Brilliant-Perpendicular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$554

Unrealized P&L

+$91

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,800

lifetime

Volume

$181.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$174

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

69% 67% +$422

Other

30% 60% +$132

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No		+250	$82	70¢	$174	+$91	05-28 12:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-19 20:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	33	$6.4K	6,109	6,309	-200	open	—	04-19 09:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	36	$4.2K	3,908	2,890	+1,018	open	—	04-08 16:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	30	$3.8K	7,057	9,380	-2,323	open	—	05-26 00:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	39	$3.7K	6,363	7,459	-1,096	open	—	05-01 19:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	50	$3.7K	7,245	6,347	+897	open	—	05-31 03:39
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$3.4K	3,000	1,500	+1,500	open	—	05-14 12:29
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$3.3K	3,361	200	+3,161	open	—	02-03 00:58
will iran strike israel on march 10	7	$3.0K	1,535	1,535	+0	open	—	03-16 17:05
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	30	$2.8K	3,847	4,347	-500	open	—	03-09 15:02
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	17	$2.8K	1,781	1,200	+581	open	—	01-30 09:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$2.8K	2,345	1,567	+779	open	—	03-30 20:08
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$2.7K	2,046	744	+1,302	open	—	03-04 19:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	20	$2.4K	1,570	1,570	+0	open	—	04-23 18:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	21	$2.3K	1,497	1,497	+0	No	+$144	05-05 20:37
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	13	$2.3K	5,162	5,362	-200	open	—	04-04 22:37
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	20	$2.3K	1,761	1,761	+0	open	—	02-16 22:53
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	28	$2.3K	2,085	1,710	+375	open	—	01-05 20:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	22	$2.3K	1,932	1,932	+0	open	—	05-17 16:20
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	14	$2.2K	1,151	1,150	+0	open	—	02-03 00:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$2.1K	1,160	1,160	+0	open	—	04-26 09:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	22	$2.1K	2,035	2,035	+0	open	—	05-23 09:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	34	$2.1K	2,548	2,548	+0	open	—	05-01 00:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	9	$2.0K	787	1,287	-500	open	—	05-29 21:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	24	$2.0K	2,374	2,374	+0	open	—	04-19 17:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	13	$1.9K	2,920	2,920	+0	open	—	04-29 16:48
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	21	$1.9K	1,238	1,238	+0	open	—	01-24 11:13
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	51	$1.9K	4,086	4,283	-197	open	—	03-07 00:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	10	$1.8K	2,257	0	+2,257	open	—	01-31 21:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$1.7K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	03-01 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:41:18	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	20¢	$12	0xc48ed2…
06-03 03:53:35	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	240	2¢	$6	0xc0c922…
06-02 12:52:51	Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0xba46a9…
06-02 12:51:31	Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xb169b3…
06-01 22:47:14	Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xead2fe…
06-01 21:01:25	Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x3a432e…
06-01 14:34:36	Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa91ef…
06-01 14:31:32	Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x14caa4…
05-31 13:08:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0x0d97c9…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf5033b…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xd3621b…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xd12bcc…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xcebf62…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xb60503…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x8ed19a…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x8327c5…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x82c9d3…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x7dafc9…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x77606a…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x74b665…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x4913d3…
05-31 13:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x3b834a…
05-31 13:08:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$2	0xff9590…
05-31 13:08:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xd4b6d6…
05-31 13:08:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xbbabaa…
05-31 13:08:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x9d2b32…
05-31 13:07:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0xf4e342…
05-31 03:39:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x2881a2…
05-30 21:55:38	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	479	1¢	$5	0x3c6180…
05-30 18:10:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x89d5ee…
05-30 18:01:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xdeadb5…
05-30 14:24:32	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	57¢	$38	0x42b519…
05-30 13:29:53	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x93f0ed…
05-30 13:19:00	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$33	0x060798…
05-30 12:52:13	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	70	45¢	$32	0xeb3f66…
05-30 12:30:17	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0xdea601…
05-30 06:51:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xc8e4ac…
05-29 23:02:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xf7485d…
05-29 21:46:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xa3c813…
05-29 21:45:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	1,187	100¢	$1,185	0x0b66e3…
05-29 19:49:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	7¢	$56	0x94d6dc…
05-29 19:01:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	29¢	$72	0x273e57…
05-29 16:48:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0xdfb789…
05-29 16:35:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdc044c…
05-29 16:23:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x2cc491…
05-29 16:12:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x1a97ab…
05-29 16:00:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xeb5f93…
05-29 15:34:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x12a781…
05-29 15:33:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x87c0ec…
05-29 15:33:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7bbd6d…
05-29 15:33:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x724ef8…
05-29 15:14:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0x016daf…
05-29 14:57:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xaf539c…
05-29 14:56:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0xa6f38f…
05-29 14:54:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	250	18¢	$45	0xd6f1f8…
05-29 14:53:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	350	42¢	$147	0x0ebea5…
05-29 14:52:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	44¢	$93	0x49e463…
05-29 14:52:14	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	250	23¢	$58	0xc5adbb…
05-29 14:51:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	140	44¢	$61	0xe8a1ab…
05-29 14:36:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	129	4¢	$5	0x047d49…
05-29 14:36:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	171	4¢	$7	0x612420…
05-29 14:26:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x648352…
05-29 14:26:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0xdd9292…
05-29 14:08:16	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x16f73a…
05-29 14:00:20	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x5d99a2…
05-29 13:33:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,350	9¢	$122	0x95a0fa…
05-29 13:32:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	9¢	$40	0x32227f…
05-29 07:04:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0xe4f0f9…
05-29 05:16:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xccbb93…
05-29 04:25:51	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0x659b0e…
05-29 02:27:26	Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x5a662f…
05-29 00:34:38	Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9d117a…
05-28 20:25:54	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	361	86¢	$310	0xc164e2…
05-28 18:20:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x1b8b6a…
05-28 18:00:06	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	479	5¢	$24	0x85fd5d…
05-28 17:38:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x25cde7…
05-28 14:48:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	250	33¢	$82	0x706f6b…
05-28 14:30:10	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0xeb2498…
05-28 14:08:29	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x96163e…
05-28 13:46:23	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x50179b…
05-28 13:44:41	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x799d05…
05-28 13:24:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	50¢	$27	0x8a1f76…
05-28 13:22:37	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0xec156b…
05-28 13:05:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	32¢	$48	0x468f86…
05-28 12:46:04	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	67	33¢	$22	0x619ccc…
05-28 12:13:06	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xfe5379…
05-28 12:02:01	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	169	33¢	$56	0x5fe252…
05-27 21:11:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0x4919f0…
05-27 20:37:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	150	42¢	$63	0x811e42…
05-27 20:06:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0x189b61…
05-27 19:59:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	240	98¢	$236	0x173da1…
05-27 19:54:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0x266479…
05-27 15:24:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x63f6c0…
05-27 14:54:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xa8a5e6…
05-27 14:06:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	121	28¢	$34	0x61d474…
05-27 13:04:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	13¢	$8	0x5c769d…
05-27 13:03:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x3b4323…
05-27 13:03:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	230	13¢	$30	0x5293c5…
05-27 13:01:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xfcbb9b…
05-27 13:01:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x2fd09e…