Coarse-Boudoir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.95K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

495

Trades

3,815

lifetime

Volume

$445.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$69

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 11-13 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

93% 58% +$1,659

Politics

7% 70% +$1,357

Crypto

0% 50% -$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+50	$33	82¢	$41	+$8	11-13 19:36
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+900	$13	2¢	$22	+$9	11-13 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	+609	$17	1¢	$6	-$11	11-13 20:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	56	$13.7K	11,425	9,912	+1,513	Yes	-$600	04-30 19:20
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	36	$13.5K	7,154	7,154	+0	Yes	+$830	05-05 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	3	$12.9K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	+$1,043	05-04 18:27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	36	$12.0K	6,579	6,579	+0	Yes	-$135	04-29 15:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	7	$11.7K	6,129	5,990	+139	No	+$315	04-28 04:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	44	$10.2K	5,596	5,577	+19	Yes	+$406	04-14 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	4	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$10	04-30 19:00
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	14	$8.6K	4,336	4,333	+3	Yes	+$49	04-13 16:01
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	15	$8.1K	4,689	4,656	+33	No	+$1,033	04-12 18:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	61	$7.5K	14,671	9,629	+5,042	No	-$2,338	04-30 18:50
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	18	$7.2K	3,880	3,857	+23	Yes	+$538	04-10 15:25
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	49	$6.9K	4,260	4,186	+74	Yes	+$737	04-18 12:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	25	$6.5K	4,200	4,191	+9	No	-$114	04-24 04:57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	104	$6.3K	8,015	0	+8,015	Yes	-$6,292	05-06 02:40
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	37	$6.2K	4,673	3,297	+1,376	No	+$79	04-21 14:25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	23	$5.9K	4,386	4,326	+60	No	-$223	04-27 05:27
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	15	$5.5K	4,800	2,000	+2,800	Yes	+$1,298	04-21 14:53
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	42	$5.3K	3,399	3,399	+0	Yes	-$80	02-23 17:43
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	26	$5.0K	3,044	3,040	+4	No	-$340	04-15 05:27
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	7	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$236	04-18 18:44
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	8	$4.1K	2,108	2,107	+1	No	+$128	04-05 06:38
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 40 64	42	$3.9K	3,160	3,160	+0	Yes	-$384	03-25 15:42
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	8	$3.9K	2,074	2,063	+11	No	+$230	04-14 16:27
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	9	$3.8K	2,515	2,515	+0	Yes	+$1,208	10-31 01:26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	16	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$240	05-01 22:28
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	10	$3.8K	2,627	2,627	+0	Yes	-$763	05-12 10:06
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	21	$3.7K	2,334	2,303	+31	No	+$554	04-11 04:35
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	12	$3.6K	4,224	0	+4,224	No	+$582	04-21 21:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	5	$3.5K	1,695	2,000	-305	No	+$198	04-27 18:33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	3	$3.4K	3,756	0	+3,756	No	+$310	04-27 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 20:18:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0x3d8774…
11-13 20:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0xf73a77…
11-13 20:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x755c55…
11-13 20:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xc4f16c…
11-13 19:46:22	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x4f23c9…
11-13 19:42:31	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$1	0x4aab5d…
11-13 19:42:07	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0abfda…
11-13 19:41:46	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$10	0xcd3168…
11-13 19:36:48	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0xa8ef18…
11-13 15:19:33	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x5548ae…
11-13 15:09:57	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x2f0922…
11-13 15:09:48	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0x851400…
11-13 15:04:30	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	88¢	$109	0x34033a…
11-13 14:30:25	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xd8e87b…
11-13 13:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	47¢	$39	0xa20d25…
11-13 13:13:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	904	46¢	$419	0x7546b0…
11-13 12:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x015f63…
11-10 17:00:03	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0x75dbbc…
11-10 14:45:36	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x37d596…
11-10 14:45:19	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x25ffb7…
11-10 14:42:43	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1d0f27…
11-10 14:42:31	Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	34	56¢	$19	0x32cdd5…
11-10 11:01:31	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	88¢	$95	0x0bd108…
11-10 10:56:00	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xc7f2b2…
11-10 10:56:00	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0x203640…
11-10 00:02:42	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	6¢	$10	0xaa5707…
11-09 23:59:51	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	364	6¢	$22	0x647241…
11-09 23:58:25	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	144	6¢	$9	0x74ec93…
11-09 23:08:30	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	6¢	$19	0x3cc4a4…
11-09 21:54:36	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x200a13…
11-09 12:43:06	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x8a064c…
11-09 10:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	5¢	$6	0x258f90…
11-09 10:13:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0x819e50…
11-09 10:13:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0xdb10ba…
11-09 10:13:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	739	5¢	$37	0x7dbb4c…
11-09 10:07:18	Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	50¢	$39	0xd518c2…
11-09 09:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0x4815d3…
11-09 09:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	810	27¢	$219	0x5a4215…
11-09 09:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0x93f1e7…
11-09 08:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe63324…
11-09 08:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	772	67¢	$514	0xdc9885…
11-09 08:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xdaa1a4…
11-08 22:01:57	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	63¢	$196	0x43e412…
11-08 21:56:54	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	10¢	$9	0xea7d53…
11-08 21:56:10	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	8¢	$7	0xe8bb66…
11-08 21:55:15	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	7¢	$6	0x637e23…
11-08 21:54:55	Will White House post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	6¢	$7	0x0b15d8…
11-07 21:58:09	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	78¢	$351	0x7e11b2…
11-07 18:36:21	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xb8fb90…
11-07 18:36:18	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	5¢	$9	0x60ab3b…
11-07 18:34:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	391	100¢	$391	0x576c33…
11-06 23:28:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf7e67a…
11-06 23:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5c8869…
11-06 23:24:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0xed92c8…
11-06 23:24:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	379	57¢	$216	0x975a32…
11-06 21:27:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x2d40ea…
11-06 21:23:18	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	9¢	$42	0x60a460…
11-06 21:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8d2bd3…
11-05 12:25:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	44¢	$44	0x3e1a7a…
11-05 12:25:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x2c5804…
11-05 12:24:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	43¢	$69	0xcd6c3e…
11-05 12:23:54	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	970	34¢	$327	0x2be1cb…
11-05 12:23:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	43¢	$65	0x1f01b5…
11-05 12:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	43¢	$65	0x466cab…
11-05 12:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x1c4721…
11-05 12:22:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x5bc879…
11-05 12:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	43¢	$125	0xa1594b…
11-05 11:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x1c3db8…
11-03 21:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	360	100¢	$359	0x90e0b4…
11-03 19:55:51	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x7bdc03…
11-03 05:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	272	76¢	$208	0x12f6be…
11-03 05:42:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	207	77¢	$160	0xbde56a…
11-03 05:39:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	28	82¢	$23	0xf92b8b…
11-03 05:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	90	80¢	$72	0xe74deb…
11-02 23:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	72	65¢	$47	0xad8bae…
11-02 23:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	33	66¢	$21	0x1358f6…
11-02 23:29:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa60e4b…
11-02 23:29:19	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa6101a…
11-02 23:28:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	320	88¢	$281	0xc83072…
11-02 23:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x7e83f5…
11-02 23:20:36	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	437	66¢	$288	0x29c288…
11-02 23:19:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	170	26¢	$44	0x9ca41c…
11-02 20:35:49	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe01f32…
11-02 20:35:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	390	72¢	$281	0x7ae41f…
11-02 20:35:45	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc4caac…
11-02 20:34:30	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xecd37e…
11-02 20:33:58	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x298401…
11-02 20:33:19	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x464f42…
11-02 20:32:39	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x35b6d7…
11-02 20:32:39	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x359807…
11-02 20:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	110	72¢	$80	0xe4eee2…
11-02 20:31:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$9	0x944a7e…
11-02 19:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xe03ce1…
11-02 19:11:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x8b95d4…
11-02 18:23:28	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	363	100¢	$362	0xe44e5d…
11-02 18:23:18	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9be9d1…
11-02 18:23:18	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x5fb332…
11-02 17:17:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	5¢	$15	0xd8075e…
11-02 15:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x2c37de…
11-02 14:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	85¢	$123	0x4e9e3e…