Instructive-Completion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

21.3%

Resolved

Trades

518

lifetime

Volume

$8.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$56

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-19 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

53% 20% $-180

Politics

35% 0% $-22

Crypto

13% 20% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes		-232	$-8	24¢	$-56	$-48	06-03 00:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	22	$583	2,402	3,322	-919	open	—	06-16 12:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	19	$376	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	05-05 22:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	12	$340	581	1,135	-554	open	—	06-12 16:46
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	13	$286	580	455	+125	open	—	05-07 21:06
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	14	$240	1,161	1,161	+0	open	—	06-11 17:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	10	$209	343	343	+0	open	—	06-11 19:25
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	13	$176	593	232	+361	open	—	06-13 23:15
bitcoin above 78k on april 23	4	$157	209	196	+12	open	—	04-23 15:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$144	733	733	+0	open	—	06-16 16:29
wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	7	$139	215	152	+63	open	—	06-12 00:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	11	$127	677	677	+0	No	$-31	04-22 00:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$125	307	307	+0	No	$-5	05-05 05:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	5	$122	299	299	+0	No	$-18	04-24 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$119	0	155	-155	open	—	06-12 09:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	6	$116	284	284	+0	open	—	06-11 19:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	6	$107	323	0	+323	open	—	04-24 17:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	14	$104	433	490	-57	open	—	05-27 17:36
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$102	47	92	-45	open	—	06-08 11:55
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	7	$100	219	172	+47	open	—	04-28 21:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	1	$97	0	100	-100	open	—	06-14 22:42
will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	2	$92	278	278	+0	open	—	06-08 12:40
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	7	$91	0	118	-118	open	—	06-04 15:28
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	3	$90	458	458	+0	Yes	+$20	05-09 15:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	2	$88	276	276	+0	open	—	06-05 01:26
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$80	177	58	+119	open	—	04-21 20:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$80	120	120	+0	open	—	05-12 13:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$79	65	65	+0	open	—	04-22 20:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$73	886	0	+886	open	—	05-03 18:41
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	3	$72	253	253	+0	open	—	06-16 16:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$72	180	180	+0	open	—	06-11 17:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 01:25:11	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xa7440b…
06-17 22:01:29	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	27¢	$16	0x2b7dd0…
06-16 16:29:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	733	6¢	$43	0x580715…
06-16 16:28:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	278	8¢	$21	0xe91482…
06-16 16:28:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	365	3¢	$12	0x9e0a49…
06-16 16:27:43	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	SELL	253	2¢	$5	0xda7bd7…
06-16 16:27:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	202	7¢	$14	0xd57b4a…
06-16 12:42:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,202	1¢	$11	0xf84a61…
06-16 10:41:18	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x78dce2…
06-15 17:39:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x16de91…
06-15 17:22:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa35bfd…
06-15 17:11:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0xbeed80…
06-15 17:11:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	430	10¢	$43	0x392b56…
06-15 17:03:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x11cbe0…
06-15 17:03:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x071aea…
06-15 16:44:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0xbc6b99…
06-15 16:32:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	81	8¢	$7	0x102de7…
06-15 16:31:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	627	8¢	$48	0x1a7f16…
06-15 16:16:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x276c71…
06-15 15:53:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	527	11¢	$58	0x4280ba…
06-15 15:29:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xfe72c3…
06-15 15:28:24	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	571	14¢	$80	0x1096e0…
06-15 15:28:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	162	13¢	$21	0x5d299f…
06-15 13:03:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,493	10¢	$149	0x7f5e33…
06-14 22:43:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xba7a83…
06-14 22:42:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x98e46d…
06-14 18:52:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	81	28¢	$23	0xfd57ba…
06-14 18:38:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	125	27¢	$34	0xa73f8b…
06-14 17:00:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0xeb9ef0…
06-14 14:21:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	191	34¢	$65	0xdf082f…
06-14 03:48:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x69d5e8…
06-13 23:15:57	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x32bfc5…
06-13 23:14:06	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	220	16¢	$35	0xeab59d…
06-13 23:02:42	wnba ind conn 2026 06 13	Connecticut Sun	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x0ab770…
06-13 22:33:22	wnba ind conn 2026 06 13	Connecticut Sun	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x4a823e…
06-13 04:09:12	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	232	22¢	$51	0x62352d…
06-13 04:07:12	RFK Jr. Out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x357948…
06-12 16:48:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x1a1d4f…
06-12 16:46:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	439	5¢	$20	0x5146bb…
06-12 15:40:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xaf9da1…
06-12 13:24:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0xa29a39…
06-12 13:22:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0xa50744…
06-12 13:19:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	136	12¢	$16	0xf16bc5…
06-12 13:13:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xe9c562…
06-12 13:05:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	202	12¢	$24	0x8f7ba0…
06-12 10:45:55	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xe9bdcf…
06-12 10:45:12	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0xc2a09d…
06-12 10:44:57	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0x1611ab…
06-12 10:44:43	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x072a1e…
06-12 10:17:42	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x2aec00…
06-12 10:17:22	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	75	21¢	$16	0xe0fec3…
06-12 10:12:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xd92584…
06-12 10:05:54	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x3a5229…
06-12 10:05:27	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x708f1b…
06-12 10:05:00	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x88daa6…
06-12 10:04:27	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xe3ce3b…
06-12 09:59:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xcfe32c…
06-12 09:46:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	155	77¢	$119	0x2b94ce…
06-12 00:07:33	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf68fe0…
06-12 00:07:04	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xb6b451…
06-12 00:02:07	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	SELL	152	29¢	$44	0xe3ab86…
06-12 00:01:15	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1e7bb1…
06-11 23:59:16	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x1d0cd5…
06-11 23:58:21	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x35f0b4…
06-11 23:36:34	wnba nyl atl 2026 06 11	New York Liberty	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xe537d3…
06-11 19:26:13	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	SELL	45	9¢	$4	0x647bd4…
06-11 19:26:01	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0x172193…
06-11 19:25:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xd54c5a…
06-11 19:25:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	146	18¢	$26	0xcf1798…
06-11 17:42:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	180	15¢	$27	0xd77033…
06-11 17:40:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	888	6¢	$55	0x6d62c3…
06-11 17:39:40	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	273	10¢	$27	0xb57b4e…
06-10 22:06:22	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x6c5c18…
06-10 22:04:36	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x74a0f6…
06-10 21:49:01	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x418d39…
06-10 21:47:58	wti up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x954d9c…
06-10 21:47:27	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x2950fc…
06-10 21:04:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x57af33…
06-10 21:02:24	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	141	26¢	$37	0x64d609…
06-10 00:35:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	146	24¢	$35	0xc6a7bb…
06-09 16:38:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x170153…
06-09 16:38:15	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1b37ec…
06-09 16:32:51	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd1585c…
06-09 16:32:24	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcf5adf…
06-09 16:30:12	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe3cf25…
06-09 16:21:13	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xb52545…
06-09 16:18:51	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xcf54ce…
06-09 16:18:00	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd99681…
06-08 12:40:36	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	SELL	278	15¢	$42	0xabe1d4…
06-08 11:55:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x6a7d74…
06-08 11:50:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	102	28¢	$28	0xcb8489…
06-08 11:48:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0xa81035…
06-08 11:48:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	291	10¢	$29	0x01caf5…
06-08 07:12:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0x7d5ecd…
06-08 07:08:46	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xc554ac…
06-08 03:54:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	135	16¢	$21	0x68e436…
06-06 16:19:10	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0x19c509…
06-06 15:37:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0xeda303…
06-06 03:12:21	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x47afe7…
06-06 01:38:33	wnba conn chi 2026 06 05	Connecticut Sun	SELL	98	12¢	$12	0x858d6d…