Realized P&L
+$3.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$120
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
496
Trades
3,829
lifetime
Volume
$447.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$651
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 11-15 06:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Other
93% 58% +$1,851
Politics
7% 70% +$1,357
Crypto
0% 50% -$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026? No +400 $300 97¢ $388 +$88 11-14 22:03
Will White House post 180-199 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +310 $168 66¢ $203 +$35 11-15 06:02
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +50 $33 88¢ $44 +$12 11-13 19:36
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +900 $13 2¢ $16 +$2 11-13 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +609 $17 0¢ $1 -$16 11-13 20:18