Sticky-Evaporation-Consistency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$256

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-26 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Tech

87% 0% -$1

Other

10% 33% -$15

Sports

3% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	No		+6	$2	32¢	$2	$0	10-26 12:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	2	$221	139	139	+0	open	—	09-20 06:59
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$10	42	0	+42	Yes	-$10	10-23 21:49
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	04-04 15:04
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 btts	2	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 16:08
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	-$1	06-11 23:26
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	10-26 12:06
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	1	$2	8	0	+8	Mbappé	-$2	10-23 21:54
tur fen bes 2026 04 05 btts	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	04-05 16:10
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	3	$2	17	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 16:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	10-23 21:56
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	03-28 02:20
Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 0 - 1 FC Midtjylland?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	07-23 17:32
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	04-15 18:22
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	03-28 02:17
tur tra gal 2026 04 04 gal	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	04-04 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:06:00	Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4f5fb7…
10-23 21:56:09	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x64b1a0…
10-23 21:54:05	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe4028f…
10-23 21:49:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xac3aaf…
09-20 06:59:12	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	SELL	139	87¢	$121	0x70e9d9…
09-07 10:58:40	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xddc717…
07-23 17:32:16	Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 0 - 1 FC Midtjylland?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc647d4…
06-11 23:26:54	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x7073e8…
06-02 19:41:43	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x25fcb1…
04-15 18:22:44	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe34f38…
04-05 16:10:53	tur fen bes 2026 04 05 btts	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xbcbeab…
04-04 17:06:01	tur tra gal 2026 04 04 gal	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa33dca…
04-04 16:10:21	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x3cfc5b…
04-04 16:08:45	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa25df7…
04-04 16:06:23	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xa937cb…
04-04 16:04:57	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8f1fe1…
04-04 15:16:49	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe02659…
04-04 15:04:29	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x18c882…
03-28 02:21:11	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x97f00c…
03-28 02:20:41	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9693d9…
03-28 02:17:43	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x212216…