Outlandish-Specialty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$344

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-02 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$8

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	06-02 02:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,086	0	+1,086	No	+$2	05-11 02:27
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	01-18 01:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	No	+$3	05-09 01:41
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	open	—	01-17 01:11
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	open	—	01-16 02:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-15 00:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-14 02:08
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-13 01:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-12 02:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$2	05-05 02:10
ethereum above 2800 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-11 01:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	05-04 02:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-10 01:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-09 04:15
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-20 01:57
will googl dip to 215 in january	7	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 03:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 6	1	$7	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	02-06 01:47
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	1	$4	1,083	0	+1,083	open	—	02-13 02:29
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 02:31
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$3	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	03-11 02:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	2	$3	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	02-24 01:51
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	06-02 02:39
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 08:48
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	1	$2	1,136	0	+1,136	open	—	03-23 02:11
ethereum above 2500 on march 16	1	$2	1,125	0	+1,125	open	—	03-16 08:38
xrp above 1 on march 30	1	$2	1,116	0	+1,116	open	—	03-30 02:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 8	1	$2	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	04-08 00:59
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	1	$2	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	03-06 01:57
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	1	$2	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	04-17 00:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$2	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	04-28 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 02:39:04	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x12e685…
05-21 08:48:36	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x297ad6…
05-11 02:27:21	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,086	100¢	$1,084	0x106ecd…
05-09 01:41:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,081	0xe1758d…
05-05 02:10:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,071	0x069085…
05-04 02:38:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0xf19604…
04-28 01:10:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,078	0¢	$2	0xd2a874…
04-17 00:33:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,094	0¢	$2	0x6028f9…
04-14 02:31:33	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x31192e…
04-08 00:59:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,102	0¢	$2	0xf69a85…
04-06 09:32:49	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x35f21a…
03-30 02:06:50	xrp above 1 on march 30	No	BUY	1,116	0¢	$2	0xeb4d33…
03-23 02:11:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	Yes	BUY	1,136	0¢	$2	0x13afdf…
03-16 08:38:49	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	Yes	BUY	1,125	0¢	$2	0xa0eb5e…
03-11 02:31:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$3	0xcabb1c…
03-06 01:57:33	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,094	0¢	$2	0x8432e4…
03-01 07:51:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0xf6a0ce…
02-24 01:51:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6503da…
02-24 01:51:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$3	0x553d12…
02-13 02:29:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,083	0¢	$4	0xef50e9…
02-06 01:47:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,115	1¢	$7	0x646258…
02-02 03:22:44	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1c7b1d…
01-30 05:58:10	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87db72…
01-30 01:23:08	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$1	0x0bbbc9…
01-29 12:03:14	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45744a…
01-27 03:55:09	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2a9324…
01-27 03:55:07	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe8ec20…
01-27 03:55:07	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x048e06…
01-27 03:55:03	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc26381…
01-27 03:55:03	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x44ea1e…
01-27 03:55:01	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbabb20…
01-26 09:03:05	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa26b77…
01-20 01:57:10	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33903b…
01-19 03:17:46	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa2f145…
01-18 01:29:08	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,084	100¢	$1,082	0x48c6a1…
01-17 01:11:30	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,080	0x8f8b26…
01-16 02:01:48	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0x28cb4f…
01-15 00:40:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,076	0xf67668…
01-14 02:08:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0x4a59bf…
01-13 01:28:01	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0xef3c1a…
01-12 02:07:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0xc4aa3a…
01-11 01:52:40	ethereum above 2800 on january 11	Yes	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0x0857df…
01-10 01:45:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 10	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0xe65a22…
01-09 04:15:32	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0xdcf181…