Gruesome-Protection — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$670

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

46.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

353 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.66K

$20.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$365

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-06 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

88% 41% -$1,587

Politics

10% 71% +$557

Sports

2% 50% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	+282	$155	55¢	$154	-$1	11-06 01:29
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	+192	$100	52¢	$101	+$1	11-06 09:13
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	+167	$72	42¢	$71	-$1	11-06 01:33
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	VfB Stuttgart	+123	$46	32¢	$39	-$7	11-06 09:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$608	459	459	+0	Yes	+$208	10-28 15:00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$492	808	808	+0	Yes	-$22	04-14 07:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	4	$388	359	359	+0	Yes	+$48	08-04 12:23
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	2	$354	270	270	+0	Real Betis Balompié	+$154	05-03 18:00
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$290	192	190	+3	Yes	+$92	04-29 20:35
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	4	$289	490	0	+490	No	-$289	11-04 21:10
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	2	$262	205	205	+0	Villarreal CF	+$82	05-02 13:46
bun hof dor 2026 04 18 btts	2	$248	149	148	+1	Yes	+$49	04-18 16:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$237	169	169	+0	Yes	+$37	05-05 20:33
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$237	377	0	+377	Yes	+$141	11-03 23:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$235	245	0	+245	No	+$10	04-14 07:29
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	2	$230	141	141	+0	Yes	+$52	05-10 15:16
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	2	$225	137	137	+0	Yes	+$47	05-09 20:48
elc mid swe 2026 04 21 spread home 1pt5	1	$225	346	0	+346	Sheffield Wednesday FC	-$225	04-22 03:37
sea nap cre 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$223	153	151	+2	SSC Napoli	+$81	04-24 23:49
bun lei uni 2026 04 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$222	149	146	+2	RB Leipzig	+$73	04-24 23:50
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	1	$222	427	0	+427	Yes	+$205	04-18 16:26
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	2	$216	138	136	+2	Yes	+$58	04-26 20:53
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$215	157	157	+0	No	+$55	05-05 09:08
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?	2	$208	132	131	+2	Yes	+$54	05-02 17:09
Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$208	113	113	+0	No	+$8	10-28 12:07
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	2	$199	164	164	+0	No	-$1	10-28 11:26
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	2	$198	123	123	+0	Yes	+$48	05-02 20:47
bun moe mai 2026 04 19 moe	2	$193	163	160	+3	No	+$59	04-19 19:11
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	4	$183	469	0	+469	No	-$183	07-01 23:01
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	2	$180	116	115	+2	Yes	+$51	04-25 21:09
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$180	257	0	+257	Yes	+$77	03-04 14:50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?	2	$178	267	0	+267	No	-$178	11-04 20:38
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$177	106	105	+1	Yes	+$34	05-02 17:09
uel mta she 2026 07 30 spread home 1pt5	2	$175	346	0	+346	FC Sheriff Tiraspol	-$175	07-29 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:14:28	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	VfB Stuttgart	BUY	123	37¢	$46	0xa16530…
11-06 09:13:52	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0bbaee…
11-06 01:33:40	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	167	43¢	$72	0x9ca6a6…
11-06 01:30:36	Spread: Scotland (-1.5)	Scotland	BUY	103	57¢	$58	0x22564f…
11-06 01:29:21	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	282	55¢	$155	0xc1421a…
11-05 14:26:06	Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)	AS Monaco FC	BUY	170	43¢	$73	0xb4e86c…
11-05 13:53:34	Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)	AS Monaco FC	BUY	84	43¢	$36	0x261114…
11-05 13:41:57	Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)	AS Monaco FC	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0x0308f6…
11-04 21:10:09	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	84	58¢	$49	0xa19bcf…
11-04 21:03:36	Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0xbe6197…
11-04 20:53:19	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)	Sunderland AFC	BUY	88	41¢	$36	0xe167c0…
11-04 20:38:46	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	194	66¢	$128	0x4d037b…
11-04 01:20:04	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)	Sunderland AFC	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0xf59e91…
11-04 01:19:33	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x9079b7…
11-03 23:22:36	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	108	63¢	$68	0x0737a8…
11-03 23:18:28	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x453b3e…
11-03 23:16:49	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x823c08…
11-03 00:33:30	Spread: PSV (-1.5)	PSV	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x0ca377…
11-03 00:32:49	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xf8c6fb…
11-03 00:32:12	FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xe4e2b8…
11-03 00:30:24	Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xcfcdb1…
11-03 00:30:01	AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x4bdcec…
11-01 16:05:37	Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)	Newcastle United FC	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0xdf731c…
11-01 16:04:21	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	160	5¢	$8	0xe46c06…
11-01 14:10:21	Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)	AS Monaco FC	BUY	39	42¢	$16	0xa2a61f…
11-01 14:09:51	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x35e854…
11-01 14:07:06	Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x88cff5…
11-01 14:03:04	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x4613b1…
11-01 13:50:52	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x34365a…
11-01 13:50:00	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x992097…
11-01 13:27:51	Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	152	56¢	$85	0xdfd820…
11-01 13:23:45	Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc59d8b…
10-29 11:57:22	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0xa6d391…
10-29 09:54:22	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	114	12¢	$14	0x3aeda1…
10-28 21:47:07	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	69	57¢	$39	0xb33626…
10-28 21:20:20	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	160	37¢	$60	0xff330d…
10-28 21:16:11	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x3d31b6…
10-28 21:14:07	Will Joint List win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x8f7e0e…
10-28 16:22:13	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x4d732b…
10-28 16:02:29	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0x646d4d…
10-28 15:00:02	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	459	89¢	$408	0xe60cb4…
10-28 12:50:47	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	71	65¢	$46	0xfcc465…
10-28 12:27:53	Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	114	21¢	$24	0x5e019d…
10-28 12:21:34	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	155	8¢	$12	0x68dac4…
10-28 12:10:04	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x02d6dd…
10-28 12:07:50	Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	113	96¢	$108	0x86161f…
10-28 11:38:17	Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	68	64¢	$44	0xb17e53…
10-28 11:28:52	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	182	30¢	$55	0x38d4da…
10-28 11:26:28	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	164	60¢	$99	0x098ecd…
10-28 02:06:57	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)	Sunderland AFC	BUY	162	45¢	$73	0x76e085…
10-28 01:57:56	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x7c45ac…
10-28 01:54:54	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x9a89a1…
10-28 01:48:12	Will UTJ win fewer than 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	250	34¢	$85	0x05fa8c…
10-28 01:39:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x599686…
10-28 01:35:24	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	174	46¢	$80	0x5007ff…
10-28 01:33:06	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x579699…
10-28 01:27:21	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	179	67¢	$120	0x2e6073…
10-28 01:08:27	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xd6184d…
10-28 01:04:53	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x4a7376…
10-28 00:43:48	Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xa27eb7…
10-28 00:20:17	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x0f2b18…
08-05 10:45:57	Exact Score: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 - 0 PFK CSKA Sofia?	Yes	BUY	34	10¢	$3	0x867e1f…
08-05 10:43:54	uel ftc gor1 2026 08 05 spread home 1pt5	Ferencvárosi TC	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x95c62b…
08-04 12:28:18	ucl din kau 2026 08 04 spread home 1pt5	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0xac0519…
08-04 12:27:02	ucl hbs crv 2026 08 04 spread away 1pt5	FK Crvena zvezda	BUY	243	35¢	$85	0x44ebcd…
08-04 12:26:23	Exact Score: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 1 - 3 FK Crvena zvezda?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xf01991…
08-04 12:23:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xf44372…
08-02 12:56:35	atp kouzmin debru 2026 08 02	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0xfced60…
08-01 20:16:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	135	63¢	$85	0xde5393…
08-01 19:53:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	224	37¢	$83	0x3fd5da…
08-01 19:52:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	224	38¢	$85	0xc5f0b5…
07-30 11:51:24	Exact Score: MH Beitar Jerusalem 1 - 1 AEK Lárnakas?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x2ac027…
07-30 07:23:35	Exact Score: PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 2 - 1 MH Hapoel Tel Aviv?	Yes	BUY	111	11¢	$12	0x9ae3f6…
07-29 22:28:27	uel mta she 2026 07 30 spread home 1pt5	MH Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x3cdf7d…
07-29 08:51:27	Exact Score: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva 2 - 0 KF Víkingur?	Yes	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0xbb2699…
07-29 08:51:11	ucl hbs vik 2026 07 29 spread home 1pt5	MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe6bf9a…
07-26 09:03:30	uel mta she 2026 07 30 spread home 1pt5	MH Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x08f4b1…
07-23 15:34:28	Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	BUY	150	41¢	$62	0xe46f6b…
07-21 08:07:57	ucl vik hbs 2026 07 21 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	64	67¢	$43	0xa9c760…
07-21 08:07:04	ucl fen gor 2026 07 21 spread home 1pt5	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x6d06b4…
07-19 21:16:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x82eb12…
07-19 21:14:40	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x592f15…
07-18 14:52:36	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	725	8¢	$58	0x0389f5…
07-18 14:52:03	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	708	12¢	$85	0x8bf97c…
07-18 14:51:43	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xf06040…
07-18 02:39:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xd5153e…
07-17 10:08:12	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	330	50¢	$165	0x36cb7e…
07-12 01:18:23	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x222626…
07-12 01:17:58	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xe22f25…
07-11 00:56:44	uel ftc vns 2026 07 16 spread home 1pt5	Ferencvárosi TC	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0xbe363a…
07-11 00:55:28	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	257	7¢	$18	0x12d408…
07-11 00:51:38	uel ftc vns 2026 07 16 spread home 1pt5	Ferencvárosi TC	BUY	184	44¢	$80	0x796688…
07-11 00:44:14	Will Ħamrun Spartans FC win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x6cade8…
07-11 00:40:20	Will Astana FK win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	93	66¢	$62	0xec29ed…
07-10 22:22:47	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x669f9a…
07-10 08:11:07	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0xb0aab1…
07-10 08:10:47	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x98461e…
07-08 12:41:44	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x213608…
07-08 12:40:44	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	315	27¢	$85	0x6e8e42…
07-08 12:40:37	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	340	25¢	$85	0xc0645a…