Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

175

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-29 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 34% +$1,803

Other

25% 31% -$30

Politics

4% 50% -$358

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	2	$2.4K	2,929	2,402	+527	Up	+$2,897	10-15 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?	5	$749	2,307	2,307	+0	Up	+$243	10-15 14:23
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 00:00 UTC	3	$729	3,585	0	+3,585	Down	-$729	10-15 03:54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	1	$363	3,002	0	+3,002	No	-$363	10-15 04:10
tsla up or down on october 16 2026	2	$313	311	311	+0	Down	+$271	10-16 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9PM ET	2	$284	184	184	+0	Down	+$84	10-17 02:00
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-10-16?	2	$230	130	130	+0	Yes	+$30	10-17 01:57
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-16?	2	$210	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	10-17 01:56
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?	2	$176	225	225	+0	Yes	-$90	10-16 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$160	1,051	56	+995	Down	-$51	10-27 03:35
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	2	$150	422	0	+422	Up	+$272	10-15 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET	2	$143	141	141	+0	Down	-$2	10-16 11:25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$141	98	98	+0	Yes	+$56	10-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	5	$134	284	281	+3	Down	-$7	10-25 04:00
BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	8	$113	104	104	+0	Up	+$14	10-25 02:30
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	2	$107	159	159	+0	open	—	10-17 03:08
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-15?	2	$105	229	0	+229	No	-$105	10-15 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	-$100	10-16 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$100	1,235	0	+1,235	Down	-$100	10-15 21:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET	2	$99	134	134	+0	Up	+$34	10-25 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	3	$97	78	78	+0	Down	+$57	10-17 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$96	58	58	+0	Up	+$19	10-25 04:38
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$96	1,425	0	+1,425	Down	-$96	10-15 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	2	$91	52	52	+0	Down	+$9	10-26 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?	2	$90	51	51	+0	Up	+$12	10-06 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$87	2,479	0	+2,479	Down	-$87	10-15 13:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?	2	$84	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	10-07 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$83	248	36	+212	Down	-$11	10-25 01:12
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	2	$81	910	0	+910	Down	-$81	10-07 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 00:00 UTC	10	$80	88	88	+0	Up	+$8	10-17 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:39:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1,464	1¢	$17	0x5a3f8e…
10-28 01:28:44	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x6fcdc2…
10-27 03:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	995	5¢	$50	0xac8726…
10-27 03:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x13d286…
10-27 03:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x67811d…
10-27 03:17:54	Will EC Juventude win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x83e0df…
10-26 18:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xd48849…
10-26 18:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0x99e52c…
10-26 18:21:56	Will EC Juventude win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xff77f9…
10-26 18:21:41	Will EC Juventude vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdcb882…
10-26 18:19:59	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3c57bb…
10-26 18:19:29	Will CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd297be…
10-26 18:17:36	Will América FC vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3c915f…
10-26 18:17:15	Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0eefcf…
10-26 18:15:47	Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x1b0634…
10-26 18:14:24	Will Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x05f5b2…
10-26 18:11:38	Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x04af48…
10-26 18:10:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xab6271…
10-26 17:56:21	Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa2465a…
10-25 04:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?	Down	BUY	808	6¢	$48	0x1ce7b4…
10-25 04:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc77b81…
10-25 04:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4c801b…
10-25 04:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x532bfa…
10-25 04:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa9b00f…
10-25 04:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x43bdec…
10-25 04:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xc391d6…
10-25 04:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	132	2¢	$3	0x84e75d…
10-25 04:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x42bdab…
10-25 04:32:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x962062…
10-25 04:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x0808e4…
10-25 04:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x8c2974…
10-25 04:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xbe45a2…
10-25 04:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc2abb3…
10-25 04:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x4c66ec…
10-25 04:17:11	Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	84	17¢	$14	0x443267…
10-25 04:10:11	Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x019b6f…
10-25 04:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x73bb7a…
10-25 03:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2c1fa4…
10-25 03:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x109f64…
10-25 03:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	279	22¢	$62	0xeaba6a…
10-25 03:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	279	24¢	$66	0x9a3d7c…
10-25 02:49:51	Will CSD Dorados Sinaloa vs. Piratas Veracruz end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$4	0x6a5cbb…
10-25 02:44:36	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x6db13d…
10-25 02:41:05	Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3d8541…
10-25 02:30:45	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	104	61¢	$63	0x060101…
10-25 02:27:20	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x7af00f…
10-25 02:26:39	Will Santos FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd34e08…
10-25 02:25:23	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	49	40¢	$19	0x9f4079…
10-25 02:24:08	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x72e2b7…
10-25 02:17:29	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb420ef…
10-25 02:14:47	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6e4f57…
10-25 02:13:17	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc6084b…
10-25 02:12:02	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdbc127…
10-25 02:07:26	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x93c214…
10-25 02:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x9dd8fe…
10-25 02:04:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5ca3e1…
10-25 02:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x6cf849…
10-25 02:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x768467…
10-25 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf5f0c7…
10-25 01:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x1c5a1f…
10-25 01:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x147d3c…
10-25 01:51:14	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x84f9e7…
10-25 01:49:32	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x115f8d…
10-25 01:45:48	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x786538…
10-25 01:43:42	Will Santos FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x2b7f3d…
10-25 01:41:53	Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb61cfc…
10-25 01:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	134	50¢	$66	0x6d5e67…
10-25 01:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	134	24¢	$33	0x9661f0…
10-25 01:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0x5bf8ed…
10-25 01:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x812640…
10-25 01:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xb27e62…
10-25 01:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7fa9d2…
10-25 01:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3f6399…
10-25 01:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	204	1¢	$2	0x0e4065…
10-25 01:02:12	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8931c0…
10-25 01:01:02	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x694497…
10-25 01:00:33	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1b8505…
10-25 00:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xdbd8df…
10-25 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x29f42d…
10-25 00:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x8131fb…
10-25 00:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe5bdda…
10-21 21:26:32	Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcbe8aa…
10-19 20:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xb3f022…
10-19 20:15:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	Yes	SELL	572	1¢	$3	0x3363ef…
10-19 20:14:23	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0x1a03ad…
10-18 16:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	44	49¢	$21	0x5af94b…
10-18 16:22:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0xb54eb8…
10-18 03:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	696	2¢	$13	0xa51093…
10-18 03:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	410	1¢	$6	0xebd9a2…
10-18 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,067	1¢	$6	0xc36bf3…
10-18 03:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf0c3d1…
10-18 03:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf7b0eb…
10-18 03:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x4cb523…
10-18 03:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfc4224…
10-18 03:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xaa158d…
10-18 03:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x422cd2…
10-18 03:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	206	3¢	$7	0x53283e…
10-18 03:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa29f3a…
10-18 03:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8c95a1…
10-18 03:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x253d83…