Realized P&L (30d)
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved (30d)
58
Trades (30d)
225
225 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$340
$340 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$16
10 positions
First seen
2026-10-21
last 11-12 18:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Sports
53% 52% -$12
Other
41% 71% -$7
Politics
5% 71% -$1
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +4 $3 62¢ $3 -$1 11-09 01:18
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $0 11-09 23:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-28 20:14
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 $0 11-08 22:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2 $2 91¢ $2 $0 10-28 20:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$0 11-04 10:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +2 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-12 18:59
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $0 11-09 05:20
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 11-09 17:09
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +2 $2 38¢ $1 -$1 10-21 12:20