Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$410

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-14 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

91% 32% +$40

Sports

4% 67% -$5

Crypto

3% 40% -$2

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes		-13	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	07-12 10:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	02-02 08:58
highest temperature in nyc on january 17 40 41f	3	$48	62	62	+0	Yes	+$8	01-17 13:01
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	1	$33	42	0	+42	Yes	+$9	01-16 13:10
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	1	$33	39	0	+39	No	+$6	01-16 13:13
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	2	$30	42	42	+0	Yes	+$26	02-03 08:00
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	01-26 16:14
highest temperature in dallas on january 17 46 47f	2	$15	20	20	+0	No	-$15	01-17 22:26
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	2	$15	17	17	+0	No	+$11	02-20 09:34
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	2	$12	30	30	+0	No	+$10	01-26 16:44
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	1	$10	31	0	+31	No	-$10	01-26 09:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 16 30corbelow	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	+$6	01-16 13:44
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	-$10	02-02 09:07
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 240 259	2	$6	35	35	+0	No	+$4	02-09 11:04
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	2	$6	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	01-20 08:30
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	2	$6	26	26	+0	No	+$2	01-26 15:57
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	2	$6	25	25	+0	No	+$2	02-10 09:25
cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 atm	2	$5	19	19	+0	No	-$1	03-03 20:31
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	2	$5	11	11	+0	No	+$3	02-13 07:40
will epstein data set 9 be released before march 598	1	$5	17	0	+17	Yes	-$5	01-17 19:44
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	02-02 09:14
highest temperature in toronto on january 16 neg 2c	1	$5	13	0	+13	No	-$5	01-16 13:33
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	2	$4	23	23	+0	No	-$2	02-06 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	-$4	05-20 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-20 14:44
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	2	$4	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	02-17 12:40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	0	15	-15	No	+$3	07-14 19:38
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	4	$3	18	18	+0	No	-$1	02-13 07:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	12	0	+12	No	-$3	01-28 15:06
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	-$3	02-04 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	05-20 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:38:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xfa247b…
07-14 15:56:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0xf771a4…
07-12 10:58:34	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x6ef666…
05-20 14:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa46137…
05-20 14:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf2911b…
05-20 14:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6f27de…
05-20 14:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xca9156…
05-20 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb7f142…
05-20 14:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x84ad67…
03-03 20:31:43	cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 atm	Yes	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0xf05196…
03-03 19:57:45	cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 atm	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xf44b5e…
02-20 09:36:08	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 280 299	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xca2286…
02-20 09:36:02	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb80c55…
02-20 09:34:58	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	Yes	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0xa56565…
02-17 12:40:27	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xbc1145…
02-17 12:30:25	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x279071…
02-17 12:29:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x6f52f1…
02-13 09:06:35	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 400 419	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2593d9…
02-13 09:06:23	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 380 399	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7c0e93…
02-13 09:06:17	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x992c60…
02-13 07:41:31	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xce050a…
02-13 07:40:01	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	Yes	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x17d613…
02-11 13:46:37	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 400 419	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x2d4765…
02-11 13:46:29	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 380 399	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x738449…
02-11 13:46:07	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6e604f…
02-11 13:45:57	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc8900e…
02-10 09:27:19	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x62d50c…
02-10 09:27:01	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6717f2…
02-10 09:26:55	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 320 339	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x379a7b…
02-10 09:26:33	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x66ac6c…
02-10 09:26:23	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5317ce…
02-10 09:26:17	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe45058…
02-10 09:25:49	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xdfc17e…
02-10 09:24:15	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xed676b…
02-09 11:04:55	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 240 259	Yes	SELL	35	16¢	$5	0x291b83…
02-06 10:35:17	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe93334…
02-06 10:35:13	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x233a02…
02-06 09:18:49	will ireland win the 2026 six nations championship	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x6f6004…
02-06 08:36:19	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x074958…
02-05 20:54:39	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 280 299	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x861057…
02-05 20:54:31	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 260 279	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x96c1e6…
02-05 20:53:59	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1a8038…
02-05 20:53:51	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x5d4eab…
02-05 18:39:33	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 240 259	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x107f1b…
02-05 09:33:57	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 300 319	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf36118…
02-04 16:06:45	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 320 339	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x63db6b…
02-03 13:22:00	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x37ac77…
02-03 08:51:42	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8311e3…
02-03 08:51:30	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 320 339	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5d1fa8…
02-03 08:00:10	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0x4d7751…
02-02 09:18:44	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xb3c1bb…
02-02 09:18:28	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x921bbf…
02-02 09:18:14	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5032ef…
02-02 09:14:22	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x759381…
02-02 09:07:48	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8132ce…
02-02 09:03:58	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 420 439	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0xa2b50a…
02-02 08:58:48	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x90b848…
01-30 21:52:50	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 360 379	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcfd066…
01-30 21:52:44	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xad340e…
01-29 16:35:06	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xc34f64…
01-29 15:33:42	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x0cdc7c…
01-28 15:06:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x81bd5a…
01-28 11:20:03	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 1	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xbdb640…
01-28 11:15:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x6217f7…
01-28 10:02:01	will ireland win the 2026 six nations championship	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x8dd666…
01-28 09:58:13	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf0dab8…
01-28 09:52:39	was ilhan omar sprayed with bacon grease 146	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x713d02…
01-28 09:49:45	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8da794…
01-26 16:44:33	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xbbb1a5…
01-26 16:14:53	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbaa636…
01-26 16:09:53	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 40 and 50	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x342d53…
01-26 15:57:33	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	Yes	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0x2f3805…
01-26 15:14:21	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7763df…
01-26 09:37:51	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xd2e92c…
01-26 09:36:07	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8b53e0…
01-20 08:30:34	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x1e32e0…
01-19 12:51:16	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x3460af…
01-19 12:49:32	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x8e5263…
01-19 12:49:16	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4d1508…
01-18 22:56:46	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xb732d6…
01-17 22:26:14	highest temperature in dallas on january 17 46 47f	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x729f73…
01-17 19:56:24	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0a91e7…
01-17 19:56:08	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x31d941…
01-17 19:55:50	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xdc4406…
01-17 19:55:38	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x960ba3…
01-17 19:44:24	will epstein data set 9 be released before march 598	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x70f588…
01-17 13:01:52	highest temperature in nyc on january 17 40 41f	Yes	SELL	62	45¢	$28	0x5626e0…
01-17 12:15:12	highest temperature in nyc on january 17 40 41f	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa00538…
01-16 21:38:34	highest temperature in dallas on january 17 46 47f	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1b24ba…
01-16 13:46:46	highest temperature in nyc on january 17 40 41f	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x765340…
01-16 13:44:36	highest temperature in buenos aires on january 16 30corbelow	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0dcf13…
01-16 13:33:06	highest temperature in toronto on january 16 neg 2c	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x8ccd97…
01-16 13:13:14	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x899dfe…
01-16 13:10:48	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	Yes	BUY	42	78¢	$33	0xfd9fc1…