Unequaled-Carp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$451

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 07-10 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

59% 36% +$104

Tech

25% 33% +$16

Politics

8% 14% -$12

Pop-Culture

7% 50% -$4

Sports

1% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	7	$141	238	183	+54	Yes	+$103	05-19 00:39
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$55	53	53	+0	Yes	+$35	06-08 23:59
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	2	$44	34	34	+0	Yes	+$24	05-14 12:18
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	4	$25	833	270	+562	No	+$1	05-23 00:55
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	3	$24	52	20	+32	Yes	+$12	06-09 03:44
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	3	$20	67	35	+32	No	-$6	05-16 07:20
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	3	$19	115	64	+51	Yes	-$3	05-19 00:38
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	1	$15	446	0	+446	No	-$15	05-14 13:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$4	05-25 01:16
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$12	182	182	+0	No	-$8	05-29 05:03
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	2	$11	33	33	+0	No	+$1	05-16 23:48
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	19	19	+0	No	+$2	05-16 23:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$9	147	147	+0	No	-$1	05-17 00:07
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	204	0	+204	No	-$7	05-14 06:33
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$6	18	0	+18	Max Holloway	-$6	07-10 11:49
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?	1	$5	31	0	+31	No	-$5	06-09 04:15
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$5	36	0	+36	No	-$5	06-26 02:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	45	0	+45	No	-$5	05-14 11:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	05-31 05:27
will a new gemini flagship be released by june 19 2026	1	$4	111	0	+111	No	-$4	06-17 01:02
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	1	$3	30	0	+30	No	-$3	06-16 02:53
Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$3	118	0	+118	No	-$3	05-21 00:44
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$2	67	0	+67	No	-$2	05-14 11:40
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$2	14	0	+14	Yes	-$2	06-17 00:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$2	24	0	+24	No	-$2	05-14 23:58
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?	1	$2	45	0	+45	No	-$2	05-19 00:39
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	05-14 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 11:49:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xdb7154…
06-26 02:39:07	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6c659f…
06-17 01:02:59	will a new gemini flagship be released by june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x859b2b…
06-17 00:22:37	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7370b6…
06-16 02:53:54	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa56bac…
06-09 04:15:33	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3edd73…
06-09 03:44:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x2a13ec…
06-09 03:43:33	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x4f4704…
06-08 23:59:15	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x009182…
05-31 05:28:04	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x80b6bc…
05-31 05:27:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xae3781…
05-29 05:03:32	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0x5688f5…
05-25 01:16:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x16cbba…
05-24 12:53:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8b7295…
05-23 00:55:35	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	1¢	$2	0xab01dd…
05-21 00:44:11	Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$3	0xa256d2…
05-19 08:49:37	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x7ed332…
05-19 03:35:18	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	5¢	$13	0x49a58a…
05-19 00:39:15	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x4aa935…
05-19 00:39:01	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x154ef3…
05-19 00:38:54	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	No	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xb65cf4…
05-17 11:46:05	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	No	SELL	64	13¢	$8	0x29afbe…
05-17 00:07:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	3¢	$4	0x98421d…
05-16 23:48:33	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x7adc9f…
05-16 23:48:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x630f3b…
05-16 23:48:01	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x20ae5d…
05-16 08:27:35	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0xef8232…
05-16 07:22:41	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9a8f6b…
05-16 07:20:44	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x4e7840…
05-16 07:18:20	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	SELL	35	21¢	$7	0xd66cf2…
05-15 23:46:50	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x6c15ad…
05-15 10:37:27	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	27	24¢	$6	0xff8d69…
05-15 07:11:40	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x138e46…
05-15 01:29:49	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	No	BUY	64	13¢	$8	0x19a7ff…
05-14 23:58:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xdc9591…
05-14 23:58:26	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	2¢	$5	0x51d687…
05-14 13:02:34	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	3¢	$15	0xcbedea…
05-14 12:49:58	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7e5084…
05-14 12:49:51	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0x94e552…
05-14 12:18:17	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xb8aec0…
05-14 11:40:41	Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x3f2b96…
05-14 11:39:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x337f62…
05-14 11:39:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0xd4e797…
05-14 11:39:09	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xd31a01…
05-14 06:33:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xce6d83…
05-14 06:06:23	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6b7844…
05-14 05:58:15	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	125	85¢	$106	0xff5ffc…
05-13 04:26:44	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x333663…
05-13 04:25:39	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x14e6f9…
05-13 04:21:50	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	125	3¢	$4	0x019c71…