Utter-Craw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$638

Unrealized P&L

-$130

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

1,042

Trades

1,615

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-23 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 198 days

Categories

Other

74% 48% -$617

Politics

12% 38% +$1

Crypto

7% 54% -$10

Sports

6% 49% -$18

Tech

1% 33% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No		+334	$162	10¢	$32	-$130	10-23 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$634	375	375	+0	open	—	10-02 17:35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$599	360	360	+0	No	-$1	10-05 05:30
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$409	213	213	+0	Yes	+$9	02-25 13:17
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	2	$377	256	256	+0	Buccaneers	-$23	10-09 02:17
will iran close its airspace by february 28 2026	2	$310	172	172	+0	Yes	+$10	02-27 07:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$308	171	171	+0	No	+$28	04-25 16:29
epl wol che 2026 02 07 che	3	$273	174	174	+0	Yes	+$71	02-07 15:49
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	2	$264	182	182	+0	Yes	+$68	08-30 14:08
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$220	173	150	+23	Yes	-$9	05-12 04:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 20:30 UTC	3	$207	113	107	+5	Up	+$5	02-03 20:41
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$200	225	0	+225	No	+$25	02-19 14:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 13:30 UTC	21	$199	189	187	+2	Down	-$29	02-01 13:42
Sharks vs. Blues	2	$172	207	207	+0	Sharks	-$6	10-08 19:22
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	1	$162	334	0	+334	open	—	10-23 02:47
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-10-06?	1	$162	207	0	+207	Yes	-$162	10-05 09:33
CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 1.5	3	$146	325	0	+325	Under	-$146	10-19 16:01
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$146	141	108	+33	No	-$26	05-16 21:04
cs2 lgc prv 2026 10 03	3	$140	189	82	+107	PARIVISION	-$48	10-01 12:15
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$136	118	118	+0	No	-$48	03-01 19:12
crint ind afg 2026 09 28	2	$134	106	106	+0	cancelled	-$30	09-28 05:14
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	2	$128	110	110	+0	Yes	-$12	02-27 10:35
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	3	$126	226	118	+109	England	+$55	07-18 21:03
winter games 2026 will usa or norway earn more medals	2	$125	141	0	+141	Norway	+$16	02-11 06:12
Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	3	$115	144	125	+19	Over	+$14	09-09 19:15
bknbl cai tas 2026 09 23	2	$113	104	104	+0	Cairns Taipans	+$7	09-23 10:33
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$108	95	95	+0	No	-$22	05-15 11:44
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$107	92	92	+0	Yes	-$13	03-06 09:07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$100	175	0	+175	No	-$100	07-12 00:14
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	+$8	02-01 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 12:50 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	+$2	02-12 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 02:47:02	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	No	BUY	334	48¢	$162	0xb10ee3…
10-21 19:43:53	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x45e706…
10-21 14:48:30	cs2 mglz priv 2026 10 21	PRIVATE	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x985e2b…
10-21 14:46:56	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdd0999…
10-20 19:25:18	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbc5273…
10-20 19:09:44	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x247caf…
10-20 19:05:12	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5da051…
10-20 19:03:56	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9571af…
10-20 19:03:21	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xcbac77…
10-19 17:10:41	Will FK Kauno Zalgiris win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x20115e…
10-19 16:01:47	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe54402…
10-19 15:51:48	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	117	47¢	$55	0xc03e82…
10-19 15:48:05	CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	202	44¢	$88	0x56fcc8…
10-18 12:53:20	Exact Score: Vilnius FK Zalgiris 2 - 0 FC Hegelmann Kaunas?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x36bb9f…
10-17 14:59:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x17dee0…
10-17 14:33:50	Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x0964e8…
10-17 12:43:59	Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x8aa373…
10-17 07:56:02	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	26	60¢	$15	0x7ce3ae…
10-17 07:38:17	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xe07af4…
10-17 07:12:08	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xdfd26c…
10-17 06:42:50	Will Yongin FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x1170d9…
10-17 06:31:03	Will Yongin FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x9d4aa3…
10-17 06:30:56	Will Gimpo FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x90ce5d…
10-17 04:49:14	Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0x13c1be…
10-17 04:31:02	Will Vegalta Sendai win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x07cdcd…
10-16 23:20:03	Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x9fac2a…
10-16 17:08:00	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdb317b…
10-16 00:38:45	Utah vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x57d96b…
10-15 20:32:24	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 5 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaedaf6…
10-15 20:32:09	Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 5 - 0 FK Kauno Žalgiris?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2b1ef7…
10-15 20:19:15	Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0x38739f…
10-15 19:39:32	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xf45468…
10-15 19:30:05	Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x21bc91…
10-15 18:43:11	Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x6f75b3…
10-15 18:17:10	Will Envigado FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6c2b5b…
10-15 18:08:08	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x04ce7f…
10-15 16:49:44	Will Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xe01c6e…
10-15 16:44:46	Will Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x52ec04…
10-15 16:43:55	Will Bursaspor win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xda537a…
10-15 15:50:07	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xf52ace…
10-15 15:30:55	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x2880d3…
10-15 09:51:29	Will FC Andijon win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0f9b16…
10-15 09:44:32	Will FC Andijon win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7da59e…
10-15 09:44:32	Will FC Andijon win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x32143a…
10-14 19:26:18	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x3d0266…
10-14 19:22:45	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3cdf83…
10-14 18:07:55	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 4pt5	Liverpool FC	SELL	48	18¢	$9	0x373627…
10-14 18:06:55	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 4pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x61dc0d…
10-14 16:42:46	Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x89aad8…
10-14 16:42:43	Ankara Keciorengucu vs. Igdir FK: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0x727b2c…
10-14 15:10:03	Will FK Haugesund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8b11e4…
10-14 15:09:40	Will FK Haugesund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7f51ad…
10-14 14:54:34	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x427de0…
10-14 13:46:30	Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x0596ed…
10-14 11:54:17	Will Stroemmen IF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xe65ad7…
10-14 11:54:17	Will Stroemmen IF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa03497…
10-14 11:54:17	Will Stroemmen IF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ddb89…
10-14 11:37:34	nor2 sta san 2026 10 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xee58e4…
10-14 11:37:34	nor2 sta san 2026 10 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x8b8a0e…
10-14 08:52:40	Will Ankara Keciorengucu win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x9ec1f7…
10-14 08:52:40	Will Ankara Keciorengucu win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x8c677f…
10-14 08:45:05	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x3ec554…
10-14 08:28:55	Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x627041…
10-14 06:00:56	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x49033c…
10-14 00:09:54	Avalanche vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xfe6a43…
10-13 18:41:21	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x036bf0…
10-13 18:40:37	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xb0fec8…
10-13 18:37:33	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x1c4399…
10-13 18:37:33	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x1190e4…
10-13 18:37:31	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x0a6430…
10-13 18:37:28	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9a8f85…
10-13 18:30:13	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xaa1f9c…
10-13 18:28:36	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfb7272…
10-13 18:24:34	Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x0f20cf…
10-13 17:40:03	Burnley FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf21d45…
10-13 15:47:16	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x7ff898…
10-13 13:21:43	IFK Norrkoping FK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xcbb405…
10-13 08:38:23	Bristol City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x7744ec…
10-11 23:36:56	Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5	Under	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0xec2ec8…
10-11 18:18:46	Will Club Almirante Brown win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x15faa6…
10-11 18:12:40	Will CA Temperley win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xb2164d…
10-11 17:10:49	49ers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xd8dc9b…
10-11 16:43:09	Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0xdd93c8…
10-11 13:42:51	Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x5ef43e…
10-11 04:44:35	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x8c1ee5…
10-11 01:42:45	Will Phoenix Rising FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xc4e453…
10-11 01:42:41	Texans vs. Titans	Texans	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xc7ad4c…
10-11 01:30:32	Will CS Herediano win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xda845e…
10-10 19:55:58	Blue Jackets vs. Blues	Blues	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xabe994…
10-10 14:19:04	Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1c12b0…
10-10 11:44:57	FC Nantes vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x9b2c3c…
10-10 08:48:04	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x06ea6f…
10-10 08:43:33	Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x66e075…
10-10 08:38:01	Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	16	53¢	$9	0x848074…
10-10 08:03:30	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa1c6d1…
10-10 07:45:28	Psim Yogyakarta vs. Persija Jakarta: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2e5f78…
10-10 07:32:45	Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0xd3e6af…
10-10 07:28:40	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xe5c136…
10-10 07:00:16	Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x7d84ec…
10-10 06:57:19	Will Persija Jakarta win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8b4754…