 03:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	No	+$2	05-30 23:48
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	Yes	+$2	05-30 13:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	1	$1.1K	1,054	0	+1,054	Yes	+$3	05-29 01:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?	1	$1.0K	1,051	0	+1,051	No	+$2	05-28 01:22
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?	1	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$2	05-27 00:52
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?	1	$1.0K	1,048	0	+1,048	No	+$2	05-26 01:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?	1	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	No	+$2	05-25 01:12
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?	1	$1.0K	1,043	0	+1,043	No	+$2	05-24 01:50
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 23?	1	$1.0K	1,040	0	+1,040	Yes	+$2	05-23 01:49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	1	$1.0K	1,037	0	+1,037	Yes	+$2	05-22 02:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-29 02:19
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-21 03:20
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	08-18 02:08
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-06 03:01
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	No	$0	01-19 10:47
ethereum above 2400 on february 6	1	$7	1,106	0	+1,106	No	-$7	02-06 01:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-08 02:33
will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-14 08:24
ethereum above 2200 on february 13	1	$3	1,111	0	+1,111	No	-$3	02-13 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 02:33:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeca512…
08-18 02:08:10	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd13c38…
08-06 03:01:51	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xef761e…
07-29 02:19:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14a9a1…
07-21 03:20:12	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x879d4e…
07-14 08:24:50	will bitcoin dip to 48k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8784b7…
07-09 04:33:34	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x292928…
07-03 09:06:47	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf5ff14…
06-06 00:59:10	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0xa0e198…
06-02 06:56:32	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xada7bc…
05-30 23:48:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,057	0x4aef92…
05-30 13:07:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,055	0x0fe162…
05-29 01:30:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,051	0xab0c80…
05-28 01:22:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,049	0x0c8bec…
05-27 00:52:41	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,048	0x635fa6…
05-26 01:11:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,048	100¢	$1,046	0x182c4d…
05-25 01:12:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1,046	100¢	$1,044	0xfa1e43…
05-24 01:50:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?	No	BUY	1,043	100¢	$1,041	0x083480…
05-23 01:49:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	1,040	100¢	$1,038	0xaed5ab…
05-22 02:33:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,035	0x8438ca…
05-21 09:44:54	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e5411…
05-18 01:17:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,063	0¢	$2	0x2e7e1c…
05-09 01:19:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0x10c7fb…
05-06 06:20:46	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd0d8ab…
04-30 13:11:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,083	0¢	$3	0x6be93b…
04-19 01:02:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1,090	0¢	$2	0x55a2be…
04-14 02:43:43	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x38120c…
04-10 03:23:27	will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on april 10	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0x114d49…
04-06 11:47:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x13f4d1…
04-01 01:25:59	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$3	0x61d327…
03-23 02:05:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1,040	0¢	$3	0xf37285…
03-12 02:17:11	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,105	0¢	$2	0x3ed4dc…
02-27 09:31:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$3	0x38576a…
02-13 01:30:51	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$3	0xfd0821…
02-06 01:58:13	ethereum above 2400 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,106	1¢	$7	0x4047a6…
02-02 00:22:32	ethereum above 3000 on february 2	No	BUY	1,082	100¢	$1,081	0xa22bb9…
02-01 00:27:16	ethereum above 3200 on february 1	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0xaaae5d…
01-31 01:19:52	ethereum above 3100 on january 31	No	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,078	0x9e79b8…
01-30 01:43:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0x1e93c3…
01-29 01:37:16	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,076	0x6ebae5…
01-28 04:06:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0x85cddc…
01-27 00:48:31	ethereum above 2600 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0xb32967…
01-26 02:02:12	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0x50f116…
01-25 03:26:42	xrp above 2pt5 on january 25	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x7db737…
01-24 03:01:02	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,062	0xd6d165…
01-23 02:35:28	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0x0a08cb…
01-19 10:47:26	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6d83d0…
01-18 09:40:48	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf22647…