Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$462
$332 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,415
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 14:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $44 | $44 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $2 | $301 | $299 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 4 | — | $114 | $114 |
| Below median | 8 | $0 | $212 | $212 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yellowish-Cocktail 0xe4ec…aafd | Yes | +921 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Aggravating-Jumbo 0xdcd2…87c9 | No | +107 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 21:33 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 11:14 |
| Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-12 22:28 |
| Definite-Orangutan 0x784f…8b05 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 11:35 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 11:15 |
| Whispered-Crime 0x4748…7844 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 04:20 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:46 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:29:29 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | SELL | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x79ba9a… |
| 05-14 13:49:21 | Half-Currant 0x42e6…386b | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xe08715… |
| 05-14 11:35:09 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x670fe9… |
| 05-14 11:32:33 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6d938… |
| 05-14 11:17:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc7116b… |
| 05-14 11:15:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf0059… |
| 05-14 11:15:01 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9ca135… |
| 05-14 11:14:25 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4c3dbc… |
| 05-14 11:04:54 | Aggravating-Jumbo 0xdcd2…87c9 | No | BUY | 107 | 99¢ | $106 | 0x524c3d… |
| 05-14 11:04:40 | Definite-Orangutan 0x784f…8b05 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x0dac6d… |
| 05-14 10:04:56 | Yellowish-Cocktail 0xe4ec…aafd | Yes | BUY | 921 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x6c1429… |
| 05-14 09:59:15 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x57056c… |
| 05-14 09:54:16 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa2d1a1… |
| 05-14 09:54:14 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xd4a5a0… |
| 05-14 09:54:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9516fd… |
| 05-14 09:54:05 | Whispered-Crime 0x4748…7844 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2b07e8… |
| 05-14 09:29:16 | (anonymous) 0x3a0e…66f5 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x486d57… |
| 05-14 05:40:34 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x47f78c… |
| 05-14 04:20:53 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4dc0c0… |
| 05-14 03:00:39 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xfe0906… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6252b… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75eead… |
| 05-13 22:46:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xc700e7… |
| 05-13 21:33:36 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x4e8de2… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8c8d1f… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95d36b… |
| 05-13 13:03:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xca2a54… |
| 05-12 22:28:20 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe74a9b… |
| 05-12 16:16:29 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1cfc5e… |
| 05-12 04:56:03 | Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x354296… |