Polished-Robe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$487

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-17 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

53% 96% +$510

Sports

27% 0% —

Crypto

20% 71% -$24

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$550	1,100	0	+1,100	Thunder	+$0	05-22 20:41
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$280	800	0	+800	England	+$520	07-17 14:04
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	2	$210	106	106	+0	No	-$1	03-06 07:51
bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	3	$110	210	8	+202	Down	+$3	03-06 08:42
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$105	106	0	+106	No	+$1	02-28 07:43
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	1	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$0	02-28 07:46
bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	2	$90	200	0	+200	Up	+$10	03-06 07:11
bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	5	$54	120	0	+120	Down	-$34	03-06 09:03
bitcoin up or down march 6 1am et	2	$50	120	0	+120	Up	+$10	03-06 06:20
bitcoin up or down march 5 9pm et	2	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$5	03-06 02:08
bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	5	$45	100	0	+100	Down	+$5	03-06 03:24
bitcoin up or down march 5 11pm et	1	$22	50	0	+50	Down	-$22	03-06 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-17 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 08:05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 24?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-23 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-09 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 13?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-12 06:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-22 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-13 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-22 08:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	-$10	07-17 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 15?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 09:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 14:04:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	800	35¢	$280	0xf959e5…
07-17 03:28:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ae0a8…
07-17 03:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x358c9d…
07-13 09:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd236c…
07-13 09:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d6dc8…
06-23 08:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c8d55…
06-23 08:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab1537…
06-23 08:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9df834…
06-23 08:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc9d6a…
06-23 08:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x63bbd7…
06-23 07:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc40735…
06-23 07:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8eaa59…
06-23 07:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6edea8…
06-22 08:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x068e48…
06-22 08:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x415832…
06-22 08:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 92°F or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x096efd…
06-22 08:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a1618…
06-22 08:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf0a0e…
06-22 08:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2e62b…
06-22 08:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb9d15…
06-22 08:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on June 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd00251…
06-12 06:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3561ad…
06-12 06:38:55	Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in June?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdca3ee…
06-12 06:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbf843c…
06-12 06:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6dda27…
06-12 06:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C or below on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe17386…
06-12 06:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb31b3e…
06-12 06:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on June 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdeb230…
06-12 06:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bc93b…
06-09 02:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30ee13…
06-09 02:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49745a…
06-09 02:52:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9aaa7…
06-09 02:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c7345…
05-27 08:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40ee05…
05-27 08:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x105023…
05-27 08:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9bd408…
05-27 08:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C or below on May 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0d71f…
05-27 08:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6e7c67…
05-27 08:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x2d0c1f…
05-22 20:41:27	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	550	54¢	$297	0xda76b1…
05-22 16:50:40	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	550	46¢	$253	0x0cb1cf…
05-14 09:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x872281…
05-14 09:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9b688…
05-14 09:51:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x6d636e…
05-14 09:49:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x530409…
05-09 06:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x423dc1…
05-09 06:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf24898…
05-09 06:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 9?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x744d5a…
05-09 06:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95434b…
04-27 07:30:08	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88b2ad…
04-27 07:28:54	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93a792…
04-27 07:26:38	Will Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ed350…
04-27 07:25:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe40e6c…
03-06 09:03:41	bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf5e7e2…
03-06 09:03:41	bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xd79f5b…
03-06 09:01:39	bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xfa09c3…
03-06 09:01:39	bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	Up	BUY	75	45¢	$34	0xf1c4bf…
03-06 09:01:39	bitcoin up or down march 6 4am et	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x679887…
03-06 08:42:43	bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x83555a…
03-06 08:37:43	bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	Down	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0xf67bc6…
03-06 08:01:01	bitcoin up or down march 6 3am et	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x52a180…
03-06 07:51:15	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x51dcb4…
03-06 07:11:09	bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xa79914…
03-06 07:00:15	bitcoin up or down march 6 2am et	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x526f05…
03-06 06:20:43	bitcoin up or down march 6 1am et	Down	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0x543c6f…
03-06 06:10:59	bitcoin up or down march 6 1am et	Up	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xf8fb7c…
03-06 04:00:29	bitcoin up or down march 5 11pm et	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xf41235…
03-06 03:24:11	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xac03c5…
03-06 03:05:23	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x866cb0…
03-06 03:05:21	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8aaa1a…
03-06 03:05:21	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x0eae88…
03-06 03:03:13	bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xb1e946…
03-06 02:08:19	bitcoin up or down march 5 9pm et	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xc546c8…
03-06 02:00:35	bitcoin up or down march 5 9pm et	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x53434d…
02-28 07:46:29	will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe071b0…
02-28 07:45:23	will global temperature increase by less than 1pt05c in february 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$106	0xdaf52c…
02-28 07:43:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xec18f6…