Realized P&L (7d)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
90.7%
Resolved (7d)
13
Trades (7d)
0
477 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$11.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
65% 91% -$51
Politics
18% 79% -$784
Sports
16% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +313 $306 91¢ $284 -$22 10-28 18:48
Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +277 $277 100¢ $277 $0 10-27 04:16
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +257 $254 99¢ $254 +$0 10-29 02:28
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +200 $186 97¢ $194 +$7 10-27 22:43
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +216 $178 86¢ $185 +$7 10-26 12:14
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +83 $81 95¢ $79 -$2 10-22 03:11
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $76 99¢ $75 $0 10-27 22:53
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +55 $53 98¢ $54 +$1 10-22 02:46
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $51 95¢ $50 -$1 10-22 03:46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? No +45 $35 100¢ $45 +$10 10-28 20:07
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +35 $34 99¢ $35 +$0 10-29 19:32
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 96¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 98¢ $31 +$0 10-20 21:07
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 10-26 16:22
Will Ferencvaros win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +28 $28 98¢ $27 $0 10-29 08:28
Will NEC win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 $0 10-29 04:36
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +15 $14 94¢ $14 +$0 10-26 02:36
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +13 $13 96¢ $13 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? No +18 $12 64¢ $12 $0 10-08 11:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +11 $9 98¢ $11 +$2 10-28 17:24
Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Eastern Conference? No +12 $9 74¢ $9 -$1 10-27 07:37
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +9 $8 94¢ $9 +$0 10-18 05:50
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 10-29 06:12
Will Édouard Philippe win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? No +9 $7 89¢ $8 +$1 10-28 16:39
Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +8 $7 99¢ $7 $0 10-29 12:27
Will the St. Louis Blues be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 $0 10-29 04:06
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 10-27 17:29
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-29 21:03
Will Ninajirachi win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $0 10-28 08:45
Will Walker Kessler win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$1 10-25 08:24