Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

108

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$130

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-27 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

86% 54% -$3

Politics

12% 69% +$9

Tech

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes		+1	$1	76¢	$1	+$0	10-03 05:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:41
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	2	$2	5	+5	No	$0	08-19 23:12
Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	2	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-01 02:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-08 21:16
will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-27 06:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-06 17:55
wti closes above 98 on september 10 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-10 09:02
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-07 20:27
spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	08-19 11:28
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-22 15:46
will warsh say productivity during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-21 15:35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 22:55
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-20 21:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 20:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	09-18 18:36
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-11 21:09
Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-23 20:07
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-21 15:34
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-14 23:20
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-17 07:16
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$0	09-11 06:17
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-15 22:40
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 07:20
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-14 14:54
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-20 22:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-10 09:17
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-08 05:11
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-14 06:50
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-18 09:59
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:31:24	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcd97a9…
10-20 04:28:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x47b2ba…
10-19 20:25:00	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xec7b68…
10-19 12:24:36	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x90550f…
10-19 04:24:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x25b5f6…
10-18 20:24:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa8d32d…
10-18 12:07:17	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x53be14…
10-17 23:14:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xae44ef…
10-17 14:26:21	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfac504…
10-16 13:01:51	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe42825…
10-16 04:31:49	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9bb420…
10-15 19:01:35	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe60a7f…
10-15 09:38:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x03b14d…
10-15 01:12:20	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4b59aa…
10-14 17:09:31	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3780fb…
10-14 09:07:05	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8b5520…
10-14 01:02:58	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5c212d…
10-13 15:26:23	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa6e730…
10-12 14:57:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2d97aa…
10-12 06:52:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x459944…
10-11 22:52:21	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xae5c48…
10-11 14:36:49	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x688149…
10-11 04:32:54	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4fd2cc…
10-10 19:17:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x50d8d4…
10-10 05:39:33	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc513ac…
10-09 15:27:19	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f0361…
10-09 05:17:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x874159…
10-08 21:16:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdac99d…
10-08 21:14:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7a984b…
10-08 13:07:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x27b556…
10-08 03:55:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7030cd…
10-07 18:18:57	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf070d…
10-07 10:04:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7106e0…
10-07 02:02:08	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xed9c71…
10-06 17:55:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9c49db…
10-06 17:48:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9e69d6…
10-06 16:41:57	Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe2f845…
10-06 08:11:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5109e4…
10-06 00:08:49	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcd1971…
10-05 15:29:01	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9ffaec…
10-05 00:48:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2289ec…
10-03 05:06:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb3094a…
10-02 12:54:12	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x717180…
10-02 12:35:59	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcc06a2…
10-02 01:36:51	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcf5a8a…
10-01 11:20:59	will googl dip to 340 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x037a0b…
10-01 03:20:02	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x986587…
09-30 17:21:30	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x039c2d…
09-30 07:42:06	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x783543…
09-29 11:39:23	will hood dip to 110 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd81213…
09-29 03:39:09	will meta reach 740 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7b15ba…
09-28 19:39:00	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x371228…
09-27 22:45:54	will ewy dip to 182 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x49bc57…
09-27 14:45:08	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3142a5…
09-27 06:05:18	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf2e436…
09-27 05:40:56	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1a0d1e…
09-26 18:06:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd8f4d4…
09-26 09:23:56	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x341638…
09-26 08:16:09	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt20 in september	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd36fcc…
09-25 21:07:05	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6d8b18…
09-25 12:41:20	will ewy reach 190 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6223ce…
09-25 04:15:06	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe30b6d…
09-24 04:08:00	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x838162…
09-23 20:07:19	Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x09e912…
09-22 23:49:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4bbc5c…
09-22 15:46:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x02e8f8…
09-22 07:35:22	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe3a00a…
09-21 23:35:15	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x4b32ef…
09-21 15:34:14	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x290de7…
09-21 07:20:00	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x785d3c…
09-20 21:27:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4de1c3…
09-19 07:41:12	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4467c1…
09-19 07:12:58	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0d60a7…
09-18 18:36:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x9c38e4…
09-18 09:16:55	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x581149…
09-17 18:01:09	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x040984…
09-17 07:16:45	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7273d4…
09-16 06:42:13	will warsh say scenario during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xde4093…
09-15 22:40:13	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x60dccc…
09-14 23:20:43	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xed516e…
09-14 23:17:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x021e89…
09-14 23:15:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2b0f95…
09-14 14:54:18	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x346272…
09-14 06:50:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $159 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x533485…
09-13 22:12:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc3762a…
09-11 21:09:06	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x52aadb…
09-11 06:22:39	will nvda reach 224 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfda269…
09-11 06:17:58	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x441d0b…
09-10 09:17:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc996e1…
09-10 09:02:48	wti closes above 98 on september 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xcb9ad7…
09-09 20:16:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61f16c…
09-09 12:15:06	Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xbf1f8e…
09-08 22:55:06	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x286436…
09-08 14:34:46	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xb644c0…
09-08 05:11:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x502415…
09-07 20:27:40	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xedd1a0…
09-07 11:43:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc96b2c…
09-01 11:06:39	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2218aa…
09-01 02:57:16	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa2e9bf…
09-01 02:57:13	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa6d0bf…