Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

220

Trades (90d)

226

372 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$396

$666 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-06 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

56% 99% -$2

Crypto

29% 100% +$2

Politics

12% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+2	$2	96¢	$2	$0	09-26 23:58
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	$0	09-26 23:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	$0	10-25 23:56
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	09-13 00:01
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	97¢	$2	$0	10-30 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 12:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe21bfb…
11-05 18:57:21	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on November 4?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10fd64…
11-05 10:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x206cbb…
11-05 02:59:07	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd641a4…
11-04 13:59:03	Bitcoin above 77,800 on November 4, 9AM ET?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xee1d2c…
11-02 05:56:43	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa35f8d…
11-02 05:56:04	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be below 51.0 in October?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x30b26a…
11-02 03:58:57	Bitcoin above 78,800 on November 1, 11PM ET?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x81bb6a…
11-01 08:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6cc12a…
11-01 08:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb33312…
11-01 03:56:34	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6dd82…
11-01 03:56:04	Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x72e206…
10-31 20:59:16	Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd01e4…
10-31 16:58:57	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf40ba3…
10-31 16:03:15	Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe64c8a…
10-31 16:02:52	Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x855298…
10-31 08:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82682e…
10-30 10:59:27	Bitcoin above 77,400 on October 30, 7AM ET?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd8f9bb…
10-30 09:56:40	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8de297…
10-30 06:00:48	Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x921767…
10-30 06:00:01	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcfdb11…
10-30 04:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2aa11d…
10-30 03:56:30	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0cf6d8…
10-29 23:59:19	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x058090…
10-29 23:58:49	Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5dc66d…
10-29 10:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x229b76…
10-29 05:56:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3f2263…
10-28 08:58:44	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5dc4cb…
10-28 04:56:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b652c…
10-28 00:58:57	bitcoin above 81400 on october 27 2026 9pm et	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63f733…
10-27 12:57:12	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x88d288…
10-27 12:56:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b70e2…
10-27 11:56:03	No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?	No change	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4664a1…
10-27 09:56:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1f8551…
10-26 07:56:44	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07c9e4…
10-26 07:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x1503ab…
10-25 23:57:03	Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x59dfcf…
10-25 23:56:44	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6d0544…
10-23 21:57:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe00fc4…
10-23 13:56:57	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa3a9cf…
10-23 12:57:54	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfc44da…
10-22 23:57:44	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ded93…
10-22 21:59:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb362a…
10-22 10:58:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdb52ff…
10-22 05:57:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x458f27…
10-22 05:56:43	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ae446…
10-21 23:57:00	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc6f1a…
10-21 06:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc75967…
10-21 03:56:27	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb838db…
10-20 19:57:14	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6c30f…
10-20 19:56:53	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x48d4c3…
10-20 09:56:42	BNB Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x12a8e2…
10-20 09:56:11	XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x668875…
10-20 08:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x59c425…
10-20 02:56:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8e8e90…
10-19 12:56:54	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x518cd2…
10-19 12:56:21	Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x32e410…
10-19 02:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfe800d…
10-18 04:57:09	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x04f908…
10-18 03:57:47	Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8eaec8…
10-17 23:58:12	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcc43fa…
10-16 23:58:54	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e3194…
10-16 07:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x589b06…
10-16 06:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4c7738…
10-14 23:57:15	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfe8cdd…
10-14 19:57:51	bitcoin up or down october 14 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd45b5a…
10-14 10:58:28	bnb up or down october 14 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb002d2…
10-14 07:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3ffe50…
10-14 07:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x029dda…
10-14 04:58:29	Solana Up or Down - October 14, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcc49e0…
10-13 19:57:16	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x81bc00…
10-12 05:56:50	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x61d27b…
10-12 01:56:32	Solana Up or Down - October 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc9f316…
10-12 00:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xecc0c9…
10-11 07:56:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x069fa8…
10-10 17:58:43	Will Ségolène Royal win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3888a8…
10-10 03:56:48	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc6f68f…
10-09 19:56:47	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5e65c…
10-09 08:56:36	BNB Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x30276a…
10-09 08:56:03	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8d167a…
10-09 07:56:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3316f3…
10-09 02:58:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 8, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2c131d…
10-08 23:56:41	Will the Labour Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b39db…
10-08 13:00:35	Will 45% to 54% of Soybeans acreage be in D1-D4 drought this week?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8f3884…
10-08 13:00:14	Will Missouri have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a08ad…
10-08 06:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x138552…
10-08 02:58:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58071a…
10-07 14:56:40	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4c484d…
10-07 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd394df…
10-07 03:58:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4a4632…
10-06 18:00:29	Will the biggest earthquake on October 5, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x884e4f…
10-06 07:58:25	BNB Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29e818…
10-05 08:59:02	xrp up or down october 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf1124b…
10-05 06:00:11	Will ISM Services PMI be at least 59.0 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaa6cd7…
10-01 14:56:57	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc98536…
10-01 12:59:06	Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b6a54…
10-01 02:56:11	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3f69ae…
09-30 21:02:11	Will Accelevation's market cap be between $4.5B and $5B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0eb6f0…
09-30 21:01:14	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 99.00 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x676b20…
09-30 21:00:23	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x34a52d…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol zpr pcs 2026 01 29	1	$2	2	+2	Project Conquerors	+$0	01-29 22:55
lol znt mcn 2026 02 10	1	$2	2	+2	ZennIT	+$0	02-10 22:55
negative gdp growth in 2025	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	01-30 11:55
will miks galvanovskis win supernova 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-13 23:55
cs2 8s mis 2026 02 10 total games 2pt5	1	$2	2	+2	Under	+$0	02-10 14:55
val levf og2 2026 02 13	1	$2	2	+2	Leviatán GC	+$0	02-14 03:55
deepseek v4 released by march 21	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-20 23:55
spx up or down on january 26 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	01-26 20:55
khamenei of tweets march 24 march 31 2026 0 19	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-31 15:55
will national citizen party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-11 23:55
cbb tows ncat 2026 01 24	1	$2	2	+2	North Carolina A&T Aggies	+$0	01-24 18:55
will trump say reza or pahlavi during the state of the union address 692	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-23 23:55
will baile inolvidable be played at the super bowl halftime show	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	02-07 23:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-17 23:55
amzn close above 205 on february 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	02-10 20:57
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	01-27 16:55
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt4 and 3pt6	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	04-13 23:55
will argentinas monthly inflation in february 2026 be less than or equal to 2pt1	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-11 23:55
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-30 23:55
col1 gdr cjf 2026 04 12 spread home 1pt5	1	$2	2	+2	CDP Junior FC	+$0	04-12 18:55
will justin bieber drop out as a coachella 2026 headliner	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	04-10 23:55
will the bank of israel increase the bank of israel interest rate after the february decision	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-22 23:55
will a contestant numbered 1 25 win beast games season 2	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-24 23:55
will uk gdp growth in q4 2025 be negative	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-12 06:55
will rob ashton win the canadian ndp leadership election	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-28 23:55
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 6m and 7m	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	03-30 11:55
lol ot doc 2026 02 14	1	$2	2	+2	Onion Team	+$0	02-14 15:55
will a contestant numbered 26 50 win beast games season 2	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	02-24 23:55
lol mvk shg 2026 01 31	1	$2	2	+2	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	+$0	01-31 15:55
spx up or down on february 4 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	02-04 20:55