Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

28.0%

Resolved

242

Trades

767

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 11-03 10:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

83% 21% -$172

Crypto

17% 38% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us imports russian diesel by november 30	No		+9	$6	88¢	$8	+$2	10-15 07:35
us imports russian diesel by november 30	Yes		+9	$3	12¢	$1	-$2	10-15 03:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	5	$156	306	306	+0	open	—	10-21 01:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	5	$122	135	135	+0	open	—	10-20 21:16
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	5	$112	125	125	-0	open	—	10-15 02:34
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?	2	$89	53	53	+0	Yes	-$1	10-19 07:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	3	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 15:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	9	$77	128	128	+0	No	+$1	10-14 05:48
Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026?	2	$67	55	55	+0	Yes	-$22	10-19 11:47
us imports russian diesel by november 30	4	$35	39	21	+18	open	—	10-15 07:35
will zinedine zidane attend the 2026 ballon dor ceremony	2	$32	38	38	+0	No	-$2	10-17 06:59
pedro snchez out as pm of spain by january 15 2027	2	$32	29	29	+0	open	—	10-16 02:23
katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	2	$32	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 17:02
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	2	$30	25	25	+0	Yes	-$2	10-13 09:26
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	2	$10	23	23	+0	open	—	11-03 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	11-02 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	11-03 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$7	109	9	+100	Up	+$1	10-26 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on September 12?	4	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	09-12 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	11-02 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21?	3	$7	85	0	+85	No	-$7	09-21 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 15?	19	$6	162	0	+162	No	-$6	09-15 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	Down	$0	11-03 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	Down	$0	11-03 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	5	$6	78	0	+78	No	-$6	09-24 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 23?	1	$6	75	0	+75	No	-$6	09-23 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20?	2	$6	120	0	+120	No	-$6	09-20 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 25?	1	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	09-25 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$6	600	0	+600	Down	-$6	11-02 11:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 19?	4	$6	200	0	+200	No	-$6	09-19 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 18?	11	$6	120	0	+120	No	-$6	09-18 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x060630…
11-03 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5a3fc8…
11-03 10:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x1fd01a…
11-03 10:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfb268b…
11-03 10:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x2f4509…
11-03 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3023d1…
11-03 10:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xfdfb59…
11-03 10:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x458d50…
11-03 09:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x577804…
11-03 09:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xac6f64…
11-03 09:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xa863c1…
11-03 09:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x416545…
11-03 09:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3578d2…
11-03 09:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x0e4642…
11-03 08:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd954bb…
11-03 08:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xcfb081…
11-03 08:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x76c3a5…
11-03 08:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xabc749…
11-03 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x2209bf…
11-03 08:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xb414b0…
11-03 07:23:52	Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x09b391…
11-03 07:23:43	Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	23¢	$5	0xe91606…
11-03 05:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x9b8987…
11-03 05:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x7047cb…
11-03 05:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xec477b…
11-03 05:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x5cc5c6…
11-03 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0xc88661…
11-03 05:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xf16f10…
11-03 05:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xfbb09e…
11-03 05:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x673e7f…
11-03 05:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xee9cc9…
11-03 05:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x88f5b0…
11-03 05:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xf33f35…
11-03 05:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9f96ff…
11-03 05:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xd2ce5c…
11-03 05:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xa3d392…
11-03 04:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xed1b62…
11-03 04:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd20185…
11-03 04:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x8189f7…
11-03 04:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf4f9a5…
11-03 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x32996b…
11-03 04:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x049a03…
11-03 04:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x7bdf5c…
11-03 04:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x3fa1a1…
11-03 04:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc46dd1…
11-03 04:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xc59211…
11-03 04:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xd03e77…
11-03 04:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x721740…
11-03 03:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe286c6…
11-03 03:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x62be85…
11-02 15:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3ee164…
11-02 15:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x159ce8…
11-02 15:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xdd051f…
11-02 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x62f81c…
11-02 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7d0df3…
11-02 14:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xe07ab8…
11-02 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x40f338…
11-02 14:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x91653c…
11-02 14:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6c83b7…
11-02 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa3035f…
11-02 13:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xdd42ff…
11-02 13:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd69ee8…
11-02 13:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xd8a104…
11-02 13:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc2955f…
11-02 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x130ba5…
11-02 12:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x41d8b6…
11-02 12:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x3b8636…
11-02 12:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x16829c…
11-02 11:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8c41d9…
11-02 11:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2fb183…
11-02 11:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x58762d…
11-02 11:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdaf941…
11-02 11:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa0856f…
11-02 11:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x571bf4…
11-02 11:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x567b77…
11-02 11:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x853e3b…
11-02 11:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x9eeeb6…
11-02 11:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1bf41c…
11-02 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xf20461…
11-02 11:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x710650…
11-02 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf35fa2…
11-02 10:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x16a979…
11-02 10:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbaeef4…
11-02 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2d6912…
11-02 10:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x49f451…
11-02 09:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x09d5ca…
11-02 09:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xbe1784…
11-02 09:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x62ec27…
11-02 08:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4a33a1…
11-02 08:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x858e77…
11-02 08:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x42cf8a…
11-02 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc8727a…
11-02 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e8b21…
10-27 12:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xfcd401…
10-27 12:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0883cc…
10-27 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x3d2d23…
10-27 12:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x087921…
10-27 12:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8794fd…
10-27 12:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x061959…
10-27 12:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x52364c…