Cumbersome-Warming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

162

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$2.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-21 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

90% 31% -$77

Sports

4% 0% -$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Politics

2% 40% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?	20	$155	143	143	+0	Yes	+$48	05-02 08:23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?	8	$138	100	100	+0	Yes	+$22	05-03 04:40
will the tampa bay buccaneers win super bowl 2026	1	$92	0	93	-93	No	-$1	01-01 02:55
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	4	$92	100	0	+100	No	+$7	01-20 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 4?	8	$80	100	100	-0	Yes	-$30	05-04 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 4?	2	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	+$14	05-04 08:19
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 0 39	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	01-26 20:07
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 3?	6	$58	58	58	+0	No	+$2	05-03 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 3?	5	$57	50	50	+0	Yes	+$23	05-03 07:56
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on May 3?	3	$56	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	05-03 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?	5	$55	300	300	+0	No	-$55	05-04 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 2?	6	$50	56	56	+0	No	+$2	05-02 05:57
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	2	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	02-01 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 4?	3	$48	50	50	+0	No	+$8	05-04 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 3?	3	$47	29	29	+0	Yes	+$8	05-03 08:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	7	$43	100	100	+0	No	-$42	05-05 07:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 5?	4	$40	63	63	+0	No	+$5	05-05 07:41
elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-07 03:33
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-27 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 4?	11	$39	237	237	+0	No	-$10	05-04 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 3?	4	$39	25	25	+0	No	-$1	05-03 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	8	$37	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	05-05 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 2?	2	$36	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	05-02 06:34
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 4?	2	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 08:20
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt60 on january 23	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-23 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 3?	7	$25	24	24	+0	No	+$2	05-03 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?	4	$25	100	100	+0	No	-$1	05-03 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 2?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	05-02 05:37
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$20	0	20	-20	No	$0	04-29 02:04
donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-07 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 02:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbc3896…
09-21 02:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4216e8…
08-02 07:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x52dd60…
08-02 05:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xe3a252…
08-02 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xfb0bda…
08-02 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe36f8c…
08-02 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xc5e662…
08-02 04:58:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfb204f…
08-02 03:47:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xe66641…
08-02 03:43:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0x324727…
08-02 03:38:29	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x88d10e…
08-02 03:12:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb89ef9…
08-02 02:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x90727e…
08-02 02:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x9773f3…
08-02 02:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc86799…
08-02 02:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x7feebc…
08-02 02:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb0f7ac…
06-29 07:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x25f55a…
06-24 03:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xacbd2f…
06-21 14:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0f4f47…
06-16 01:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3e7fb9…
06-10 06:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x392032…
06-10 06:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x733dc7…
06-10 06:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9f7934…
06-10 06:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6b70b0…
06-10 06:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5ce36a…
06-05 06:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x364fed…
05-30 01:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb250b9…
05-27 05:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xca2b39…
05-25 01:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x86e716…
05-21 03:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd51c63…
05-20 07:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x92cd18…
05-20 06:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x781077…
05-20 06:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x169226…
05-20 06:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1d3381…
05-20 06:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x402983…
05-20 06:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x351a9d…
05-17 03:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xd77064…
05-17 03:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x314a1a…
05-14 02:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x88369f…
05-14 02:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x91be53…
05-14 02:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x649a19…
05-14 02:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc4de7a…
05-14 02:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xbb2af5…
05-11 05:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x82219a…
05-08 03:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7a9854…
05-06 06:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xcf4e84…
05-06 06:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x7118d3…
05-06 06:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xd0912b…
05-06 06:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$0	0x4927ac…
05-06 06:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	463	0¢	$0	0x2ea8ef…
05-06 06:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe0d857…
05-06 06:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa0c788…
05-06 06:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x13a0bf…
05-06 06:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x610f8b…
05-06 05:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd31621…
05-06 05:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8f6593…
05-06 05:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1733df…
05-06 05:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x49c608…
05-06 05:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x144da4…
05-06 05:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x435495…
05-06 04:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbea48d…
05-06 04:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x7e036c…
05-06 04:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x7dbae0…
05-06 03:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb309f7…
05-06 03:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xab4501…
05-05 20:01:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf3d627…
05-05 18:00:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xef4270…
05-05 15:45:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x53a873…
05-05 12:47:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x732d01…
05-05 11:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x712454…
05-05 11:02:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x5e910b…
05-05 10:41:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x7bb5b4…
05-05 09:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x68a16c…
05-05 07:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x3b30bd…
05-05 07:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x4bd6ec…
05-05 07:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9c5a3f…
05-05 07:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	63	36¢	$23	0x19c0bc…
05-05 07:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x633573…
05-05 07:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x03adce…
05-05 07:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0xf9255e…
05-05 07:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xff375b…
05-05 06:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x405ab1…
05-05 06:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x77e8ed…
05-05 06:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5bfb97…
05-05 06:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x0a2175…
05-05 06:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x41f415…
05-05 06:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 5?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb5949b…
05-05 06:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xb79ffa…
05-05 06:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc89892…
05-05 06:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xe6d3bd…
05-05 06:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xf1011a…
05-05 06:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xc1a505…
05-05 06:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xe27120…
05-05 06:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xcab3fe…
05-05 06:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x62352c…
05-05 06:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xbc241c…
05-05 06:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xb9ea53…
05-05 05:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x576b58…
05-05 05:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x345462…