Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$77

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

355

Trades

582

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-04

last 09-22 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 42% -$36

Other

48% 71% -$18

Sports

0% 0% -$21

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes		+10	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	09-21 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:40 UTC	3	$391	381	336	+45	Up	+$186	07-13 02:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:15 UTC	2	$315	220	220	+0	Down	+$121	07-13 06:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 18:15 UTC	2	$314	226	226	+0	Down	+$114	07-12 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:30 UTC	4	$297	886	278	+608	Up	+$37	07-13 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:50 UTC	4	$294	517	485	+32	Down	+$44	07-13 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:15 UTC	4	$260	557	557	+0	Down	+$50	07-13 03:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?	3	$212	113	113	+0	No	+$14	07-09 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:05 UTC	2	$209	316	316	+0	Up	+$9	07-13 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 9?	3	$203	103	103	+0	No	+$3	07-09 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 10?	3	$179	94	94	+0	No	+$9	07-10 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 17:45 UTC	3	$169	121	121	+0	Down	+$69	07-12 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?	3	$157	85	85	+0	No	+$9	07-09 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?	2	$146	119	119	+0	No	+$46	07-12 04:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:15 UTC	4	$125	167	167	+0	Up	+$25	07-12 20:17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 10?	3	$123	96	48	+48	Yes	-$43	07-09 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC	3	$123	176	147	+29	Down	+$63	07-12 20:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 12?	4	$122	87	87	+0	Yes	+$12	07-12 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:40 UTC	4	$118	132	132	+0	Down	+$18	07-12 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:30 UTC	3	$116	210	96	+114	Down	+$56	07-12 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:05 UTC	3	$108	188	74	+114	Up	+$8	07-12 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?	2	$108	56	56	+0	No	+$4	07-10 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:40 UTC	4	$108	201	201	+0	Up	+$8	07-13 06:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?	2	$107	57	57	+0	No	+$7	07-09 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:00 UTC	3	$107	243	208	+36	Up	+$47	07-13 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?	3	$106	57	57	+0	No	+$6	07-11 15:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	07-12 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:35 UTC	1	$100	152	0	+152	Down	-$100	07-13 02:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:10 UTC	1	$100	393	0	+393	Down	-$100	07-13 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:50 UTC	1	$100	192	0	+192	Down	-$100	07-13 06:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:50 UTC	3	$100	155	93	+63	Down	+$0	07-13 05:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 06:18:00	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2c680a…
09-21 14:19:44	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb62355…
09-19 03:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x0e2705…
09-17 08:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7c9626…
09-09 07:21:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xfb337c…
09-07 13:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x48765c…
09-07 13:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x7b3df8…
09-06 20:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf1e9e3…
09-06 20:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x53538e…
09-06 20:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 8?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd3544d…
09-04 09:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x235235…
09-04 09:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 6?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2101b2…
09-04 09:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xffc63b…
09-04 09:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5985cb…
09-03 15:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb6e314…
09-03 15:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7f4738…
09-02 12:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x81259e…
09-02 12:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc484dd…
09-02 12:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa43119…
09-02 05:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 2?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x711ddd…
09-01 13:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7646f5…
08-31 16:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x464381…
08-31 12:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6ffd88…
08-31 12:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0c2867…
08-31 12:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x827185…
08-31 12:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7acd3a…
08-30 13:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x018c07…
08-30 13:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x08acd3…
08-30 13:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x204e38…
08-30 01:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x020911…
08-29 10:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xfab1a8…
08-29 09:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x84f17a…
08-27 13:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x52d60e…
08-27 13:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa4eeb4…
08-27 13:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfd49e6…
08-27 01:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1470b4…
08-25 20:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 26?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2ed1e9…
08-24 18:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xbd87d8…
08-24 16:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3c507e…
08-24 10:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x441738…
08-24 09:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 26?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x9eebf4…
08-24 09:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6fc53…
08-24 09:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x85dc61…
08-24 09:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 24?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x2c9b7a…
08-24 06:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x6c64bf…
08-23 13:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xdd5b55…
08-23 13:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 24?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x16d89e…
08-23 10:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x156ca6…
08-23 10:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x5471da…
08-23 10:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6ba54f…
08-22 11:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x8db60b…
08-22 09:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 24?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x604268…
08-22 09:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbd1ffe…
08-22 09:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2706fe…
08-22 09:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xa7771e…
08-22 09:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x10702b…
08-22 09:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xdbb173…
08-22 09:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x002165…
08-22 03:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 22?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8c471f…
08-22 02:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$0	0x0f494c…
08-22 01:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x367b9d…
08-22 01:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 23?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x911d70…
08-21 21:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x9b6e0b…
08-21 16:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 22?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x09f898…
08-20 13:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x52ad68…
08-20 10:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xedb5ea…
08-20 10:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc9089d…
08-20 10:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x859620…
08-20 10:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x661377…
08-20 05:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x860232…
08-20 04:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x4ee23e…
08-19 16:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0xdff878…
08-19 13:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcad53c…
08-19 13:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x3304e0…
08-19 08:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x1b0cd1…
08-19 08:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8c1f6b…
08-19 06:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd831a1…
08-19 06:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xe97263…
08-19 06:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xe552c5…
08-18 10:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 20?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd7710a…
08-18 07:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x80c050…
08-18 06:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x940af0…
08-18 06:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xd48abc…
08-18 05:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x27ad96…
08-18 05:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd8e8ad…
08-18 03:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9d7127…
08-17 09:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xe87332…
08-17 09:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x241bbd…
08-17 06:43:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x310d99…
08-17 02:01:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x5ce168…
08-17 01:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x26c470…
08-17 00:15:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xec1dc6…
08-16 16:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb3d780…
08-16 12:04:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xffa1a8…
08-16 11:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x75e5a3…
08-16 11:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9272c4…
08-16 10:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7c65c1…
08-16 10:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf08c31…
08-16 09:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd00d92…
08-16 09:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9dc018…