Weird-Hive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.05K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

6,123

Trades

21,863

lifetime

Volume

$148.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-06 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 59% -$2,537

Politics

3% 20% -$1,028

Other

2% 67% -$1,491

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	55	$2.0K	91,363	93,105	-1,743	No	-$993	02-12 06:44
spx up or down on february 20 2026	123	$1.9K	20,167	2,358	+17,809	Up	-$337	02-20 20:41
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	15	$1.3K	10,219	10,219	+0	No	+$162	02-18 13:04
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	1	$1.1K	0	2,265	-2,265	Down	-$1,155	02-21 21:53
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	57	$943	11,520	11,560	-40	No	-$194	02-25 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 22:15 UTC	6	$769	766	759	+7	Up	+$376	02-17 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:20 UTC	26	$520	910	657	+253	Down	+$200	02-18 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 17:50 UTC	8	$457	670	244	+427	Up	+$127	02-17 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:20 UTC	6	$416	946	0	+946	Down	-$416	02-17 15:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:45 UTC	19	$411	771	653	+118	Down	-$28	02-17 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 18:35 UTC	17	$408	624	392	+232	Up	+$201	02-17 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:05 UTC	14	$376	459	391	+68	Up	-$5	02-17 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 13:40 UTC	6	$374	712	172	+540	Up	+$390	02-13 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 17:40 UTC	7	$363	1,203	0	+1,203	Down	-$363	02-17 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 17:30 UTC	8	$356	606	120	+486	Down	-$269	02-17 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:25 UTC	10	$332	646	268	+378	Down	-$129	02-17 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 22:30 UTC	12	$328	254	254	-0	Up	+$57	02-17 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:20 UTC	6	$324	1,171	0	+1,171	Down	-$324	02-17 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 23:15 UTC	4	$323	214	211	+3	Up	+$73	02-17 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 22:50 UTC	15	$317	338	338	+0	Up	+$124	02-17 22:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC	2	$312	217	214	+3	Up	+$115	02-13 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 00:05 UTC	23	$297	390	231	+159	Down	+$57	02-15 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 22:50 UTC	14	$297	356	209	+146	Down	+$108	02-18 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 20:05 UTC	24	$294	450	337	+113	Up	+$92	02-16 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 16:30 UTC	16	$291	642	60	+582	Up	+$329	02-17 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 19:40 UTC	17	$289	412	252	+161	Up	+$95	02-17 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 22:40 UTC	15	$285	557	193	+364	Down	-$84	02-17 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 22:20 UTC	9	$285	344	232	+112	Up	+$149	02-17 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 22:45 UTC	19	$282	396	179	+218	Down	-$52	02-17 22:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 17:00 UTC	14	$281	735	40	+695	Up	+$177	02-17 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 20:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xd330d9…
10-06 19:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2613ce…
10-06 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xdfecd7…
10-06 19:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xd6ec98…
10-06 19:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd232f8…
10-06 19:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb091bb…
10-06 19:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xff2bbe…
10-06 19:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc06cb0…
10-06 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbfc199…
10-06 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x634232…
10-06 19:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x83597b…
10-06 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6a9ff0…
10-06 18:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1cfcdd…
10-06 18:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9f572b…
10-06 18:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x83dd6e…
10-06 18:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf28f48…
10-06 18:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x44baaf…
10-06 18:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xd05834…
10-06 16:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x593ba1…
10-06 16:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa14006…
10-06 16:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x139f39…
10-06 16:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xefea78…
10-06 15:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x753622…
10-06 15:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe154cc…
10-06 14:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x823012…
10-06 14:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x3cb45d…
10-06 14:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9dafe2…
10-06 14:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x000a76…
10-06 14:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x24f90b…
10-06 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1b6057…
10-06 14:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xba23ef…
10-06 14:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xaaaf6a…
10-06 13:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd2c446…
10-06 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xafd5c9…
10-06 13:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1d2df4…
10-06 13:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8cbfed…
10-06 13:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb3d7fb…
10-06 13:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x506147…
10-06 13:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7c4845…
10-06 13:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x839f23…
10-06 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x9bdd61…
10-06 13:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x0ffa6a…
10-06 13:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbfb167…
10-06 13:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe499fe…
10-06 13:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xd74543…
10-06 13:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8548f0…
10-06 12:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xde8ff7…
10-06 12:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x45b6ca…
10-06 12:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2948de…
10-06 12:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x6bc0bb…
10-06 12:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf9a054…
10-06 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9d5df0…
10-06 12:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x516072…
10-06 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x4cae81…
10-06 12:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x029219…
10-06 12:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1ce388…
10-06 12:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x1f7a63…
10-06 12:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x8eec87…
10-06 12:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x12bb32…
10-06 11:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf1a5ec…
10-06 11:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xafd54e…
10-06 11:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xe9ff82…
10-06 11:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4bab47…
10-06 11:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9e8ee1…
10-06 11:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x68cf8c…
10-06 11:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0aa9bf…
10-06 10:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb11c30…
10-06 10:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd80538…
10-06 10:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdeb318…
10-06 10:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xfe9244…
10-06 09:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xbae9cd…
10-06 09:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x908249…
10-06 09:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6d183d…
10-06 09:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf5324b…
10-06 08:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xcd999c…
10-06 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x289c33…
10-06 08:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x5f043a…
10-06 06:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5e6018…
10-06 06:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x585ec6…
10-06 06:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x91b25a…
10-06 06:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xedd630…
10-06 05:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb24e0e…
10-06 00:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb000ba…
10-05 22:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x47247a…
10-05 22:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x13d086…
10-05 22:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x0f3bd6…
10-05 21:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x03dfa7…
10-05 21:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x2932e0…
10-05 20:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	82¢	$21	0x1bd2b5…
10-05 20:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x0e1c19…
10-05 20:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$21	0x5dd0ec…
10-05 19:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x22f91c…
10-05 19:45:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$21	0x457643…
10-05 19:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xbfb8ef…
10-05 19:16:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xf498cf…
10-05 19:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf8e5be…
10-05 18:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xe05075…
10-05 14:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xc39289…
10-05 14:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0x0470f0…
10-05 14:16:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x2a64cf…