Bleak-Spec — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

876

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-06 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$1

Other

30% 50% +$8

Politics

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	218	$117	52,737	52,737	+0	open	—	03-31 04:45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	05-29 03:23
will fdp win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	7	$95	47,038	24,356	+22,682	open	—	03-09 11:57
will nguyn duy ngc be the next president of vietnam	221	$75	32,722	32,722	+0	open	—	03-31 09:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	03-12 09:52
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	03-24 08:52
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 03:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 20?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-19 06:35
highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 48 49f	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 06:30
ethereum above 1700 on march 16	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	03-15 04:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-29 04:40
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	147	$40	20,098	20,098	+0	open	—	04-01 13:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-18 02:12
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 06:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	1	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	05-18 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	2	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-20 04:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-15 06:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-22 03:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 16?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	05-14 03:29
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	3	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	04-13 01:52
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-14 08:06
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$36	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$12	04-02 02:55
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-22 01:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	2	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-29 03:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-15 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 25?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-24 03:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 17c	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-20 01:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	06-02 02:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 03:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-14 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 11:09:06	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66a545…
06-06 11:08:54	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe2b6e2…
06-03 02:19:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3ea392…
06-03 02:19:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29ad98…
06-02 02:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x98cade…
05-29 03:23:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x32ae79…
05-29 03:22:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x629ed5…
05-28 07:24:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xed6b20…
05-28 07:24:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x681603…
05-28 07:24:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdfa619…
05-25 01:49:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x98f515…
05-25 01:49:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff602f…
05-22 03:08:25	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x13be35…
05-22 03:08:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4da51a…
05-22 03:08:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9ff640…
05-20 04:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbdddc…
05-20 04:39:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0c5306…
05-20 04:39:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf4353b…
05-19 13:57:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc53dfc…
05-19 06:35:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x448708…
05-19 06:35:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7dcf9f…
05-18 02:12:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x612814…
05-18 02:11:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x1e4c21…
05-15 06:44:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8e2cc3…
05-15 06:44:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5e5d96…
05-15 06:44:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2acd7a…
05-14 03:29:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xf16c5d…
05-14 03:29:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb336b9…
05-14 03:29:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6a87d1…
05-13 02:58:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9f5ffe…
05-13 02:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1671b5…
05-09 04:45:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6bb013…
05-09 04:45:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1e45ab…
05-08 07:17:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x765ff5…
04-28 07:38:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x645427…
04-24 03:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb40fff…
04-24 03:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbf1e33…
04-24 03:07:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x19fb70…
04-22 01:25:50	USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8700fb…
04-22 01:25:26	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd577d1…
04-22 01:25:16	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x223710…
04-21 06:30:26	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x165043…
04-21 04:06:56	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dde18…
04-21 04:06:42	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x13316f…
04-21 03:31:12	highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcaac28…
04-20 01:30:40	highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 17c	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5fdf01…
04-19 07:56:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78ad68…
04-17 02:50:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbbd540…
04-17 02:24:48	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,600	0¢	$4	0x4add09…
04-16 21:32:28	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xea8748…
04-16 19:26:06	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfd392e…
04-16 18:55:28	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x81124d…
04-16 18:55:28	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$0	0x091d48…
04-16 18:54:14	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd8af65…
04-16 18:54:14	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	0¢	$0	0xc21533…
04-16 18:50:50	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0xfa42fe…
04-16 18:50:50	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	299	0¢	$0	0xd851be…
04-16 18:50:50	Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x7ed3a3…
04-15 04:02:50	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59b47e…
04-14 08:07:25	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad516b…
04-14 08:07:07	Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66f0e1…
04-14 08:06:45	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f0017…
04-14 08:06:23	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xca86b9…
04-13 01:53:59	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x46722c…
04-13 01:52:51	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbcaca2…
04-09 02:29:51	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa9eec6…
04-09 02:29:45	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf6767e…
04-08 06:51:27	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf6e0f8…
04-05 07:07:31	r6siege ep anios 2026 04 05	ENTERPRISE Esports	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6d104f…
04-04 02:17:49	ethereum above 1900 on april 4	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26ed08…
04-04 02:17:35	ethereum above 1800 on april 4	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1f09df…
04-03 01:44:37	Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0xbd9fbf…
04-02 09:13:19	Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0x44a2d0…
04-02 02:55:43	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	990	0¢	$2	0x988083…
04-01 16:02:49	Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x505803…
04-01 13:01:41	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	630	0¢	$1	0xf8522c…
04-01 12:39:07	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0xd60fa9…
04-01 07:50:11	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	3,000	0¢	$3	0x4c5a6e…
04-01 07:15:45	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	3,240	0¢	$3	0xe43bd5…
04-01 06:49:01	will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	243	0¢	$0	0x8553c9…
04-01 04:29:55	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be 75 or higher	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$2	0xab45d8…
03-31 15:28:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	11,010	0¢	$22	0xf8c814…
03-31 09:29:49	will nguyn duy ngc be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb85e48…
03-31 08:16:45	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$0	0xb6f291…
03-31 05:15:41	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	781	0¢	$1	0x3f0feb…
03-31 04:52:09	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11,010	0¢	$11	0x8ffadd…
03-31 04:45:35	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x33bba9…
03-31 03:14:23	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0b3ef5…
03-30 08:00:24	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xcede22…
03-30 08:00:20	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x48560b…
03-30 08:00:18	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x39f7f8…
03-30 08:00:16	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0xf2cbc4…
03-30 08:00:14	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xa8593f…
03-30 08:00:14	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$0	0x1483c0…
03-30 08:00:12	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xcf53c7…
03-30 08:00:08	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5c7d71…
03-30 08:00:08	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$0	0x330a10…
03-30 08:00:08	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x1371df…
03-30 08:00:08	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x0a1b6b…
03-30 07:59:02	will phm minh chnh be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1e1ad2…