Murky-Comb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-06 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 100% +$1

Other

27% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No		+18	$18	100¢	$18	+$0	05-29 22:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-25 09:21
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-22 18:32
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-28 21:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-11 12:22
ethereum above 2500 on april 15	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-15 04:05
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	04-15 20:19
will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-03 18:43
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	06-21 23:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	2	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	05-27 22:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	2	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	05-27 05:22
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-13 02:06
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 09:44
bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	06-22 04:10
Will Solana reach $100 May 4-10?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-10 12:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 380 399	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-19 06:29
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-28 13:43
bitcoin above 58k on july 6 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	07-05 12:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	05-18 06:20
ethereum above 1400 on july 1 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-30 17:33
bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-25 14:07
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-19 00:16
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-26 01:15
will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	07-03 12:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 19:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-26 09:38
bitcoin above 76k on april 13	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-12 10:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-01 15:09
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-01 18:31
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-14 00:58
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	01-15 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 02:38:50	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc1c98e…
07-05 12:11:29	bitcoin above 58k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x526a16…
07-04 06:30:20	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7ed69d…
07-03 12:47:01	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe75297…
07-03 08:00:38	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6860c0…
07-02 00:58:49	bitcoin above 50k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x810e53…
07-01 11:38:35	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xed65f7…
06-30 17:33:37	ethereum above 1400 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x34ba31…
06-25 14:07:25	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x91b273…
06-24 21:05:43	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x044ed8…
06-23 21:14:44	ethereum above 1500 on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2f6e97…
06-22 22:42:41	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9bda89…
06-22 04:10:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x958789…
06-21 23:51:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa2c5ce…
06-02 23:04:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x44a929…
06-02 05:11:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x17cbef…
06-01 21:52:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 2?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xde55e3…
06-01 07:46:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa6d9aa…
05-29 22:51:31	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x48a1e4…
05-29 09:48:31	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x535d59…
05-28 13:43:58	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x66eab2…
05-27 22:01:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xa7ee6b…
05-27 21:26:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1f1898…
05-27 05:22:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x35e255…
05-26 09:38:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe6d1fc…
05-26 01:15:16	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf68f2b…
05-25 15:31:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbbd2ed…
05-25 03:40:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd30597…
05-24 20:35:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe0e4a0…
05-24 07:59:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3eb0d9…
05-22 10:29:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xc814d2…
05-20 14:27:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2bae8f…
05-19 19:38:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcf0b7b…
05-19 05:16:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x80c6ac…
05-19 00:38:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x06f8f8…
05-18 06:20:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x114725…
05-17 16:11:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4ac828…
05-16 02:58:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8246c4…
05-13 12:10:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xde5354…
05-11 12:22:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x242230…
05-11 06:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba4482…
05-10 23:16:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2a7dbc…
05-10 12:47:46	Will Solana reach $100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xcceae0…
05-09 08:45:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x55d7a3…
05-09 02:20:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x4bbe39…
05-07 17:10:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x90df0a…
05-07 15:07:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3bb366…
05-05 14:11:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x811249…
05-05 09:44:36	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd2110e…
05-02 19:59:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc16dae…
05-01 18:31:16	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b3121…
05-01 15:09:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf7590f…
04-29 15:27:28	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xed4f6d…
04-28 21:36:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf30f1e…
04-27 04:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8477e4…
04-26 16:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5ef07e…
04-26 15:14:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf11640…
04-25 12:48:58	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3a61ec…
04-25 09:21:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x9cbf92…
04-24 16:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe41383…
04-24 11:33:02	ethereum above 2500 on april 24	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9a170c…
04-23 09:57:54	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0e2ff5…
04-23 06:53:30	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 26c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x99a4fc…
04-22 18:32:50	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8cd948…
04-22 08:42:00	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 160 179	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8e16b2…
04-21 13:35:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x2196c8…
04-21 11:41:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6679aa…
04-20 18:37:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x248b65…
04-20 00:10:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf9b242…
04-19 06:29:08	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 380 399	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x87b1ed…
04-19 00:16:00	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 360 379	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc54b60…
04-18 08:17:02	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x997294…
04-17 21:37:12	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 140 164	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0e564c…
04-17 14:04:18	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 17	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x37c246…
04-17 01:04:04	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x454587…
04-15 20:19:28	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x9e8df9…
04-15 19:16:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 16	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3c0ff1…
04-15 11:14:30	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x27165a…
04-15 04:05:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 15	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfa5315…
04-14 00:58:49	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x111e83…
04-13 13:31:55	highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 20c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2702c5…
04-13 02:06:33	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x16e737…
04-12 10:25:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd20faf…
04-12 00:34:33	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x85ba7b…
04-03 18:43:47	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfcdf51…
04-02 15:53:49	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x56bfa2…
02-12 18:36:35	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa72ea0…
02-08 23:33:51	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x690e5e…
01-21 15:22:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k in january 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd67cb9…
01-19 05:15:10	will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7a9f68…
01-15 20:58:32	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x38d76a…