Strict-Nut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

19.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$122

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 23% $-45

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	+7	$4	100¢	$7	+$3	05-11 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	+6	$4	98¢	$6	+$2	05-11 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	+6	$4	1¢	$0	$-4	05-11 00:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$20	8	33	-26	Down	$-14	05-09 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$12	6	16	-10	Up	$-6	05-09 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-11 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-10 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-6	05-09 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$6	0	13	-13	Down	$-7	05-09 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	Up	$-1	05-09 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	0	7	-7	open	—	05-10 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	0	14	-14	Up	+$5	05-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$4	16	0	+16	Down	$-4	05-09 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-11 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-11 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-11 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$4	14	0	+14	Up	$-4	05-09 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-09 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$4	0	8	-8	Up	$-4	05-10 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$3	17	0	+17	Down	$-3	05-10 02:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xcee16e…
05-11 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x855703…
05-11 00:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x072a04…
05-11 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x43fc84…
05-11 00:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x10a5ff…
05-10 23:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0xb43530…
05-10 23:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x22cc6a…
05-10 21:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x1f25cd…
05-10 02:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x1edabd…
05-10 01:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x521313…
05-10 00:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x6fb6f7…
05-09 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x062b48…
05-09 19:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7202d1…
05-09 16:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x643e88…
05-09 16:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0xe16cf5…
05-09 15:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0xb6fc4a…
05-09 15:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1be284…
05-09 15:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x5fa612…
05-09 15:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x981c53…
05-09 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x07caeb…
05-09 14:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xb371e4…
05-09 14:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfef21e…
05-09 14:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4129e8…
05-09 13:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbcb4b0…
05-09 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0xa4bc1c…
05-09 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x7cd0c5…
05-09 11:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x12a321…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	19	$5.82K	230	05-11 01:05
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	17	$1.36K	109	05-11 01:00
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	16	$1.29K	130	05-11 00:55
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	16	$831	153	05-11 01:00
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	16	$605	70	05-11 01:00
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$5.48K	137	05-11 01:04
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	15	$1.07K	48	05-11 01:00
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	15	$673	41	05-11 01:04