Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$812
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
48
Trades
477
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.26K
26 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
65% 95% -$44
Politics
18% 60% +$43
Sports
16% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +324 $323 100¢ $323 +$0 10-27 19:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +313 $306 98¢ $308 +$2 10-28 18:48
Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +277 $277 100¢ $277 $0 10-27 04:16
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +257 $254 99¢ $254 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $186 95¢ $190 +$4 10-27 22:43
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +216 $178 86¢ $187 +$9 10-26 12:14
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +188 $165 88¢ $165 $0 10-28 22:26
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +117 $99 82¢ $95 -$4 10-29 00:21
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +83 $81 93¢ $77 -$3 10-22 03:11
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $76 99¢ $75 -$1 10-27 22:53
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +55 $53 98¢ $53 +$1 10-22 02:46
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $51 97¢ $51 $0 10-22 03:46
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 97¢ $30 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +25 $23 90¢ $23 $0 10-28 19:18
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 10-28 02:25
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +17 $17 98¢ $16 $0 10-28 02:47
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +18 $14 86¢ $16 +$2 10-27 20:33
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $14 95¢ $15 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +13 $13 96¢ $12 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,194 $832 1¢ $12 -$820 10-27 19:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +11 $9 72¢ $8 -$1 10-28 17:24
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 10-28 02:15
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 92¢ $6 $0 10-25 01:27
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 10-28 02:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +11 $3 30¢ $3 +$1 10-28 17:24