Misty-Warrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$6.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$122

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-19 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

68% 67% $-17

Politics

20% — —

Sports

10% 100% +$4

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No		+76	$67	99¢	$76	+$9	06-02 16:58
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		+50	$46	92¢	$46	$-0	07-10 04:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fif sin far 2026 03 26 draw	62	$1.1K	960	329	+631	open	—	03-24 02:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$807	409	409	+0	open	—	03-01 03:09
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	12	$723	496	340	+156	open	—	05-18 17:45
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	6	$307	479	0	+479	open	—	03-29 18:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	5	$197	103	103	+0	open	—	03-17 19:57
lal gir cel 2026 03 01 ags juan arango	3	$166	170	0	+170	open	—	03-01 19:29
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$152	198	0	+198	open	—	03-04 21:31
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 ags julian alvarez	7	$111	188	0	+188	open	—	03-18 19:49
lal gir cel 2026 03 01 ags javi sarasa	2	$109	112	0	+112	open	—	03-01 19:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$106	136	0	+136	open	—	02-28 05:55
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	13	$105	130	0	+130	open	—	05-30 17:02
fl1 met sbr 2026 03 01 ags joel asoro	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-01 15:24
lal gir cel 2026 03 01 ags cristhian stuani	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-01 19:28
fl1 lil nan 2026 03 01 ags bahereba guirassy	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-01 15:35
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 ags kieran morrison	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-02 23:23
netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	3	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	07-17 13:00
sea rom juv 2026 03 01 ags matias soule	1	$85	89	0	+89	open	—	03-01 16:19
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$81	176	176	+0	open	—	03-10 16:01
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 ags kylian mbappe	9	$77	157	0	+157	open	—	03-22 18:55
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 ags lamine yamal	5	$72	125	0	+125	open	—	03-18 17:42
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	9	$71	120	0	+120	open	—	06-08 04:03
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	2	$67	76	0	+76	open	—	06-02 16:58
fl1 asm ang 2026 02 28 ags krepin diatta	1	$64	68	0	+68	open	—	02-28 17:13
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 ags dominik szoboszlai	5	$63	100	0	+100	open	—	03-18 19:37
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$60	194	0	+194	open	—	07-02 02:49
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	4	$59	73	0	+73	open	—	04-01 17:02
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	4	$56	94	0	+94	open	—	05-18 17:46
epl che new 2026 03 14 new	3	$47	38	38	+0	open	—	03-14 19:54
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	07-10 04:25
fl1 lil nan 2026 03 01 ags saad boussadia	1	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	03-01 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 00:03:28	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdc1827…
07-19 00:03:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x4726f2…
07-19 00:01:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x172969…
07-19 00:01:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x275d5b…
07-17 13:00:45	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x92d757…
07-16 11:51:46	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x577c64…
07-15 20:28:47	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	No	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x705e95…
07-12 03:09:23	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xb0e27d…
07-12 03:07:53	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xd824de…
07-10 04:25:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x5827f5…
07-09 13:15:55	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x3f0f9a…
07-05 22:07:53	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 assists marcus rashford gte2	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe4fdf5…
07-05 17:50:10	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x8dab38…
07-02 02:49:58	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	194	31¢	$60	0x8fe3bf…
06-08 04:42:15	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x12cfe3…
06-08 04:38:21	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xbd7945…
06-08 04:08:30	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x2c8136…
06-08 04:07:04	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xe72c2d…
06-08 04:03:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xdc9814…
06-08 04:03:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x6872ef…
06-08 04:03:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xf78463…
06-08 04:03:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xcba6aa…
06-08 04:03:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x889381…
06-08 04:03:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xb7d330…
06-08 03:59:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x118239…
06-08 03:59:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xd71b25…
06-08 03:53:55	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x25b169…
06-08 03:51:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x04eb74…
06-08 03:36:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5b6735…
06-05 10:00:19	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x665e46…
06-05 04:40:43	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc6c345…
06-05 03:43:09	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x5298b0…
06-02 16:58:21	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0x98e40d…
06-02 16:41:12	Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x9be95d…
05-31 04:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3f74cc…
05-31 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x830205…
05-31 04:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x745d14…
05-31 04:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe3df68…
05-31 04:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x530d17…
05-31 04:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xda8cc5…
05-31 04:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfabeef…
05-31 04:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfc42ba…
05-31 04:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe74e76…
05-31 04:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x77ee51…
05-31 04:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4393ff…
05-31 04:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3bb509…
05-31 04:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xce5e5a…
05-31 04:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb847b…
05-31 04:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d9622…
05-31 04:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4ccfc3…
05-31 04:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x598357…
05-31 04:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x97a19b…
05-31 04:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa02e88…
05-31 04:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x998108…
05-31 03:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x862655…
05-31 03:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3d6cde…
05-31 03:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x53b1fc…
05-31 03:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2f7cb2…
05-31 03:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0ddb77…
05-31 03:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa9a368…
05-31 03:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbeeae7…
05-31 03:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3e3b74…
05-31 03:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xfd3dca…
05-31 03:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x576439…
05-30 17:29:39	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x65e130…
05-30 17:02:16	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xd8be25…
05-30 16:56:12	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x3ac85f…
05-30 16:54:57	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x65b2b3…
05-30 16:52:02	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6590fd…
05-30 16:51:20	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5aafa1…
05-30 16:48:55	Max Dowman: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x05310b…
05-30 16:23:55	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd0cdcf…
05-30 16:23:15	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x14d5bb…
05-30 16:21:56	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xac4ae2…
05-30 16:17:26	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdf7e6d…
05-30 16:11:50	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x30a23b…
05-30 16:03:51	Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xb51442…
05-30 15:59:32	Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa31412…
05-30 15:59:32	Gabriel Martinelli: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8be1df…
05-30 15:56:44	Gabriel Martinelli: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x4eb948…
05-30 15:55:18	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x10d53f…
05-30 15:55:06	Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xd91490…
05-30 15:54:19	Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x67886c…
05-30 15:53:44	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x3e4b30…
05-30 15:53:00	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x04c4d9…
05-30 15:40:19	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x872ce6…
05-30 15:39:52	Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xadec98…
05-30 15:39:09	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe805f3…
05-30 15:38:44	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xefe4cf…
05-30 15:19:50	Gabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x7be841…
05-30 15:04:00	Gabriel Jesus: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	8	89¢	$8	0xe96d3b…
05-30 15:03:23	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x25d568…
05-30 14:57:35	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x571da3…
05-26 02:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf1697b…
05-26 02:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa6abc6…
05-26 02:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x13c85a…
05-26 02:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe6e013…
05-26 02:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcf6363…
05-26 02:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x68cc17…
05-26 02:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb78dff…