(anonymous) 0x7fb183…4f1998
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Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
51.3%
Resolved
21
Trades
853
lifetime
Volume
$4.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$13
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 06-09 23:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
42% 50% +$12
Other
40% 50% $-3
Crypto
14% 100% +$0
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -29 $-9 16¢ $-5 +$4 05-31 05:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +29 $10 10¢ $3 $-7 05-28 11:57
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -83 $-2 3¢ $-3 $-1 05-29 15:17
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes -8 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$2 05-27 21:45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 05-28 10:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +1 $-0 36¢ $0 +$0 06-04 01:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1 $0 20¢ $0 +$0 05-29 18:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -0 $0 38¢ $-0 $-0 05-29 18:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 11¢ $0 $-0 05-30 08:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -0 $-0 30¢ $-0 $-0 05-28 20:34
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +0 $2 22¢ $0 $-2 06-02 17:06