Passionate-Injustice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.57K

Unrealized P&L

+$52

Hit rate

25.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$162

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Politics

51% 35% -$1,371

Other

48% 29% -$1,177

Crypto

0% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	+86	$50	98¢	$84	+$34	09-14 09:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+159	$49	44¢	$71	+$21	10-22 22:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+29	$10	24¢	$7	-$3	09-13 16:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$750	15,708	0	+15,708	No	-$750	02-03 06:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$402	1,600	1,600	+0	Yes	-$398	02-02 10:45
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$342	314	314	+0	No	+$60	05-20 21:41
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	3	$240	4,261	0	+4,261	No	-$240	01-26 07:32
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$200	235	0	+235	No	+$35	05-07 08:49
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$165	118	118	+0	open	—	06-03 11:23
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	4	$158	1,626	0	+1,626	Yes	-$158	01-05 16:55
maduro mugshot released by monday	2	$150	300	300	+0	No	-$90	01-05 14:17
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	2	$146	730	0	+730	No	-$146	05-14 22:02
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$144	360	360	+0	No	-$58	05-15 10:48
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$138	454	454	+0	No	-$134	04-13 10:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$128	212	0	+212	Yes	-$128	04-24 07:39
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	1	$122	130	0	+130	Yes	+$8	03-20 10:11
internet access restored in iran by friday	1	$120	148	0	+148	No	+$28	01-14 06:47
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$105	3,458	3,458	+0	No	-$91	01-28 04:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$100	217	0	+217	Yes	-$100	04-01 20:55
trump approval up or down this week 669	2	$97	435	0	+435	Up	-$97	01-09 10:36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$89	778	0	+778	No	-$89	06-10 07:17
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$88	675	675	+0	No	-$20	03-28 08:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$81	1,250	1,250	+0	No	-$19	05-25 20:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$80	121	0	+121	No	+$41	05-27 16:30
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	3	$70	111	111	+0	open	—	10-26 08:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$62	128	0	+128	No	+$66	04-16 03:52
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$62	1,926	1,926	+0	No	-$38	01-28 04:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	2	$53	67	67	+0	Yes	+$5	06-03 11:32
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	2	$51	309	309	+0	open	—	10-26 08:43
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	1	$50	501	0	+501	No	-$50	01-23 12:12
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	1	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	09-14 09:51
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$50	77	0	+77	Yes	+$27	09-19 14:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$50	216	0	+216	No	-$50	05-21 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:44:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0x901e9d…
10-26 08:43:42	Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	SELL	309	8¢	$26	0x79d329…
10-23 09:42:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xe9c633…
10-22 22:11:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	79	29¢	$23	0x827078…
10-17 23:10:33	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	133	16¢	$21	0x21b156…
10-17 13:04:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	86	27¢	$23	0x744b51…
10-13 07:28:40	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?	No	BUY	67	35¢	$23	0xec34ce…
10-07 18:36:58	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	133	19¢	$25	0x66312f…
10-05 08:06:23	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by november 15	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xdd4539…
10-01 07:50:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	80	33¢	$26	0xbda203…
09-24 10:40:23	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0xefb60e…
09-22 11:30:30	Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	309	8¢	$25	0xc99969…
09-22 10:26:04	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xcacef0…
09-22 10:20:19	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x7f69b7…
09-21 08:20:23	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	122	0¢	$0	0x18fc2b…
09-19 14:29:39	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x78f713…
09-14 09:51:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x633bfc…
09-13 16:35:12	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0x34752b…
09-13 16:35:00	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	484	3¢	$15	0x55298c…
09-13 16:32:18	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6717c1…
06-13 15:17:03	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	157	31¢	$49	0x83938c…
06-10 07:17:58	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	SELL	1,076	0¢	$2	0xb04d53…
06-10 07:17:24	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	556	7¢	$39	0x86885d…
06-06 16:30:43	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	825	3¢	$26	0xa62510…
06-03 11:32:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	67	43¢	$29	0x7406dc…
06-03 11:23:32	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	118	74¢	$87	0x9945ee…
06-02 21:15:52	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	118	66¢	$78	0x4b5ea3…
06-01 16:45:42	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	251	8¢	$20	0xe5bd04…
06-01 10:12:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	67	36¢	$24	0x88e5f5…
06-01 10:02:44	Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?	Yes	SELL	135	3¢	$4	0x6b617e…
05-27 16:30:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	121	66¢	$80	0xab008c…
05-25 20:45:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,250	2¢	$31	0xa175a1…
05-22 21:34:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0xeeaf1e…
05-21 11:13:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	222	22¢	$50	0x81a0ed…
05-21 11:10:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	216	23¢	$50	0xea9e36…
05-20 21:41:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	204	64¢	$130	0x330dd2…
05-20 21:10:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	110	64¢	$71	0x94a243…
05-15 13:09:17	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	314	45¢	$141	0x7f3161…
05-15 10:48:30	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	360	12¢	$43	0x4ea5f9…
05-14 22:02:12	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	480	21¢	$101	0x821179…
05-14 11:31:35	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	28¢	$101	0xd39b64…
05-11 13:06:06	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0x11e787…
05-11 13:03:16	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	387	1¢	$5	0xb378e1…
05-07 08:49:37	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xa2029b…
05-05 08:37:32	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0xc4e21e…
05-05 08:36:32	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	387	1¢	$3	0x2362fe…
05-05 08:28:02	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	496	6¢	$30	0x4abc93…
04-24 07:39:00	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	212	60¢	$128	0x72ce92…
04-16 03:52:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x62341a…
04-13 10:54:45	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	93	56¢	$52	0x9b2b68…
04-13 10:43:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	454	0¢	$2	0x18f7af…
04-11 15:52:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	362	29¢	$105	0x833734…
04-02 11:00:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	92	34¢	$31	0x73f622…
04-01 20:55:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x9436d1…
04-01 04:11:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,256	0¢	$1	0xaf1854…
03-31 17:46:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,256	1¢	$14	0x6f776f…
03-28 08:33:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	675	5¢	$34	0x6d8967…
03-26 11:12:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	675	8¢	$54	0xb00b3f…
03-22 07:45:19	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x6b9c70…
03-22 05:43:03	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0xc6d7e6…
03-21 04:24:01	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	203	14¢	$28	0x1738a3…
03-20 10:11:13	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0xbfd53b…
02-27 17:50:09	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x5224e4…
02-22 20:10:38	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	228	1¢	$1	0xeb479d…
02-03 06:27:04	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x235266…
02-02 10:45:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	1,600	0¢	$2	0x511eba…
02-02 10:44:16	bitcoin up or down on february 2	Down	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x1f958b…
01-28 04:42:07	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,458	0¢	$7	0x2c0045…
01-28 04:41:57	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,926	1¢	$12	0x068673…
01-26 07:33:21	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x779010…
01-26 07:32:41	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	Yes	BUY	1,567	6¢	$100	0x35cb11…
01-25 18:21:04	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	Yes	BUY	2,001	5¢	$100	0x4c86fe…
01-25 05:40:02	israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by january 31	Yes	BUY	692	6¢	$40	0xb5f4f5…
01-25 05:39:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x781f82…
01-23 12:12:10	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	501	10¢	$50	0x5f9d5e…
01-17 10:15:46	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	9,962	5¢	$518	0x45e7e4…
01-17 10:09:18	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,684	3¢	$48	0x539d11…
01-14 06:47:20	internet access restored in iran by friday	No	BUY	148	81¢	$120	0xd874de…
01-11 05:42:02	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,774	3¢	$50	0x3e6bda…
01-11 05:41:34	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,926	3¢	$50	0xfb2ec0…
01-09 10:36:54	trump approval up or down this week 669	Down	BUY	29	26¢	$7	0xe5411f…
01-09 10:23:00	will marty supreme make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	No	SELL	1,292	1¢	$7	0x33237c…
01-07 13:20:53	trump approval up or down this week 669	Down	BUY	407	22¢	$89	0x05ee9b…
01-05 16:55:25	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	No	BUY	516	10¢	$50	0xf79bc8…
01-05 16:54:01	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	3,678	4¢	$150	0xbd830b…
01-05 14:18:15	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	1,916	4¢	$80	0x852663…
01-05 14:17:03	maduro mugshot released by monday	Yes	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x7da39a…
01-05 14:16:47	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	No	BUY	553	9¢	$50	0xfcd4d6…
01-04 13:05:09	maduro mugshot released by monday	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0xccb58a…
01-04 08:37:59	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	No	BUY	502	11¢	$56	0x738c34…
01-03 16:57:15	will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	No	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xc29dec…