Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$149

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

245

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$5.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$16

4 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 10-05 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

66% 64% +$119

Crypto

19% 54% -$70

Sports

11% 38% -$170

Politics

4% 40% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	+13	$10	88¢	$12	+$2	09-28 12:41
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+18	$5	18¢	$3	-$2	09-10 08:43
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+17	$5	6¢	$1	-$4	09-08 20:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+10	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	09-10 20:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	7	$83	68	67	+1	Yes	+$36	08-17 21:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$57	41	41	+0	Yes	-$2	08-21 16:28
wta bucsa kuderme 2026 07 28	2	$57	47	47	+0	Polina Kudermetova	+$37	07-28 17:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	3	$56	37	37	+0	No	+$7	08-28 08:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$51	37	37	+0	open	—	08-28 08:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$3	08-28 08:49
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	2	$42	27	27	+0	open	—	08-06 10:02
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	07-07 17:53
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$42	170	170	+0	open	—	08-28 08:49
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	3	$42	38	29	+9	Yes	-$7	08-14 13:00
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	2	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 13:17
wta brengle vagramo 2026 07 26	2	$40	48	0	+48	Madison Brengle	+$8	07-28 20:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	07-29 14:49
will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	2	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	07-31 14:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	3	$39	22	22	+0	No	-$1	08-05 18:11
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	3	$38	55	36	+19	Down	+$9	08-12 06:08
ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	5	$37	46	35	+11	Up	-$12	08-22 11:25
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	3	$36	59	59	+0	No	+$8	08-28 08:49
ethereum up or down on august 23 2026	2	$36	41	28	+13	Up	-$23	08-23 11:21
bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	3	$36	43	24	+19	Up	-$13	08-19 12:43
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	2	$34	24	24	+0	Yes	+$14	07-07 17:52
wta gibson alexand 2026 08 05	2	$33	51	18	+32	Ekaterina Alexandrova	-$16	08-06 15:31
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 3pt5	1	$33	46	0	+46	Under	+$14	07-13 12:25
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	2	$32	48	48	+0	No	-$17	08-28 08:50
atp dzumhur erhard 2026 08 05	3	$31	43	24	+19	Mathys Erhard	-$18	08-06 14:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$31	34	34	+0	Yes	+$11	08-03 17:45
atp hurkacz struff 2026 07 05	1	$30	35	0	+35	Jan-Lennard Struff	-$30	07-05 16:04
bitcoin above 64k on august 7 2026	1	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	08-07 09:42
wta svitoli potapov 2026 08 05	1	$30	34	0	+34	Elina Svitolina	+$4	08-07 02:32
atp brancac moeller 2026 08 06	1	$30	34	0	+34	Elmer Moeller	+$4	08-06 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 11:50:04	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd73a99…
10-05 11:49:14	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x8d1c7b…
09-28 12:41:57	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x462290…
09-19 00:24:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x25c219…
09-13 05:23:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe63b84…
09-12 15:54:25	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc4b35e…
09-11 21:01:13	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x708831…
09-10 20:35:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x45a30d…
09-10 13:47:21	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x4dfd9a…
09-10 08:43:48	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8a33fe…
09-09 09:59:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0xda96b8…
09-08 20:22:00	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xff5711…
09-06 15:26:39	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x7971e0…
08-31 18:35:13	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xe7b458…
08-31 17:11:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xab0588…
08-31 12:09:25	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x87be46…
08-31 02:05:54	atp navone djokovi 2026 08 30	Novak Djokovic	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7adfd7…
08-31 01:28:49	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x853c9c…
08-30 23:07:39	mlb cin chc 2026 08 30	Chicago Cubs	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x906512…
08-30 19:07:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbeb90b…
08-30 17:29:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd0569b…
08-30 15:14:31	wta gibson vekic 2026 08 30	Donna Vekic	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xbed82b…
08-30 11:16:21	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0xbd44fb…
08-30 09:48:07	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	38	64¢	$25	0xe9c27b…
08-29 23:38:25	mlb phi laa 2026 08 29 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0xa91143…
08-29 20:57:27	mlb bos nyy 2026 08 29 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	45	54¢	$24	0x2971e4…
08-29 20:43:09	atp fery buse 2026 08 29	Ignacio Buse	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x426cf3…
08-29 19:06:39	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xd2497a…
08-29 18:34:24	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xa182a7…
08-29 16:35:42	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xdf3f61…
08-29 16:35:42	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x78efdf…
08-29 16:26:28	Levante UD vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x1e8598…
08-28 19:37:00	Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x95076e…
08-28 08:50:15	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x2d4ffe…
08-28 08:50:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x2d96a3…
08-28 08:50:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xb43aaf…
08-28 08:50:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in August?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x7d9939…
08-28 08:50:04	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	Yes	SELL	48	16¢	$8	0x71210d…
08-28 08:49:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0xcea8e8…
08-28 08:49:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	170	10¢	$17	0xac91a0…
08-28 08:49:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0xe6423e…
08-28 08:49:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x7f829a…
08-28 08:49:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2d79fe…
08-28 08:49:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	37	71¢	$26	0x4be95b…
08-26 18:00:24	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0x54f9cf…
08-26 16:45:34	Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x46591f…
08-26 08:43:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0x21dfa8…
08-25 07:52:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0xd47dfa…
08-23 11:21:45	ethereum up or down on august 23 2026	Down	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0xde7d6c…
08-23 07:39:52	ethereum up or down on august 23 2026	Down	BUY	41	72¢	$29	0xcce496…
08-23 06:15:37	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	59	25¢	$14	0xf02e22…
08-22 18:32:43	lal esp rea 2026 08 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x7cf066…
08-22 16:20:25	will ethereum dip to 2300 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xa56d72…
08-22 11:25:16	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x948ef1…
08-22 11:21:33	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x7f96ee…
08-22 11:19:01	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$3	0x399407…
08-22 11:17:46	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Down	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xbf6f9c…
08-22 05:24:06	bitcoin up or down on august 22 2026	Down	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0xebf9ce…
08-22 05:11:21	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Down	BUY	46	53¢	$25	0x0a9c04…
08-21 22:50:52	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x7c89a3…
08-21 21:17:43	atp fritz nakashi 2026 08 21	Taylor Fritz	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd20de6…
08-21 19:00:51	epl ars cov 2026 08 21 spread home 1pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	42	58¢	$25	0x61d912…
08-21 16:28:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	41	68¢	$28	0xc8646b…
08-21 09:04:57	bitcoin above 78k on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0x322a2f…
08-21 09:02:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xb8c55b…
08-21 09:01:55	will ethereum reach 2500 august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x5184d5…
08-21 05:09:16	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x245f81…
08-21 02:02:27	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x3baba2…
08-20 22:52:36	nfl lv hou 2026 08 21 spread away 1pt5	LV	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0x45e148…
08-20 21:42:55	atp paul cobolli 2026 08 21	Tommy Paul	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x8a28cf…
08-20 21:33:18	atp paul cobolli 2026 08 21	Tommy Paul	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0xe2a4cc…
08-20 20:32:16	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x522e80…
08-19 21:36:34	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	56	43¢	$24	0x676b97…
08-19 21:17:04	will bitcoin reach 70k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x079cad…
08-19 21:12:24	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x64cfdc…
08-19 17:17:21	bitcoin up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x3f520f…
08-19 16:41:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x803d0a…
08-19 16:36:15	ethereum up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	42	58¢	$24	0x5efaa6…
08-19 16:25:46	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	53	27¢	$14	0x6de93f…
08-19 15:21:28	ethereum above 2000 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0xa287fc…
08-19 15:18:43	mlb atl min 2026 08 19	Atlanta Braves	BUY	48	51¢	$24	0xb2ee7f…
08-19 15:18:43	mlb det pit 2026 08 19 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x5bfd1f…
08-19 14:58:12	bitcoin above 66k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	59	41¢	$25	0x140bf2…
08-19 14:06:42	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	137	11¢	$15	0xa7c700…
08-19 13:36:13	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in august 2026 from august 3	Yes	BUY	55	43¢	$24	0xdc5aa9…
08-19 12:43:21	bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x796fd1…
08-19 12:43:18	bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x36a11f…
08-18 18:25:52	bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x941680…
08-18 15:20:45	atp rublev borges 2026 08 18	Nuno Borges	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x20d533…
08-18 15:09:30	ethereum up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	51	48¢	$25	0xa68e6b…
08-18 10:28:31	bitcoin above 64k on august 22 2026	No	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0x611ffd…
08-18 04:21:01	itf hanleil osminki 2026 08 18	Hanlei Lu	BUY	39	63¢	$25	0xc8d128…
08-17 21:41:01	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xcd61dc…
08-17 21:40:01	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x528f13…
08-17 21:39:34	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb0056c…
08-17 17:29:06	bitcoin up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x982291…
08-17 17:26:33	will ethereum reach 2000 august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x817211…
08-17 14:24:42	mlb bal tb 2026 08 17	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	40	61¢	$25	0x7a3662…
08-17 09:25:54	ethereum up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x9cfb78…
08-16 16:38:31	bitcoin up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x8d2631…