Realized P&L (90d)
-$92
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved (90d)
284
Trades (90d)
792
1,714 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.38K
$2.70K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-24 13:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 111 days
Categories
Crypto
86% 54% -$156
Other
6% 69% -$8
Politics
5% 71% +$2
Sports
2% 48% +$8
Tech
1% 82% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4 $2 38¢ $2 $0 07-25 22:52
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +8 $2 19¢ $1 -$1 07-01 23:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 07-01 23:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 09-30 22:42
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -4 -$2 34¢ $-1 +$1 06-12 22:45
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-08 00:17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 09-01 02:16
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 08-30 00:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 07-28 15:47
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$0 07-01 23:43
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 09-18 08:57
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-22 22:41
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 07-25 22:16
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 09-30 22:41
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $0 08-04 15:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $1 19¢ $1 $0 05-06 13:39
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $0 08-04 15:08
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $0 08-30 00:32
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 $0 07-25 22:16
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $0 07-25 22:15
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +14 $1 5¢ $1 $0 08-09 22:59
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 09-01 02:16
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 08-04 15:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 07-01 23:52
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $1 $0 07-19 23:41
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $0 $0 08-09 22:58
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +31 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 08-04 15:08
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-27 22:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +6 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 07-25 22:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +143 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-18 08:46