Vivid-Causal — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

7 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$17

$17 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-06 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	Down	+$2	05-07 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	Up	$-3	05-09 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	Up	+$2	05-08 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$2	0	5	-5	Up	$-4	05-08 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	0	5	-5	Up	$-4	05-09 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 04:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4aade0…
05-09 03:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8c5211…
05-08 09:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xdd789c…
05-08 08:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x811595…
05-07 09:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x9fec03…
05-06 17:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x31a085…
05-06 16:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc499e1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	7	$4.04K	106	05-09 04:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$1.77K	85	05-09 04:59
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	7	$1.29K	105	05-09 04:59
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$1.20K	19	05-09 04:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	7	$857	69	05-09 04:59
Suspicious-Comedy 0x6e58…b5b1	5	$832	51	05-08 09:59
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	5	$530	8	05-09 04:00
Cumbersome-Altitude-Mystery 0x2c69…6ad0	5	$522	49	05-08 09:59