Heavy-Organization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

119

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$3.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 10-28 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

94% 74% -$113

Crypto

6% 23% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?	2	$340	172	172	+0	Yes	+$3	05-21 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 22?	3	$304	155	155	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?	10	$304	155	155	+0	Yes	+$4	05-21 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 21?	6	$298	151	151	+0	Yes	+$3	05-21 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 22?	7	$268	136	136	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?	4	$200	102	102	+0	Yes	+$3	05-22 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 21?	4	$152	77	77	+0	Yes	+$2	05-21 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?	3	$150	155	0	+155	No	-$150	05-22 14:21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 21?	3	$150	77	77	+0	Yes	+$4	05-21 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 21?	2	$149	77	77	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?	5	$147	75	75	+0	Yes	+$2	05-22 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 22?	4	$138	70	70	+0	Yes	+$2	05-22 09:08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 20?	4	$101	51	51	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 20?	5	$84	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 20?	4	$76	38	38	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 15:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?	3	$74	37	37	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 17?	3	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	05-17 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 17?	3	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 10:14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?	3	$45	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 20?	2	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 24?	4	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	05-24 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?	3	$41	21	21	+0	Yes	+$1	05-17 20:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 17:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	5	$28	28	28	+0	Yes	+$14	05-27 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 22?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	05-22 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?	3	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	2	$25	27	27	+0	Up	+$6	09-30 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 20?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 17?	3	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on May 17?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x95ec21…
10-28 18:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a0de9…
10-28 18:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x149cb8…
10-28 18:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	23¢	$5	0x752994…
10-28 18:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xfdf604…
10-28 18:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xedc8cb…
10-28 18:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xb8337f…
10-28 18:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x440e05…
10-03 02:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x572b88…
10-03 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xe45d6a…
10-03 01:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7ec079…
09-30 17:27:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0x699272…
09-30 17:25:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0x44c7cf…
09-30 17:18:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x2c7cc0…
09-30 16:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x0de017…
09-30 16:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4e3182…
09-30 16:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf6c5f0…
09-30 16:00:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xcd258b…
09-30 15:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x168716…
09-30 15:56:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x216b58…
09-30 15:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	11	80¢	$8	0xc23d6f…
09-30 15:53:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x10f67d…
09-30 15:52:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x0d3ded…
09-30 15:51:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x95458d…
09-30 15:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7e886e…
09-30 15:47:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x13ce8b…
09-30 15:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8a6347…
09-30 15:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd15649…
09-30 15:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x94df6c…
09-30 15:43:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x218852…
09-30 15:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1ca540…
09-30 15:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xeb22e1…
09-30 15:41:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x06b876…
09-30 15:31:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x580f0f…
09-30 15:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xfd23c4…
09-30 15:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5f73f1…
09-29 20:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb36193…
09-29 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x964416…
09-29 20:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x632896…
09-29 19:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x146344…
09-29 19:32:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x0b130e…
09-29 19:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfe00b7…
09-29 19:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x18e01e…
09-29 19:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xa84854…
09-29 19:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x428379…
09-29 19:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x121ac1…
09-29 18:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x78a572…
06-02 15:08:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	1¢	$2	0xecf70f…
05-28 16:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x7febde…
05-28 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x397384…
05-28 16:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xdbe159…
05-28 16:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x69c17f…
05-28 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x096b15…
05-28 16:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe0fe9b…
05-28 16:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf3d087…
05-28 16:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x11e878…
05-27 22:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xb69fca…
05-27 22:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x12f616…
05-27 22:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf6b4e6…
05-27 22:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x101332…
05-27 21:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xb1e157…
05-27 21:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xf9f24e…
05-27 21:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd9c138…
05-27 21:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x8c1ecd…
05-27 21:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xbc48f1…
05-27 21:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xa14ffe…
05-27 21:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa58289…
05-27 20:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7ed5cd…
05-27 20:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xaef531…
05-27 20:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xac55c1…
05-27 20:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x02c1a1…
05-27 20:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x5d90fa…
05-27 19:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xcccacd…
05-27 19:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x100cca…
05-27 14:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7aa583…
05-27 13:51:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x66797d…
05-27 13:51:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xffe47f…
05-27 13:51:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x37c29f…
05-27 04:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xd21898…
05-26 19:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1e0c10…
05-26 16:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x350f2f…
05-26 16:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3f9189…
05-26 15:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe63ae9…
05-26 15:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x97e693…
05-26 14:29:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xab6990…
05-26 12:00:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf82278…
05-25 21:03:58	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x3f8485…
05-25 19:21:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x891aa3…
05-25 19:21:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x4d0fa4…
05-25 18:34:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x65952d…
05-25 18:33:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x88c42a…
05-25 17:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xd41f54…
05-25 15:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x750796…
05-25 15:49:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xc24774…
05-25 08:17:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xaae600…
05-25 07:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xec079a…
05-25 07:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0xdfdcd7…
05-25 06:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x78c59a…
05-25 06:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x01acfd…
05-24 19:29:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x31f1c0…