Specific-Involvement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

362

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$587

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-06 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

83% 77% +$1

Sports

9% 83% +$3

Politics

7% 60% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	08-23 08:12
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?	No	—	+1	$1	89¢	$1	+$0	09-30 20:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No		+2	$1	68¢	$1	$0	10-17 19:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	05-31 10:29
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	08-23 08:12
Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No		+2	$1	46¢	$1	$0	09-13 14:20
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes		+2	$1	48¢	$1	$0	09-13 14:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		-2	-$1	32¢	$-1	$0	10-17 19:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bkcba lia sic 2026 04 05	2	$20	11	10	+0	Liaoning Flying Leopards	+$1	04-05 13:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-29 20:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	04-07 21:11
bkcba gua sic 2026 03 25	2	$10	6	6	+0	Guangdong Southern Tigers	+$0	03-24 19:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 18:19
Italy vs. USA	2	$10	5	5	+0	USA	+$0	09-06 19:24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-10 22:58
Will Tottenham Hotspur be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	09-28 05:58
bkcba zhe2 fuj 2026 04 05	3	$9	5	5	+0	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	+$1	04-05 13:47
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	04-09 06:04
bkcba tia sha3 2026 03 27	2	$6	4	4	+0	Shanghai Sharks	+$0	03-26 20:31
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$1	09-28 20:39
bkcba sic sha2 2026 03 23	1	$5	6	0	+6	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	+$1	03-22 11:59
wttmen wang jorgic 2026 04 04	1	$5	5	0	+5	Wang	+$0	04-03 23:33
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 eve	3	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	04-19 13:48
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-18 20:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	01-29 08:44
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	03-11 21:51
bkcba lia nan 2026 03 23	1	$3	4	0	+4	Liaoning Flying Leopards	+$1	03-22 13:41
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	09-27 19:22
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 08:17
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	02-17 19:12
bkcba bei sha3 2026 04 12	2	$3	2	2	+0	Shanghai Sharks	+$1	04-12 13:10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	04-05 13:47
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-19 19:34
epl sun tot 2026 04 12 tot	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	04-12 15:11
nba orl cle 2026 01 26	2	$2	1	1	+0	Cavaliers	+$0	01-27 05:10
bkcba bei2 nin 2026 03 28	2	$2	1	1	+0	Beijing Royal Fighters	+$0	03-28 14:40
Zhejiang Lions vs. Beijing Royal Fighters	2	$2	1	1	+0	Zhejiang Lions	+$0	04-19 13:49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-06 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 19:35:31	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x637c53…
11-02 21:37:07	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x383ce8…
11-02 21:32:45	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x58e13c…
11-01 11:58:34	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x92b8f8…
11-01 11:51:45	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x168296…
11-01 11:48:01	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8ddaf8…
10-31 16:33:58	AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd7e566…
10-31 16:32:07	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1694dd…
10-31 11:13:43	FC Schalke 04 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x940daf…
10-31 11:13:07	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x54c7aa…
10-31 11:11:57	Real Betis Balompié vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4f1f42…
10-31 11:11:31	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0478be…
10-31 11:10:48	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8fc3e8…
10-31 11:09:49	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf0d4f1…
10-31 11:09:15	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2efb47…
10-31 11:08:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5ccb97…
10-31 11:08:25	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9c7318…
10-31 11:07:21	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xab8e1e…
10-30 20:00:52	Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xde5e0e…
10-30 15:21:51	Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x14504f…
10-30 15:21:42	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc6ae8e…
10-29 22:24:33	Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdb650a…
10-29 22:11:54	Ningbo Rockets vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcf575c…
10-29 22:10:55	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x56c31a…
10-29 07:05:29	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbe56be…
10-29 07:05:08	Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x645f7e…
10-29 07:03:13	Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey King	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x24a957…
10-29 07:01:49	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa7382d…
10-27 21:06:17	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4d42ad…
10-26 22:13:50	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb8013a…
10-26 22:13:24	AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x33c1e6…
10-26 22:12:11	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcec4e2…
10-26 22:07:39	Qingdao Eagles vs. Tianjin Pioneers	Qingdao Eagles	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe21f53…
10-25 14:35:39	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc6d975…
10-25 10:58:44	Beijing Ducks vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions	Beijing Ducks	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6c1b39…
10-25 10:58:15	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Tianjin Pioneers	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x19411d…
10-25 10:58:03	Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xaca0c9…
10-25 09:35:59	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb242a1…
10-25 09:35:29	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2f42a9…
10-25 09:34:41	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xaaaf06…
10-25 09:33:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa8d764…
10-24 16:03:45	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x08dd3e…
10-24 16:02:15	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7620b2…
10-24 13:54:09	Shanxi Loongs vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x31917a…
10-24 13:49:35	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xee155b…
10-24 13:46:12	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe33d40…
10-24 13:44:57	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x741026…
10-23 20:23:06	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfc9202…
10-23 20:20:14	Zhejiang Lions vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x48e6eb…
10-23 20:19:59	Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rockets	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x36862c…
10-23 20:19:17	SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5f0875…
10-23 20:12:45	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa702ba…
10-23 20:11:18	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xf1ec03…
10-22 20:14:32	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Beijing Royal Fighters	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x813438…
10-22 20:10:48	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Sichuan Blue Whales	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x892fc4…
10-20 21:18:53	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa2d8e3…
10-20 21:13:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa7da56…
10-20 16:43:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe117af…
10-19 21:39:40	Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Tianjin Pioneers	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4c3381…
10-19 21:39:28	Fujian Sturgeons vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa2f3f9…
10-18 21:01:03	Ningbo Rockets vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3942a6…
10-18 20:59:56	Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcc9413…
10-18 20:27:06	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xfd59ad…
10-18 20:25:45	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf76481…
10-18 18:13:50	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb44fda…
10-18 17:49:24	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x47428d…
10-18 11:58:59	Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x71b9a7…
10-18 11:58:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x12513b…
10-17 19:18:50	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x998c23…
10-17 19:16:56	Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb1a359…
10-17 19:12:23	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25795e…
10-17 19:09:20	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf54f1b…
10-17 19:05:12	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x10ed0e…
10-17 19:01:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x5b00c1…
10-17 19:00:14	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0xaa5d56…
10-17 18:52:23	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x89b014…
10-17 18:51:44	Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Guangdong Southern Tigers	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x94328c…
10-17 18:51:38	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x952a39…
10-17 18:51:30	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x97be1a…
10-17 11:28:21	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x05f02d…
10-17 11:26:17	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0e9147…
10-17 11:21:53	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3c4c04…
10-17 11:21:02	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe56ad8…
10-17 11:19:44	Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x512eba…
10-17 11:17:30	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x17fa4e…
10-17 11:17:08	Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x830752…
10-17 11:15:38	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x58edd4…
10-17 11:13:38	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4d8538…
10-17 11:13:11	Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x73ae6c…
10-17 11:11:27	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5e675b…
10-17 11:09:54	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x57c255…
10-13 21:36:15	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9af786…
10-13 21:30:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x410ef7…
10-13 21:29:55	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb18aaa…
10-13 21:28:37	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x320f7c…
10-13 21:27:31	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2d7ab5…
10-13 21:25:40	Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4a231c…
10-12 22:00:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x417241…
10-12 21:59:45	Will PSV win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbee0a1…
10-12 21:58:03	FC Internazionale Milano vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb81bb6…