Vivid-Causal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

667

Trades

7,807

lifetime

Volume

$80.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-07 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 576 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	9	$405	300	300	+0	open	—	05-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$396	300	300	+0	open	—	05-21 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	05-20 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	9	$330	300	300	+0	open	—	05-20 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	14	$303	300	37	+263	open	—	05-20 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$291	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	7	$288	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$285	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$285	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$285	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	8	$282	300	0	+300	open	—	05-21 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$279	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	9	$272	277	0	+277	open	—	05-20 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	9	$269	283	0	+283	open	—	05-20 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$259	264	0	+264	open	—	05-21 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$258	300	0	+300	open	—	05-20 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$239	244	0	+244	open	—	05-20 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	7	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	7	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 11:04:33	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x43deb2…
06-07 11:04:01	btc updown 5m 1780830000	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x50ece8…
06-07 10:54:39	btc updown 5m 1780829400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e8ae2…
06-07 10:49:37	btc updown 5m 1780829100	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0f7fb5…
06-07 10:38:37	btc updown 5m 1780828500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1c1152…
06-07 10:13:45	btc updown 5m 1780827000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9fbd61…
06-07 10:09:34	btc updown 5m 1780826700	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x08e662…
06-07 09:44:39	btc updown 5m 1780825200	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb08f0d…
06-07 09:39:40	btc updown 5m 1780824900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x51028b…
06-07 09:29:37	btc updown 5m 1780824300	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf26b6d…
06-07 09:23:37	btc updown 5m 1780824000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34a64c…
06-07 09:09:21	btc updown 5m 1780823100	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe105e3…
06-07 08:59:51	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x691d6e…
06-07 08:59:45	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc81ac9…
06-07 08:54:39	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6d5fab…
06-07 07:58:37	btc updown 5m 1780818900	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9c1dcd…
06-07 07:44:00	btc updown 5m 1780818000	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd46b7c…
06-07 07:39:54	btc updown 5m 1780817700	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ab994…
06-07 07:24:27	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x7d06a8…
06-07 07:20:00	btc updown 5m 1780816500	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x94f61b…
06-07 07:19:28	btc updown 5m 1780816500	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c24c9…
06-07 07:09:40	btc updown 5m 1780815900	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe58e9c…
06-07 07:03:55	btc updown 5m 1780815600	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3b9136…
06-07 06:54:01	btc updown 5m 1780815000	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8000e5…
06-07 06:48:57	btc updown 5m 1780814700	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfc411e…
06-07 06:48:57	btc updown 5m 1780814700	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x9e4ace…
06-07 06:33:37	btc updown 5m 1780813800	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e447c…
06-07 06:24:36	btc updown 5m 1780813200	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc83b9a…
06-07 06:19:01	btc updown 5m 1780812900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c6775…
06-07 06:09:22	btc updown 5m 1780812300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x27dc4c…
06-07 06:03:37	btc updown 5m 1780812000	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1a4e32…
06-07 05:48:37	btc updown 5m 1780811100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbbbc52…
06-07 05:38:37	btc updown 5m 1780810500	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9cfc28…
06-07 05:33:37	btc updown 5m 1780810200	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x037f91…
06-07 05:28:48	btc updown 5m 1780809900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97205c…
06-07 05:03:42	btc updown 5m 1780808400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8283ef…
06-07 04:59:19	btc updown 5m 1780808100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x43dc92…
06-07 04:48:37	btc updown 5m 1780807500	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfcc0db…
06-07 04:43:37	btc updown 5m 1780807200	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x49124e…
06-07 04:38:40	btc updown 5m 1780806900	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc98a0e…
06-07 04:34:01	btc updown 5m 1780806600	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xffc687…
06-07 04:29:51	btc updown 5m 1780806300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea5b5d…
06-07 04:18:51	btc updown 5m 1780805700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd49e17…
06-07 04:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780805400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x07c7b3…
06-07 04:09:27	btc updown 5m 1780805100	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x3964f5…
06-07 04:09:13	btc updown 5m 1780805100	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x863106…
06-07 03:58:57	btc updown 5m 1780804500	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc32950…
06-07 03:49:07	btc updown 5m 1780803900	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc61639…
06-07 03:43:42	btc updown 5m 1780803600	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5bac9a…
06-07 03:39:36	btc updown 5m 1780803300	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x469b54…
06-07 03:28:52	btc updown 5m 1780802700	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x444ee2…
06-07 03:23:43	btc updown 5m 1780802400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x93a424…
06-07 03:18:54	btc updown 5m 1780802100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe3a547…
06-07 03:08:37	btc updown 5m 1780801500	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xae1858…
06-07 03:04:03	btc updown 5m 1780801200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x639a19…
06-07 02:54:27	btc updown 5m 1780800600	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x120ac3…
06-07 02:53:43	btc updown 5m 1780800600	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9bad41…
06-07 02:33:42	btc updown 5m 1780799400	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf9d303…
06-07 02:18:37	btc updown 5m 1780798500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf5eb39…
06-07 02:08:45	btc updown 5m 1780797900	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3ef828…
06-07 02:04:58	btc updown 5m 1780797600	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2b77d7…
06-07 01:58:43	btc updown 5m 1780797300	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa2a38e…
06-07 01:54:07	btc updown 5m 1780797000	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x504d29…
06-07 01:33:55	btc updown 5m 1780795800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x92c23e…
06-07 01:28:37	btc updown 5m 1780795500	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x446244…
06-07 01:24:51	btc updown 5m 1780795200	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc44635…
06-07 01:23:48	btc updown 5m 1780795200	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2d1df7…
06-07 00:59:40	btc updown 5m 1780793700	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd29043…
06-07 00:54:00	btc updown 5m 1780793400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1bbd0b…
06-07 00:44:00	btc updown 5m 1780792800	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11da9c…
06-07 00:24:07	btc updown 5m 1780791600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f0730…
06-07 00:19:27	btc updown 5m 1780791300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xacc461…
06-07 00:14:18	btc updown 5m 1780791000	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0a8ab0…
06-07 00:09:10	btc updown 5m 1780790700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd383ae…
06-06 23:43:40	btc updown 5m 1780789200	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa66021…
06-06 23:39:34	btc updown 5m 1780788900	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc0cfd0…
06-06 23:35:00	btc updown 5m 1780788600	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xd83459…
06-06 23:35:00	btc updown 5m 1780788600	Up	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x92c21d…
06-06 23:28:46	btc updown 5m 1780788300	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60e6e7…
06-06 23:19:43	btc updown 5m 1780787700	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3f538c…
06-06 23:09:36	btc updown 5m 1780787100	Up	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x672869…
06-06 23:09:34	btc updown 5m 1780787100	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd917b1…
06-06 22:54:15	btc updown 5m 1780786200	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8d92c5…
06-06 22:49:21	btc updown 5m 1780785900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f0025…
06-06 22:34:21	btc updown 5m 1780785000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8a77dc…
06-06 22:29:16	btc updown 5m 1780784700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1b6cb…
06-06 22:09:03	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe8cd5f…
06-06 22:03:37	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x23beb4…
06-06 21:58:57	btc updown 5m 1780782900	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x113835…
06-06 21:54:42	btc updown 5m 1780782600	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7b9e5d…
06-06 21:49:04	btc updown 5m 1780782300	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x31c8a6…
06-06 21:43:40	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb774c2…
06-06 20:53:37	btc updown 5m 1780779000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc6a1d…
06-06 20:43:52	btc updown 5m 1780778400	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x95e651…
06-06 20:29:15	btc updown 5m 1780777500	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x859f17…
06-06 20:18:37	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf49143…
06-06 20:04:37	btc updown 5m 1780776000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xfbf563…
06-06 18:59:07	btc updown 5m 1780772100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00ada9…
06-06 18:53:37	btc updown 5m 1780771800	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2b891f…
06-06 18:49:01	btc updown 5m 1780771500	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x16fadb…