Accurate-Pudding — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved (90d)

130

Trades (90d)

204

2,420 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$718

$59.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 293 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 57% -$1,479

Sports

23% 56% -$185

Other

0% 38% -$17

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes		+3	$1	24¢	$1	$0	11-13 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:05 UTC	4	$4.3K	2,196	2,193	+2	Up	+$16	03-30 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:25 UTC	22	$3.5K	1,971	1,956	+15	Down	+$41	03-30 03:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:25 UTC	12	$3.3K	1,707	1,701	+6	Up	+$70	03-30 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:50 UTC	39	$2.8K	1,620	1,608	+12	Up	+$74	03-30 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:20 UTC	6	$2.8K	1,981	1,948	+33	Down	+$306	03-30 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:10 UTC	38	$2.8K	1,523	1,513	+10	Down	+$86	03-30 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:40 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,128	1,121	+7	Down	+$102	03-30 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:50 UTC	4	$1.7K	875	873	+2	Down	+$26	03-30 02:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:40 UTC	4	$1.7K	874	872	+2	Up	+$23	03-30 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:45 UTC	9	$1.7K	854	847	+6	Down	+$38	03-30 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:15 UTC	63	$1.4K	908	893	+15	Down	+$234	03-30 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:15 UTC	38	$1.2K	930	865	+65	Up	+$144	03-30 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:20 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,930	0	+1,930	Up	-$1,239	03-30 05:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:30 UTC	26	$1.2K	733	721	+12	Down	+$33	03-30 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:10 UTC	13	$1.1K	667	659	+8	Down	+$56	03-30 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:45 UTC	4	$1.1K	674	665	+8	Up	+$71	03-30 04:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:55 UTC	4	$696	540	534	+6	Down	+$81	03-30 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:25 UTC	25	$693	479	471	+8	Up	+$101	03-30 02:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:40 UTC	4	$663	909	895	+14	Up	-$592	03-30 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:00 UTC	13	$568	563	554	+9	Up	+$53	03-30 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:50 UTC	3	$547	407	351	+56	Up	+$133	03-30 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:15 UTC	17	$530	462	288	+174	Down	-$70	03-30 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:20 UTC	2	$516	331	326	+6	Up	+$122	03-30 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:05 UTC	21	$489	405	398	+7	Up	+$36	03-30 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:10 UTC	2	$438	286	281	+4	Up	+$43	03-30 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:55 UTC	13	$433	288	284	+4	Down	+$37	03-30 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:00 UTC	16	$426	269	266	+4	Up	+$29	03-30 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 02:35 UTC	3	$414	356	350	+6	Up	+$20	03-30 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:35 UTC	3	$400	583	0	+583	Up	-$400	03-30 04:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:55 UTC	9	$359	275	270	+5	Up	+$61	03-30 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 13:09:51	Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x251445…
11-12 11:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9bc652…
11-12 11:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xf0ee5c…
11-12 11:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe7e29d…
11-10 13:52:55	Heat vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc721f6…
11-10 13:48:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x871751…
11-09 13:07:04	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xae5343…
11-08 13:35:15	Lakers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4d930c…
11-07 11:48:58	Spread: Rockets (-14.5)	Suns	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x20f930…
11-07 11:48:30	Spread: Warriors (-6.5)	Magic	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x98062b…
11-07 11:48:21	Spread: Thunder (-19.5)	Wizards	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x53ea29…
11-07 11:47:54	Spread: Hawks (-16.5)	Nets	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6475ac…
11-07 11:46:10	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa2ea24…
11-07 11:45:51	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf4b2f4…
11-06 15:27:21	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xa0c909…
11-05 15:11:54	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x70c152…
11-05 15:02:46	Spread: Warriors (-12.5)	Heat	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe4d283…
11-05 15:02:21	Spread: Suns (-4.5)	Magic	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6d12f3…
11-05 14:59:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x972a29…
11-03 16:55:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x081df4…
11-03 11:03:22	Spread: Rockets (-13.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc5a2b0…
11-03 11:02:58	Spread: Spurs (-16.5)	Mavericks	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x82b6d2…
11-03 11:02:49	Raptors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb068d4…
11-03 11:02:33	76ers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4cf1fa…
10-29 13:21:19	Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9f1304…
10-29 13:21:10	Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x554200…
10-29 13:20:04	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8220da…
10-28 14:13:50	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x25dd73…
10-28 14:13:31	Spread: Rockets (-17.5)	Bucks	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x73ba9c…
10-28 14:12:59	Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)	Warriors	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd35745…
10-27 14:48:03	Spread: Spurs (-27.5)	Kings	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb608b0…
10-27 14:47:48	Spread: Lakers (-8.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x99c101…
10-26 14:15:09	Spread: Jazz (-7.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x75b686…
10-26 14:14:17	Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)	Warriors	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa140af…
10-25 13:46:59	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x733ff7…
10-25 13:46:33	Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 251.5	Under	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbf2be9…
10-24 13:32:48	Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)	Pelicans	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x01c326…
10-24 13:32:23	Spread: Suns (-21.5)	Warriors	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc2b2cc…
10-24 13:32:08	Pelicans vs. Nuggets: O/U 250.5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x075c4d…
10-23 13:27:45	Spread: Hawks (-10.5)	Hornets	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7a08c9…
10-23 13:27:30	Spread: Pacers (-11.5)	Mavericks	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x94d477…
10-23 13:27:02	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Heat	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba6b28…
10-23 13:26:39	Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5	Under	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2012de…
10-22 13:41:51	Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5	Over	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x139efc…
10-22 13:40:30	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf1b73e…
10-21 13:16:45	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67b9a4…
10-21 13:15:54	Kings vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe6ae1c…
10-20 11:42:48	Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0772c9…
10-19 13:55:12	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xad5dfc…
10-19 13:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x6bae3f…
10-19 13:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x82026c…
10-18 12:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x9957e3…
10-18 12:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3ffad0…
10-17 15:58:00	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x11eced…
10-17 14:46:29	Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)	Hull City AFC	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x8e3a23…
10-17 03:04:02	Nuggets vs. Lakers	Nuggets	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x05a4db…
10-17 02:58:45	Nuggets vs. Lakers	Nuggets	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x30975d…
10-16 13:37:49	nba mil ind 2026 10 16 spread home 8pt5	Bucks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x207dba…
10-16 13:30:46	nba mil ind 2026 10 16 spread home 8pt5	Bucks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x61ca7f…
10-15 13:03:29	Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)	Hull City AFC	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x31ebd2…
10-14 12:58:57	nba phx sas 2026 10 14	Spurs	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xca32fa…
10-13 14:07:28	Knicks vs. Raptors	Knicks	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd7e49e…
10-13 14:07:11	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9c4fdc…
10-12 13:23:54	Spread: Hawks (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x577679…
10-12 13:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x43a428…
10-12 13:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x36668d…
10-11 13:44:30	Bucks vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbc00a5…
10-10 12:43:33	Pistons vs. Wizards	Pistons	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9d5733…
10-09 14:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3934ff…
10-09 14:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5a49ed…
10-08 13:24:18	Wizards vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x708b0e…
10-07 13:00:38	Magic vs. Grizzlies	Magic	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2d6458…
10-06 13:33:01	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0ed5db…
10-05 13:42:13	Timberwolves vs. Bucks	Timberwolves	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x72dfc6…
10-04 14:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x837bdc…
10-03 13:10:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x5553e6…
10-03 13:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7006d8…
10-02 15:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x9e5575…
10-02 15:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xabc8a4…
10-02 15:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x529738…
10-02 15:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xbb582a…
10-02 15:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x95e410…
10-02 15:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x305b3a…
10-02 15:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x9dbf22…
10-02 15:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x24b0da…
10-02 15:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	56	19¢	$11	0x6dff69…
10-02 15:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x09c0fb…
10-02 15:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	34	80¢	$28	0xbd41b0…
10-02 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0xd64d43…
10-02 14:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x223da9…
10-02 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x7437bb…
10-02 14:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x91f354…
10-02 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x535e43…
10-02 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0x1060b6…
10-02 14:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0xa3760f…
10-02 14:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0xd4c684…
10-02 14:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xadc633…
10-02 14:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	28	78¢	$22	0x33e9e6…
10-02 14:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc3d840…
10-02 14:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	31	73¢	$22	0xc74e2d…