Yearly-Hypothesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

16 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$71

$71 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 01:15
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 02:20
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 02:35
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:20
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 02:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 01:20
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 00:45
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 02:55
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-04 23:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 03:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8336f4…
05-05 02:55:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x850b86…
05-05 02:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6f6737…
05-05 02:35:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0195f…
05-05 02:20:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0a0685…
05-05 02:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8ea4d8…
05-05 01:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x513083…
05-05 01:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7bca28…
05-05 01:20:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x93b30a…
05-05 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae2d9b…
05-05 00:45:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc315d3…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6e6417…
05-04 23:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5f213d…
05-04 23:25:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9f1e62…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbf9883…
05-04 23:20:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x145274…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	10	$604	19	05-05 03:30
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	8	$570	101	05-05 03:30
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$878	43	05-05 03:29
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$1.01K	23	05-05 03:27
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	5	$5.74K	6	05-05 02:15
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$725	7	05-05 02:30
Unequaled-Title 0x28b9…531f	4	$634	9	05-05 01:55
(anonymous) 0xd31d…af2a	3	$1.02K	10	05-05 02:35