Reliable-Makeover 0x805a92…b60635 Create alert
whale hot 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$49.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.88K
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
1,322
Trades
7,579
lifetime
Volume
$1.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$205
Open exposure
$15.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 04:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
44% 69% -$6,147
Politics
30% 74% +$23,049
Sports
16% 87% +$17,059
Crypto
7% 60% +$513
Tech
2% 55% +$15,218
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? No — +11,891 $809 62¢ $7.3K +$6,505 11-04 09:56
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,376 $3,626 88¢ $3.8K +$214 11-04 05:06
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes — +4,112 $1,480 38¢ $1.6K +$103 11-05 04:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +949 $509 57¢ $544 +$36 10-21 01:14
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +597 $413 79¢ $470 +$57 09-13 20:31
alexandria ocasio cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on november 30 No — +250 $218 98¢ $245 +$27 10-16 23:41
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$110 15¢ $-141 -$31 10-21 01:16
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +597 $171 21¢ $127 -$44 09-13 20:23
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No — +837 $109 15¢ $125 +$17 10-30 03:25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$95 12¢ $-119 -$24 10-21 01:17
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$171 12¢ $-109 +$62 10-21 01:19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +188 $5 56¢ $106 +$100 10-18 22:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No +188 $169 44¢ $83 -$87 10-05 22:01
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$6 7¢ $-62 -$56 10-21 01:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +150 $75 40¢ $60 -$14 09-18 04:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No — +61 $55 79¢ $48 -$7 10-06 03:39
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? Yes — +40 $30 83¢ $33 +$3 10-07 20:27
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$46 3¢ $-25 +$21 10-21 01:18
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$19 2¢ $-20 -$1 10-21 01:19
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$5 2¢ $-20 -$16 10-21 01:22
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$3 2¢ $-20 -$17 10-21 01:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +87 $9 19¢ $17 +$7 11-04 04:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes — +61 $2 21¢ $13 +$11 10-06 21:19
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$6 1¢ $-7 -$1 10-21 01:21
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$4 1¢ $-7 -$2 10-21 01:28
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$10 1¢ $-6 +$5 10-21 01:23
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +30 $6 17¢ $5 -$1 10-08 11:05
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -20 -$11 18¢ $-4 +$7 09-17 15:36
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026? No — +20 $4 17¢ $3 $0 10-07 20:32
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$8 0¢ $-3 +$4 10-21 01:20