Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$383

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

123

Trades

738

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$3.64K

7 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 10-29 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

70% 43% +$1,836

Politics

17% 40% -$260

Tech

13% 56% +$1,198

Crypto

0% 0% -$44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+1,500	$1,037	99¢	$1.5K	+$452	10-01 19:06
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+1,343	$518	56¢	$759	+$241	10-28 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$360	76¢	$382	+$22	09-30 22:04
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$320	72¢	$358	+$38	10-05 18:41
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$285	70¢	$352	+$68	09-28 15:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+300	$201	96¢	$290	+$88	10-29 23:02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+730	$533	1¢	$5	-$527	10-21 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	48	$1.4K	1,787	1,032	+755	Yes	+$545	08-29 12:46
No one announced as next James Bond?	6	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-19 13:25
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	6	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$610	09-22 16:43
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	13	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$635	09-22 16:43
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	22	$1.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$236	09-02 11:44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$1.0K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	10-01 19:06
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	6	$977	675	561	+113	Yes	+$199	08-28 22:27
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	3	$900	1,252	0	+1,252	Yes	+$352	09-02 16:22
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	8	$887	1,410	410	+1,000	No	+$876	08-26 10:42
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	3	$854	564	564	+0	No	+$229	08-28 22:06
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	14	$812	1,527	1,527	+0	No	-$541	08-31 19:31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$640	500	500	+0	open	—	09-28 14:31
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	7	$631	602	602	+0	Yes	+$333	09-15 18:50
trump renames ai by september 30	4	$616	417	417	+0	Yes	+$176	09-29 20:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$597	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	09-05 14:40
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	2	$575	500	500	+0	open	—	10-29 17:14
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	6	$555	500	500	+0	Yes	+$345	09-24 23:39
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	30	$539	768	768	+0	No	-$429	10-21 14:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	1	$533	730	0	+730	open	—	10-21 14:52
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	18	$518	1,343	0	+1,343	open	—	10-28 17:11
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	5	$507	762	0	+762	Yes	+$255	10-12 19:06
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	2	$504	358	358	+0	Yes	+$5	10-07 18:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	2	$489	578	578	+0	No	-$344	10-21 14:51
Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	6	$447	817	0	+817	No	-$447	10-08 10:04
lacy and marlon beat gaming challenge by september 7 2026 1159 pm et	3	$431	800	0	+800	Yes	+$369	09-05 19:28
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	4	$424	630	25	+605	Yes	+$208	09-18 21:30
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	9	$405	523	523	+0	open	—	10-20 03:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$390	500	0	+500	Yes	+$110	09-13 17:32
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	4	$377	373	373	+0	Yes	+$71	09-24 02:35
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	6	$374	511	511	+0	No	-$282	09-18 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:02:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	240	67¢	$161	0xbec2be…
10-29 23:02:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x10084e…
10-29 17:14:17	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	500	60¢	$300	0x8e2846…
10-29 17:08:56	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	71	67¢	$48	0x90d8e0…
10-29 16:58:37	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x30b1f0…
10-28 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	82	53¢	$43	0x52f3ff…
10-28 17:11:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0xb39764…
10-28 17:10:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	42¢	$38	0xe40494…
10-28 17:08:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	39¢	$67	0xfadf7e…
10-28 00:36:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0x9a5d61…
10-28 00:35:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$110	0x81d8a5…
10-27 22:33:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x5f38eb…
10-27 21:41:54	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0x764ca2…
10-27 16:11:18	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	19¢	$13	0x6a428a…
10-27 15:21:44	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	7¢	$13	0xf1974e…
10-27 15:10:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x442d28…
10-26 22:24:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x431368…
10-26 22:22:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	71¢	$15	0xcd4292…
10-26 22:22:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x70aa8d…
10-26 03:21:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	20¢	$17	0x8639c4…
10-25 23:19:15	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x8fac29…
10-25 22:35:48	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	21¢	$12	0x3adfb4…
10-25 22:32:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	270	26¢	$70	0x4d2021…
10-25 20:32:15	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa38f64…
10-25 19:21:35	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xbde61c…
10-25 18:39:18	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xb413e9…
10-25 18:29:48	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x7971e1…
10-25 18:23:48	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xfaeaaf…
10-25 18:05:47	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x24729b…
10-25 18:04:36	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x148200…
10-25 18:01:00	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x242dfc…
10-25 17:56:35	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf841dc…
10-25 17:55:57	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xda6ff5…
10-25 17:50:29	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x28a520…
10-25 17:47:29	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x4585c3…
10-25 17:23:33	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	21¢	$9	0xc01fe5…
10-25 14:39:56	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0x63ec2d…
10-25 14:07:45	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	31¢	$46	0x030d7d…
10-24 14:51:02	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xf347e3…
10-24 14:50:50	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x4ad918…
10-24 14:50:21	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	331	8¢	$26	0xe9f239…
10-23 17:01:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x14be7c…
10-23 16:40:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0xd1cce4…
10-22 16:53:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	201	43¢	$87	0x095065…
10-22 16:35:24	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x58508b…
10-22 16:32:30	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xce477d…
10-22 16:31:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87	46¢	$40	0x4e4a9d…
10-22 16:25:47	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x482794…
10-22 15:21:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	349	58¢	$202	0xa239ad…
10-21 21:15:12	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x2e6c28…
10-21 21:15:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0xfdaf61…
10-21 21:15:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xdd4bb0…
10-21 21:15:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0xbb1626…
10-21 21:15:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x212afa…
10-21 15:03:53	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	26¢	$43	0x54a517…
10-21 14:52:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	730	73¢	$533	0xbb0286…
10-21 14:51:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	578	12¢	$72	0x469f30…
10-21 14:51:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	768	7¢	$55	0x594756…
10-21 09:33:06	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	91	60¢	$55	0xdd6c7e…
10-21 09:08:14	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0xe8dea0…
10-20 11:56:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	49¢	$59	0x259da3…
10-20 03:32:41	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	405	27¢	$109	0x83d60e…
10-19 23:18:35	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	67	27¢	$18	0xfc31ce…
10-19 23:18:35	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xc46ddd…
10-19 13:25:33	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	1,000	65¢	$650	0xe2c012…
10-19 11:31:51	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x23a39d…
10-19 11:31:32	Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x8f735d…
10-19 11:31:00	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0xbe86ed…
10-19 11:30:54	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	SELL	82	22¢	$18	0xbad6ff…
10-19 11:21:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	567	25¢	$141	0x54e0e9…
10-19 11:19:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x20161e…
10-19 11:05:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xf8fe2f…
10-19 11:01:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	69	25¢	$17	0x699167…
10-17 07:56:27	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0xc627a9…
10-17 07:04:26	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x678f4a…
10-17 07:03:59	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3f5955…
10-17 07:03:59	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0974cd…
10-17 07:03:17	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3c003b…
10-17 06:58:18	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xdc6c82…
10-17 04:42:29	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	83	65¢	$54	0x11357f…
10-17 04:42:28	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x72c151…
10-17 04:26:17	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe86090…
10-17 04:26:17	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x12d589…
10-17 04:26:15	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb2f3ab…
10-17 04:26:15	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4811e0…
10-17 04:25:27	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd80139…
10-17 04:25:27	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x432aae…
10-17 04:25:26	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7ae171…
10-17 04:25:24	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd43fc0…
10-17 04:25:24	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa0e32d…
10-17 04:25:24	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x00663f…
10-17 04:25:21	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x30fcac…
10-17 04:25:21	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x14a02c…
10-16 15:30:03	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	182	65¢	$118	0xfa7529…
10-16 12:48:54	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	131	68¢	$89	0x2a9512…
10-16 07:46:48	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x32fd94…
10-16 06:07:24	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x08bec5…
10-16 05:13:15	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x40d064…
10-15 23:18:03	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x1e2287…
10-15 21:39:45	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x100a14…