Decent-Example — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

134

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 09-29 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 87% -$1

Other

28% 71% -$6

Sports

15% 19% -$13

Politics

5% 60% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	4	$438	220	220	+0	No	$0	05-14 12:04
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$283	142	142	+0	No	$0	03-09 05:35
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$278	140	140	+0	No	$0	03-09 05:58
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$278	139	139	+0	No	$0	03-08 10:46
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$277	139	139	+0	No	$0	03-08 11:09
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$277	139	139	+0	No	$0	03-02 03:54
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$276	138	138	+0	No	$0	03-02 04:24
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$270	135	135	+0	No	$0	04-07 08:51
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$0	04-26 11:42
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$234	117	117	+0	No	$0	05-16 05:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$234	119	119	+0	Yes	-$4	05-26 12:14
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$230	115	115	+0	No	$0	05-16 05:59
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	05-09 11:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 27	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	03-27 13:08
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 26	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	03-27 02:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	03-25 12:04
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	1	$146	147	0	+147	No	+$0	03-14 11:17
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 13	1	$146	146	0	+146	No	+$0	03-13 06:28
bitcoin above 66k on march 12	1	$146	146	0	+146	Yes	+$0	03-12 11:53
bitcoin above 64k on march 10	1	$146	146	0	+146	Yes	+$0	03-10 06:26
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$144	144	0	+144	No	+$0	03-16 12:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 17	1	$144	144	0	+144	No	+$0	03-17 11:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 22	1	$142	142	0	+142	No	+$0	03-22 10:31
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	1	$142	142	0	+142	Yes	+$0	03-21 04:24
bitcoin above 74k on march 20	1	$141	142	0	+142	No	+$0	03-20 12:04
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 115 139	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	03-18 12:27
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	03-30 09:46
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$0	03-29 11:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 28	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$0	03-28 09:38
bitcoin above 72k on february 23	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	02-23 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 12:26:38	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x237d3a…
09-29 12:25:59	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in September?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0d6616…
09-29 12:25:35	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf07cdb…
08-28 07:45:30	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x23f906…
07-10 05:51:43	will open dip to 3 25 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x819b3d…
07-10 05:48:58	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8591cb…
06-26 10:00:05	amzn above 260 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xf48f96…
06-01 08:17:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on June 2?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x2fef87…
06-01 08:12:29	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xba650f…
05-31 11:41:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x31333a…
05-31 11:36:28	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4833b4…
05-30 10:08:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x52bc01…
05-30 10:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x00bb63…
05-28 07:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x35599a…
05-28 07:48:51	Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x58dbb7…
05-28 07:45:35	Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	Atlanta Braves	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x5f2175…
05-27 12:00:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x4a65a4…
05-27 11:54:04	Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb7cb66…
05-27 11:47:03	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xfbc169…
05-26 12:22:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd0db84…
05-26 12:14:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	119	96¢	$115	0xd5298b…
05-25 12:03:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb1e4b9…
05-24 12:31:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc1457c…
05-21 03:30:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2519ab…
05-19 12:14:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7109a5…
05-19 12:00:42	Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xd6fb4a…
05-18 12:53:28	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x3b6257…
05-17 10:32:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xf32289…
05-16 06:17:00	Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x0832b3…
05-16 06:08:08	LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Disguised	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xc14745…
05-16 05:59:13	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x12aeb1…
05-16 05:20:18	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x96ddca…
05-16 05:17:48	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x5433d7…
05-16 04:18:25	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x80340c…
05-14 12:12:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x590bc3…
05-14 12:04:43	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x46741c…
05-14 12:01:38	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Chicago Cubs	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x5bb363…
05-14 11:44:48	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xe996f6…
05-13 04:25:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2fa52d…
05-12 12:21:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x9d57e3…
05-11 12:01:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2ae681…
05-10 11:40:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x4f3c46…
05-09 11:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x594eb1…
05-09 11:17:46	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x38d201…
05-09 11:14:09	Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers	FaZe Vegas	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x47a85a…
05-09 10:58:56	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6f6f4e…
05-08 06:22:43	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $260 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x27db90…
05-07 12:38:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x3e422c…
05-07 12:34:31	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0xaea5f0…
05-07 12:13:27	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x723d33…
05-05 07:02:04	Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 5?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x2ab3ec…
05-04 11:47:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x862525…
05-03 10:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on May 4?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x843d64…
05-02 11:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2a7c58…
05-01 07:55:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x079f30…
04-30 09:24:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb8cf73…
04-29 07:17:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x725333…
04-28 04:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xae1e6d…
04-27 03:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2110af…
04-26 12:12:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xffa44c…
04-26 11:42:36	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xb65545…
04-26 11:22:34	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xbb865a…
04-25 12:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe2bf2c…
04-24 12:46:02	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x2c7389…
04-23 08:36:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xa1f700…
04-23 08:23:00	Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe77b24…
04-22 09:10:36	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xae483a…
04-21 11:50:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 21	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x370624…
04-20 04:55:30	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x3894fb…
04-19 11:53:22	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x5c2895…
04-19 11:46:54	dota2 ts8 flc 2026 04 19	Team Spirit	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x04dbb4…
04-15 04:03:24	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 115 139	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x669289…
04-14 10:28:55	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xa70b58…
04-14 10:22:33	atp blanc galan 2026 04 13	Daniel Galan	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7ee862…
04-13 06:26:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x523841…
04-12 09:52:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x8d434b…
04-12 09:41:53	mlb sf bal 2026 04 12	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x49296c…
04-10 06:43:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xa80786…
04-09 09:51:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x8f475e…
04-09 09:49:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	690	0¢	$1	0xe91c27…
04-08 11:37:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 8	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xe560a1…
04-08 09:26:41	nba mil det 2026 04 08	Bucks	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x827969…
04-07 08:59:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x518914…
04-07 08:51:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x807bc7…
04-07 07:59:39	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xd3cdf9…
04-06 06:35:03	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x60bb22…
04-04 11:42:43	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0xf8d20f…
04-02 10:18:41	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	No	BUY	645	0¢	$1	0x0f4c01…
04-02 10:17:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	Yes	BUY	760	0¢	$2	0x853c25…
04-02 10:15:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	No	BUY	697	0¢	$2	0x6bd4d7…
04-01 09:54:09	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 115 139	Yes	BUY	623	0¢	$2	0x9272c6…
04-01 09:52:27	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	No	BUY	640	0¢	$1	0xa6d477…
04-01 09:50:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	747	0¢	$2	0xe4ca9a…
03-31 12:05:43	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x0dfd5c…
03-31 12:02:21	lol gal sly 2026 03 31	Galions	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5f0284…
03-30 09:46:24	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 30	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x8d5832…
03-29 11:31:24	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x953398…
03-28 09:38:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 28	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xf91705…
03-28 08:12:39	nba phi cha 2026 03 28	Hornets	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x37ff05…
03-27 13:08:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 27	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xde5fe3…