Strict-Nut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

163

Trades

1,306

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-20 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 215 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$80	73	44	+28	open	—	05-20 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$45	33	33	+0	open	—	05-20 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	05-20 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	05-20 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	8	$39	67	67	+0	Down	+$10	05-09 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	04-29 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$34	22	22	+0	open	—	05-20 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$33	31	31	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$31	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	6	$31	41	41	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$28	56	56	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$27	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	6	$25	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$25	45	45	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	9	$23	38	38	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$22	201	0	+201	open	—	04-28 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$21	35	18	+17	open	—	04-27 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	9	$21	39	13	+27	Up	$-2	05-09 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$20	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$19	32	16	+15	open	—	04-28 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$19	27	27	+0	Up	$-3	05-09 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$18	35	15	+20	open	—	04-27 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$18	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$17	145	0	+145	open	—	04-28 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$16	14	14	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$16	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 09:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0xd9a5b6…
05-20 09:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	83¢	$19	0xed4900…
05-20 09:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xacee88…
05-20 09:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xaf6817…
05-20 09:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x9d4e74…
05-20 07:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	32	51¢	$16	0x99532f…
05-20 07:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0x5d38bf…
05-20 07:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0x7865a7…
05-20 07:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0xc4855f…
05-20 07:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xaa512d…
05-20 07:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0xfddbaf…
05-20 07:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x8d1b7c…
05-20 07:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	33	75¢	$25	0xc417fb…
05-20 07:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x0719de…
05-20 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x79dee1…
05-20 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x4f3ab0…
05-20 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	60¢	$10	0x4b30a6…
05-20 07:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb47749…
05-20 07:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9cd3d4…
05-20 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb42c35…
05-13 10:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x063764…
05-11 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1c702b…
05-11 13:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb06858…
05-11 13:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x75d9b5…
05-11 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3f5e4b…
05-11 13:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf8813f…
05-11 13:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x0749c4…
05-11 13:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x472b1c…
05-11 13:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xfaa33e…
05-11 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x1ebcc7…
05-11 13:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x601831…
05-11 13:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa233c6…
05-11 13:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf6aee9…
05-11 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf9af55…
05-11 13:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x833f30…
05-11 13:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xaf8c19…
05-11 13:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0bce29…
05-11 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x5265a3…
05-11 12:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x03d27b…
05-11 12:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1ea089…
05-11 12:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x603a58…
05-11 12:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xdc8a37…
05-11 12:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x89ac7e…
05-11 12:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x294bfa…
05-11 12:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x35930c…
05-11 12:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$2	0x9a2920…
05-11 12:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x7b8cc6…
05-11 12:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x848705…
05-11 12:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x02c38c…
05-11 12:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x21c2ae…
05-11 12:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0e1fbd…
05-11 12:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6308cf…
05-11 12:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x0a1e2d…
05-11 12:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfdfa0c…
05-11 12:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x62ac48…
05-11 12:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x12222d…
05-11 12:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc1404c…
05-11 12:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xe31ed2…
05-11 12:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x0912f6…
05-11 11:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe75e94…
05-11 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0157bb…
05-11 11:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0547f2…
05-11 11:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x5253ca…
05-11 11:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1824ef…
05-11 11:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6a36b7…
05-11 11:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x58553d…
05-11 11:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xfe5b17…
05-11 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x707a43…
05-11 11:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe89654…
05-11 11:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x614f2d…
05-11 11:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa586f7…
05-11 11:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x20a059…
05-11 11:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x46a8fa…
05-11 11:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x2ccab0…
05-11 11:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x59b105…
05-11 11:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xcdf0ab…
05-11 11:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x298a62…
05-11 11:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd4fc96…
05-11 11:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x020a5e…
05-11 11:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd1a771…
05-11 10:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x8fc31a…
05-11 10:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4b35c3…
05-11 10:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xa4eb34…
05-11 10:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8209dc…
05-11 10:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x83a62c…
05-11 10:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x412af3…
05-11 10:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcd792e…
05-11 10:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7a9e1f…
05-11 10:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x79e05c…
05-11 10:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x662d99…
05-11 10:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x94d3b2…
05-11 10:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x1b0c1d…
05-11 10:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4bb76c…
05-11 10:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbba42d…
05-11 10:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x3462dc…
05-11 10:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xad0698…
05-11 10:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x38adca…
05-11 10:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xea4299…
05-11 10:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x440995…
05-11 10:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x914e32…