Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
511
Trades
1,059
lifetime
Volume
$5.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$40
19 positions
First seen
2026-08-19
last 10-28 11:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
68% 55% +$49
Politics
21% 41% -$139
Sports
7% 59% +$26
Crypto
2% 27% -$15
Tech
2% 67% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $5 40¢ $6 +$1 10-02 18:58
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +9 $5 62¢ $6 +$1 09-26 20:24
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +11 $5 45¢ $5 +$0 10-22 20:01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +6 $4 76¢ $5 +$1 10-08 05:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $5 68¢ $5 $0 10-21 17:59
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $4 44¢ $4 $0 10-22 20:21
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +29 $4 11¢ $3 -$1 08-26 22:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +6 $1 34¢ $2 +$1 10-21 20:21
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $5 22¢ $1 -$4 09-11 04:06
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2 $2 62¢ $1 $0 10-25 23:44
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +30 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 10-19 14:21
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +12 $4 3¢ $0 -$4 10-23 02:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +33 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 09-20 01:49
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +7 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-14 05:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 No +4 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 09-23 10:05
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31 Yes +4 $4 3¢ $0 -$3 10-27 00:24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 10-27 20:17
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +1 -$1 3¢ $0 +$1 09-28 12:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-25 23:48