Realized P&L
+$53.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.50K
Hit rate
93.0%
Resolved
1,308
Trades
7,558
lifetime
Volume
$1.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$204
Open exposure
$25.9K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Other
44% 69% -$6,147
Politics
29% 75% +$26,635
Sports
16% 87% +$17,297
Crypto
7% 60% +$513
Tech
2% 55% +$15,218
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +15,896 $14,558 94¢ $15.0K +$463 10-13 20:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +19,500 $6,825 24¢ $4.6K -$2,242 10-26 17:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4,500 $2,970 76¢ $3.4K +$428 10-27 03:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +949 $509 60¢ $567 +$58 10-21 01:14
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +597 $413 67¢ $401 -$12 09-13 20:31
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +520 $307 74¢ $388 +$81 09-19 02:17
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -388 -$148 100¢ $-387 -$239 05-16 23:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +597 $171 33¢ $197 +$25 09-13 20:23
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$110 16¢ $-149 -$39 10-21 01:16
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$171 12¢ $-109 +$62 10-21 01:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$95 12¢ $-109 -$14 10-21 01:17
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? No +188 $169 57¢ $107 -$62 10-05 22:01
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? No +270 $86 38¢ $101 +$16 10-21 00:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +150 $75 57¢ $86 +$12 09-18 04:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +188 $5 43¢ $81 +$76 10-18 22:44
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$6 8¢ $-79 -$73 10-21 01:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +250 $92 26¢ $64 -$29 10-21 00:44
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$46 3¢ $-28 +$19 10-21 01:18
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$5 2¢ $-21 -$17 10-21 01:22
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$19 2¢ $-19 $0 10-21 01:19
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$10 1¢ $-10 +$0 10-21 01:23
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$3 1¢ $-10 -$7 10-21 01:29
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$4 1¢ $-8 -$4 10-21 01:28
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$6 1¢ $-8 -$2 10-21 01:21
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -20 -$11 34¢ $-7 +$4 09-17 15:36
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -949 -$8 0¢ $-3 +$4 10-21 01:20
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +30 $6 10¢ $3 -$3 10-08 11:05
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -450 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-09 20:05