Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$261

Unrealized P&L

+$432

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$297

Open exposure

$4.90K

9 positions

First seen

2026-10-11

last 11-07 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

44% 45% -$306

Politics

30% 100% +$447

Sports

17% 67% +$55

Tech

7% 100% +$65

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5,556	$1,000	20¢	$1.1K	+$83	10-26 00:52
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	+1,053	$500	98¢	$1.0K	+$530	11-05 13:35
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+6,667	$1,000	12¢	$833	-$167	10-12 23:24
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+5,111	$767	15¢	$741	-$26	11-07 00:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+581	$500	92¢	$538	+$38	10-18 16:57
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	+1,166	$300	20¢	$233	-$67	11-06 02:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+229	$200	91¢	$208	+$8	10-17 20:55
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	+169	$100	90¢	$153	+$53	11-05 19:54
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	No	+286	$100	28¢	$79	-$21	11-05 21:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$2.3K	1,266	1,266	+0	Yes	+$265	11-04 21:15
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	2	$2.1K	1,087	1,087	+0	Gen.G	+$86	11-05 00:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$2.0K	1,031	1,031	+0	Yes	+$23	10-18 15:56
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,316	1,316	+0	open	—	10-25 20:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$1.0K	5,556	0	+5,556	open	—	10-26 00:52
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$1.0K	6,667	0	+6,667	open	—	10-12 23:24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	2	$900	1,171	0	+1,171	Yes	+$271	10-13 18:24
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$767	5,111	0	+5,111	open	—	11-07 00:58
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?	2	$565	349	349	+0	No	+$65	11-06 00:47
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	1	$500	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	11-05 13:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	1	$500	581	0	+581	open	—	10-18 16:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	1	$500	835	0	+835	No	+$335	10-19 22:52
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	1	$500	581	0	+581	No	-$500	10-13 18:06
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	2	$430	642	642	+0	Yes	+$122	10-25 21:03
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$420	439	439	+0	open	—	10-26 00:32
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$403	303	303	+0	open	—	10-23 22:53
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	2	$355	205	205	+0	Legacy	+$55	10-25 17:51
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	1	$300	1,166	0	+1,166	open	—	11-06 02:24
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$275	348	0	+348	open	—	10-25 14:00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	2	$259	312	312	+0	No	+$59	10-21 19:25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$250	391	0	+391	Yes	+$141	10-19 22:31
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	2	$246	455	455	+0	No	-$154	10-13 21:04
Texans vs. Jaguars	2	$241	169	169	+0	Texans	+$41	10-18 16:45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$236	223	223	+0	Yes	+$62	10-20 20:37
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	2	$214	179	179	+0	open	—	10-19 22:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$213	117	117	+0	Yes	+$19	10-25 11:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	1	$200	229	0	+229	open	—	10-17 20:55
Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	1	$190	811	0	+811	No	-$190	10-27 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$115	118	118	+0	No	+$15	11-05 19:32
Lisbon: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov	2	$110	238	20	+218	Joao Domingues	-$90	10-18 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 00:58:55	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5,111	15¢	$767	0xd23009…
11-06 02:24:31	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,166	26¢	$300	0x1a8325…
11-06 00:47:16	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	349	90¢	$315	0xc22ea5…
11-05 21:20:18	Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x8f0a5c…
11-05 19:54:09	Israel military action against Lebanon on November 6?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x5644d0…
11-05 19:32:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	55¢	$65	0x431a74…
11-05 13:53:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x902dff…
11-05 13:35:16	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	47¢	$500	0x03ae65…
11-05 00:49:49	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	SELL	1,087	100¢	$1,086	0x9f850e…
11-04 21:57:46	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x35a7c1…
11-04 21:40:43	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	349	72¢	$250	0xeb2187…
11-04 21:15:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,266	100¢	$1,265	0xf4fcf6…
10-27 14:44:12	Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	811	23¢	$190	0x506cff…
10-26 06:37:00	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	161	36¢	$58	0xa03f0d…
10-26 01:01:42	Chiefs vs. Seahawks	Chiefs	BUY	142	31¢	$44	0xde070b…
10-26 00:52:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	5,556	18¢	$1,000	0xf2c7a4…
10-26 00:40:26	Grizzlies vs. Kings	Grizzlies	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x9c7892…
10-26 00:32:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	439	50¢	$220	0x01be66…
10-25 21:28:36	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x26c2da…
10-25 21:03:06	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	642	43¢	$276	0xfce508…
10-25 20:30:53	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,316	45¢	$592	0xa1861c…
10-25 17:51:51	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xac8bd3…
10-25 14:00:56	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	348	79¢	$275	0xc36592…
10-25 13:28:59	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	205	73¢	$150	0x772dc6…
10-25 13:28:15	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x271257…
10-25 12:06:00	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,316	38¢	$500	0xed819c…
10-25 11:51:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	642	24¢	$154	0xcd8920…
10-25 11:48:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x803b51…
10-23 22:53:45	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	265	67¢	$177	0xd6bf82…
10-23 19:21:57	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xbad48b…
10-23 19:10:15	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x29ef6c…
10-23 18:43:03	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	67¢	$19	0x0afd03…
10-23 10:07:45	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x32c30c…
10-21 23:32:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	117	83¢	$97	0x9ed21a…
10-21 21:59:44	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	291	37¢	$109	0x391a41…
10-21 19:25:50	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	312	51¢	$159	0x9a0b15…
10-21 16:24:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x26e9cb…
10-20 20:37:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	223	67¢	$149	0xf27e17…
10-20 09:35:21	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	223	39¢	$87	0x47ce9a…
10-19 22:52:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	835	60¢	$500	0xd72a6e…
10-19 22:33:09	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	64¢	$114	0x7cf108…
10-19 22:31:06	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	391	64¢	$250	0x0fe843…
10-18 16:57:23	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x2374ac…
10-18 16:56:05	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x58ad4e…
10-18 16:45:08	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	SELL	169	83¢	$141	0x712422…
10-18 15:56:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	1,031	99¢	$1,023	0xba951d…
10-18 15:55:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x4c9a49…
10-18 15:53:11	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x1d333c…
10-18 13:05:17	Lisbon: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov	Ivan Gakhov	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xe4cdd9…
10-18 12:55:41	Lisbon: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov	Ivan Gakhov	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x871c7e…
10-18 12:34:03	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x0161e1…
10-17 20:57:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x06bb64…
10-17 20:55:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	87¢	$200	0x5f009a…
10-17 20:52:59	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xcca066…
10-17 20:42:03	Auburn vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xe79505…
10-17 20:37:17	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x4bc3ce…
10-13 21:04:57	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	455	10¢	$46	0x3a258c…
10-13 18:24:42	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0xd7b51b…
10-13 18:06:55	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x76cebf…
10-13 17:56:28	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0xb6d9d6…
10-12 23:24:02	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	6,667	15¢	$1,000	0x0e4dbe…
10-11 19:39:37	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	439	46¢	$200	0xc72489…
10-11 19:35:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0xd3e9b3…
10-11 19:15:01	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x659699…