Prize-Bonus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-17 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 39% -$19

Other

11% 64% +$7

Politics

4% 40% $0

Sports

1% 50% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-13 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	$0	05-13 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-13 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$0	05-13 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Down	-$1	05-13 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$9	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	05-13 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 13?	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$6	05-13 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$7	34	34	+0	Up	-$3	05-13 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	05-13 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	5	$5	18	4	+14	Down	-$1	05-13 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	Down	-$5	05-12 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$4	4	1	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 11:22
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	4	$4	15	15	+0	No	$0	05-14 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$3	5	2	+3	Up	-$1	05-14 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	-$2	05-14 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	-$2	05-13 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 16:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x61cb18…
05-17 16:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7427b0…
05-14 20:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x99cdb5…
05-14 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x16e9dd…
05-14 18:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x0eadf5…
05-14 18:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x88701c…
05-14 18:06:13	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x791d80…
05-14 18:06:11	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xd9a429…
05-14 10:39:25	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3940bf…
05-14 09:59:24	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x635976…
05-14 09:56:11	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfff3c5…
05-14 03:31:15	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2b17d7…
05-14 03:26:22	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x02dd70…
05-14 03:25:32	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x658404…
05-14 03:25:12	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa028c1…
05-14 03:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xcd91c6…
05-14 03:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xedd7bd…
05-14 00:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb4115a…
05-14 00:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc7aa15…
05-14 00:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x117349…
05-14 00:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x1d902b…
05-14 00:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5b3a1d…
05-14 00:09:28	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb6ea89…
05-14 00:09:26	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x68483d…
05-14 00:07:34	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1b7210…
05-13 19:39:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x2ac2cc…
05-13 19:22:07	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x26c768…
05-13 19:06:13	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbebdf3…
05-13 18:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0xcabaf1…
05-13 18:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf63173…
05-13 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xa7c5d4…
05-13 18:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xac956e…
05-13 18:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xe39dd0…
05-13 18:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x412f32…
05-13 18:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe9c3af…
05-13 18:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x04c874…
05-13 18:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe392b7…
05-13 18:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xfb4636…
05-13 18:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x231263…
05-13 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x71c8f3…
05-13 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd06ba8…
05-13 18:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xea1b75…
05-13 18:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xc58ef4…
05-13 18:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x8a3ad3…
05-13 18:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x7ff165…
05-13 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x676b0f…
05-13 18:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7386bc…
05-13 18:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x730b74…
05-13 18:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbdf826…
05-13 18:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xedbac2…
05-13 18:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9010bc…
05-13 17:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x43c04f…
05-13 17:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x522633…
05-13 17:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x155c3b…
05-13 17:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x43077d…
05-13 17:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xa1b0cc…
05-13 17:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6e40e1…
05-13 17:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x4db98e…
05-13 17:35:50	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xc659a6…
05-13 17:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xbd8f75…
05-13 17:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3fa7b2…
05-13 17:34:19	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe3dfb6…
05-13 17:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x8320c1…
05-13 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa2c914…
05-13 17:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x461fce…
05-13 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x4d0280…
05-13 17:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x444ccd…
05-13 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xb44b35…
05-13 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x649c9c…
05-13 17:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0a5cf5…
05-13 16:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x72ccb7…
05-13 16:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6d640f…
05-13 16:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0xfe375a…
05-13 16:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x7ca426…
05-13 16:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xbde56b…
05-13 16:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xbdb816…
05-13 16:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xbcd48a…
05-13 15:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	364	0¢	$1	0xbcc489…
05-13 15:23:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xefc4d9…
05-13 15:17:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x8faef2…
05-13 11:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x7ac6aa…
05-13 11:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe6ce65…
05-13 11:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xe34f05…
05-13 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x99487a…
05-13 11:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x14fe88…
05-13 11:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2c9ed9…
05-13 11:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x82144f…
05-13 11:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x318794…
05-13 11:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x57768d…
05-13 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe148c3…
05-13 11:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x131af2…
05-13 11:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x88cd7c…
05-13 11:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x34f4eb…
05-13 11:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xefcfb4…
05-13 11:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x0b70f0…
05-13 11:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x31e359…
05-13 11:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xd1bd6c…
05-13 11:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4d2f57…
05-13 11:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x280968…
05-13 11:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x17a644…