Instructive-Completion — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$54

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

12 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$240

$240 lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$66

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 23:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

40% 67% +$35

Crypto

31% 67% +$19

Politics

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-110	$-31	34¢	$-38	$-6	05-08 11:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	-85	$-13	24¢	$-20	$-7	05-07 12:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	+100	$14	8¢	$8	$-7	05-07 19:05
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	+125	$25	1¢	$1	$-24	05-07 21:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?	1	$50	83	0	+83	Yes	+$33	05-06 00:58
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx	1	$35	100	0	+100	open	—	05-09 18:51
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$31	0	110	-110	open	—	05-08 11:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$25	125	0	+125	open	—	05-07 21:06
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever	1	$20	62	0	+62	Dallas Wings	+$42	05-09 12:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	1	$19	137	0	+137	No	$-19	05-07 18:51
Chicago Sky vs. Portland Fire	1	$15	56	0	+56	Chicago Sky	$-15	05-10 02:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$14	100	0	+100	open	—	05-07 19:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$13	0	85	-85	open	—	05-07 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$8	0	78	-78	No	+$8	05-07 23:01
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-10 23:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6?	1	$5	0	86	-86	No	+$5	05-06 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 23:06:27	Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf1d260…
05-10 02:18:54	Chicago Sky vs. Portland Fire	Portland Fire	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xfa8880…
05-09 18:51:17	Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf98111…
05-09 12:48:34	Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever	Dallas Wings	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x2b4369…
05-08 11:39:35	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	29¢	$31	0x01f720…
05-07 23:01:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	10¢	$8	0xd2f02f…
05-07 21:06:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x0a9d51…
05-07 19:05:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x7abb5f…
05-07 18:51:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	137	14¢	$19	0xfd723c…
05-07 12:01:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	85	15¢	$13	0x8386b2…
05-06 15:12:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0xa86c25…
05-06 00:58:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xab7375…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xff34…694b	4	$1.83K	42	05-10 22:42
Imaginary-Gallery 0x161a…4103	4	$1.31K	15	05-10 23:42
Celebrated-Picture 0x36d8…c7c7	4	$1.25K	14	05-10 23:07
Filthy-Stumbling 0xf18a…e4e5	4	$1.09K	48	05-10 23:37
(anonymous) 0x5375…aeea	3	$9.50K	93	05-09 21:46
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	3	$6.74K	40	05-08 03:44
Cheerful-Ephemera 0xdf17…97d1	3	$4.23K	4	05-10 23:17
Scary-Billboard 0xf1ee…519c	3	$3.28K	41	05-11 00:50