Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
721
Trades
2,251
lifetime
Volume
$3.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$13
6 positions
First seen
2026-06-08
last 11-04 15:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Other
96% 25% +$69
Sports
2% 17% -$14
Politics
1% 5% -$35
Crypto
1% 50% -$23
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-08 14:18
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No +20 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 06-08 13:26
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-21 02:49
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +10 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-12 15:39
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +10 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-25 02:27
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-01 11:29