Strict-Nut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$269

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-13 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% $-26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-11 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$20	8	33	-26	Down	$-14	05-09 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$12	6	16	-10	Up	$-6	05-09 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-6	05-09 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$6	0	13	-13	Down	$-7	05-09 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 03:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	Up	$-1	05-09 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	0	7	-7	Down	+$5	05-10 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	0	14	-14	Up	+$5	05-10 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$5	8	8	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$4	16	0	+16	Down	$-4	05-09 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	$-4	05-11 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	+$3	05-11 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-11 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-11 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$6	05-11 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	$-4	05-11 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-11 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$4	14	0	+14	Up	$-4	05-09 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 10:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x063764…
05-11 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3f5e4b…
05-11 13:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf8813f…
05-11 13:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x472b1c…
05-11 13:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xfaa33e…
05-11 13:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x1ebcc7…
05-11 13:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf6aee9…
05-11 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf9af55…
05-11 12:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x848705…
05-11 11:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe89654…
05-11 10:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x8fc31a…
05-11 10:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8209dc…
05-11 10:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x83a62c…
05-11 10:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x412af3…
05-11 10:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xcd792e…
05-11 10:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x79e05c…
05-11 10:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4bb76c…
05-11 10:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x38adca…
05-11 10:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x440995…
05-11 10:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x914e32…
05-11 10:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x63106d…
05-11 09:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7e1e56…
05-11 05:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x922dc9…
05-11 05:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb49968…
05-11 05:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xc7a092…
05-11 05:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xe297ac…
05-11 04:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x8b24bc…
05-11 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xffd739…
05-11 04:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x0b66ae…
05-11 04:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$2	0x6d9644…
05-11 04:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x35759d…
05-11 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe6cadc…
05-11 04:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xfb029b…
05-11 03:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x31b5b1…
05-11 03:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9e26bd…
05-11 03:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x2c1c6e…
05-11 03:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xa75293…
05-11 03:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x01d80d…
05-11 02:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x1fc42f…
05-11 02:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xc6521d…
05-11 02:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x3ea288…
05-11 01:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xebe3c8…
05-11 01:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x220c67…
05-11 01:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x8b0146…
05-11 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xcee16e…
05-11 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x855703…
05-11 00:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x072a04…
05-11 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x43fc84…
05-11 00:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x10a5ff…
05-10 23:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0xb43530…
05-10 23:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x22cc6a…
05-10 21:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x1f25cd…
05-10 02:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x1edabd…
05-10 01:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x521313…
05-10 00:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x6fb6f7…
05-09 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x062b48…
05-09 19:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7202d1…
05-09 16:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x643e88…
05-09 16:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0xe16cf5…
05-09 15:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	47¢	$16	0xb6fc4a…
05-09 15:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1be284…
05-09 15:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x5fa612…
05-09 15:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x981c53…
05-09 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x07caeb…
05-09 14:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xb371e4…
05-09 14:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfef21e…
05-09 14:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4129e8…
05-09 13:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xbcb4b0…
05-09 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0xa4bc1c…
05-09 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x7cd0c5…
05-09 11:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x12a321…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	54	$20.9K	800	05-13 10:53
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	51	$4.73K	394	05-13 10:53
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	51	$4.40K	831	05-13 10:53
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	50	$2.44K	280	05-13 10:53
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	50	$1.78K	456	05-13 10:53
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	47	$3.37K	158	05-11 13:35
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	47	$3.30K	413	05-13 10:53
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	46	$4.52K	261	05-13 10:53