Minor-Specialty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.84K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

12,482

Trades

15,208

lifetime

Volume

$358.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-27 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 197 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 83% +$3,008

Politics

2% 80% -$236

Other

1% 60% +$137

Sports

0% 0% -$71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	76	$14.1K	9,832	10,726	-895	No	+$2,981	03-24 09:07
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	86	$9.6K	5,764	6,464	-700	No	+$1,010	03-23 12:40
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	95	$6.0K	18,470	16,980	+1,491	Yes	+$818	03-24 18:27
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$22	03-21 05:15
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$64	03-24 03:15
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$1.2K	606	606	+0	No	+$4	03-21 05:16
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	9	$1.2K	4,243	4,243	+0	No	+$789	02-09 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	Up	-$1,068	07-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1.0K	1,084	0	+1,084	Down	+$35	07-07 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 14:40 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,084	0	+1,084	Up	+$43	07-07 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 04:30 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	Down	+$21	07-07 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	Down	+$28	07-07 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 17:45 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	Down	+$34	07-06 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:55 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	Up	+$34	07-06 02:59
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$994	500	500	+0	No	+$1	03-21 05:16
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	9	$980	516	516	+0	No	+$12	03-21 08:54
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	22	$973	937	875	+62	No	-$149	02-01 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 04:15 UTC	1	$954	984	0	+984	Up	+$30	07-05 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 19:25 UTC	1	$869	889	0	+889	Up	+$20	07-04 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:40 UTC	1	$860	889	0	+889	Up	+$29	07-03 20:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 15:50 UTC	1	$856	889	0	+889	Down	+$33	07-04 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 00:20 UTC	1	$854	889	0	+889	Down	+$35	07-04 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 04:20 UTC	1	$835	843	0	+843	Down	+$8	07-10 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 04:15 UTC	1	$818	843	0	+843	Up	+$25	07-10 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 23:10 UTC	1	$816	843	0	+843	Down	+$27	07-09 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 06:30 UTC	1	$815	845	0	+845	Down	+$30	07-24 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 01:20 UTC	1	$813	843	0	+843	Up	+$30	07-10 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC	1	$812	843	0	+843	Down	+$31	07-10 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 02:50 UTC	1	$812	821	0	+821	Up	+$9	07-24 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 11:35 UTC	1	$812	843	0	+843	Up	-$812	07-10 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc06c2d…
10-26 20:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xfd6bf9…
10-26 17:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x425aef…
10-26 16:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe014bf…
10-26 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x4ff53a…
10-26 11:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x519e3a…
10-26 05:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x969985…
10-26 01:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xfee3ea…
10-25 23:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xd788b6…
10-24 10:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x3f0eae…
10-23 23:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x5b960c…
10-23 13:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	25¢	$18	0x703899…
10-23 08:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	20¢	$15	0x935d97…
10-23 02:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x3c7433…
10-22 22:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x2c4b73…
10-22 17:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5f03ce…
10-22 13:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xf2469c…
10-22 11:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5615cc…
10-21 23:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8e3a27…
10-21 21:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa53435…
10-21 18:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa17cf1…
10-21 16:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x699369…
10-20 17:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xda63a1…
10-20 13:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x61c0cb…
10-20 11:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0xd7ccc3…
10-20 11:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xb28146…
10-20 09:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xc3db72…
10-20 08:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	3¢	$2	0x64d469…
10-20 08:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x483c6c…
10-16 17:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x52066b…
10-16 00:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	109	6¢	$7	0x826d1c…
10-16 00:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	60¢	$65	0x878ba7…
10-15 20:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	81	80¢	$65	0xb5a8f3…
10-15 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	76	86¢	$65	0x2c2cab…
10-15 17:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	80	8¢	$6	0x25bd42…
10-15 17:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0x9207cf…
10-15 12:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0xc25230…
10-15 12:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0xf15cec…
10-15 12:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	83	78¢	$65	0xfbc51e…
10-15 10:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0xcb5f17…
10-15 10:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	77	84¢	$65	0x778b3e…
10-15 08:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	89	8¢	$7	0x18cc4b…
10-15 08:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	89	73¢	$65	0xee3e50…
10-14 22:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	93	81¢	$75	0xbd0f20…
10-14 20:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	Down	SELL	107	7¢	$8	0x7daa1f…
10-14 20:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x66344a…
10-14 18:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	85	77¢	$65	0x4b83f0…
10-14 14:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	86	3¢	$3	0xa7efaf…
10-14 14:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	86	76¢	$65	0x175b89…
10-14 14:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	98	66¢	$65	0x9dbefa…
10-14 12:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	97	67¢	$65	0x6ff060…
10-14 08:24:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	88	3¢	$3	0x4f037f…
10-14 08:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	88	74¢	$65	0xf858a4…
10-14 06:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	80	81¢	$65	0xdc1a74…
10-14 06:09:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	77	85¢	$65	0xd3d83d…
10-14 05:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	82	80¢	$65	0xf34856…
10-14 04:54:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Down	SELL	91	5¢	$5	0xa63f05…
10-14 04:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	91	72¢	$65	0x483349…
10-13 16:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	82	79¢	$65	0x6468b2…
10-13 09:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	114	70¢	$80	0x87e1f0…
10-13 03:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xa6b90e…
10-12 22:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xe2b841…
10-12 22:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x9c51f4…
10-12 22:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x60cea6…
10-11 18:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x14f0ee…
10-11 18:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xbb44cd…
10-11 17:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x9e10b6…
10-11 07:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x4af8c3…
09-30 04:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:55 UTC	Up	SELL	57	6¢	$3	0xb74ca4…
09-30 04:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xe39032…
09-30 04:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0x61609f…
09-30 03:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	56	94¢	$52	0x3ecd1f…
09-30 03:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x2593dc…
09-29 23:59:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xd81030…
09-29 23:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x4af140…
09-29 22:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x8c63d2…
09-29 22:08:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0xfa4da4…
09-29 19:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0xd2f452…
09-29 19:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x581c3b…
09-29 19:04:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0x750d4e…
09-29 17:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xe403d4…
09-29 17:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xeb00cf…
09-29 17:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x7aae31…
09-29 16:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0xdc8561…
09-29 15:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x6a7929…
09-29 09:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x1174b6…
09-29 09:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x15254d…
09-29 09:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x169949…
09-29 09:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x2d861b…
09-29 09:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x7d372f…
09-26 04:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xadda8f…
09-26 04:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x22307b…
09-26 03:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0x2e503f…
09-26 03:48:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x72ced7…
09-26 03:39:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x627c96…
09-26 03:38:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x97e4da…
09-26 03:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0x798111…
09-26 03:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0xc73151…
09-26 02:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 02:55 UTC	Up	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0x2545f9…
09-26 02:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0xfc29c4…