Disloyal-Vulture — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$984

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$21

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-05 17:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 100% +$0

Other

35% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+21	$21	100¢	$21	$-0	06-01 14:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?	2	$45	45	+45	open	—	04-26 07:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	2	$44	44	+44	open	—	05-27 03:59
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	2	$34	34	+34	open	—	04-22 07:29
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	04-15 00:31
bitcoin above 68k on april 17	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	04-16 06:11
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$27	27	+27	open	—	04-20 09:50
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	1	$26	27	+27	No	+$0	05-09 02:27
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	02-08 01:51
ethereum above 2200 on april 14	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	04-14 08:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	05-17 04:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	05-02 00:00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-23 02:10
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	04-26 22:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	05-20 17:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	2	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-02 23:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	1	$22	22	+22	open	—	05-23 06:51
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-13 12:03
Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-18 03:08
Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	06-01 14:40
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	04-11 20:59
will ethereum dip to 1600 in january 2026 383	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	01-09 02:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	1	$19	19	+19	Yes	+$0	05-11 12:58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$18	19	+19	open	—	05-11 23:07
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	04-15 22:58
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	01-13 00:01
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	04-13 09:41
2026 texas childrens houston open winner johnny keefer win	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	03-28 00:57
2026 rbc heritage winner kurt kitayama win	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	04-18 09:22
ethereum above 2400 on april 12	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	04-12 03:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	05-19 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:12:39	bitcoin above 76k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81caa4…
06-01 14:40:14	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x92345e…
05-27 18:07:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaf7c4a…
05-27 03:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd6c41c…
05-26 00:04:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0333d5…
05-23 06:51:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x295fba…
05-23 02:10:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x108f9e…
05-21 17:05:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x858b07…
05-21 07:56:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc3abe1…
05-20 17:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4d0c0a…
05-19 21:51:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x482c35…
05-19 09:40:03	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9bd66a…
05-19 04:29:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8af97e…
05-17 04:36:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdd1038…
05-13 09:59:17	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd56bff…
05-11 23:07:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0xa99028…
05-11 12:58:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x95ed87…
05-09 02:27:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xd40289…
05-03 19:47:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb0404a…
05-02 23:58:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x608167…
05-02 17:36:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa4352…
05-02 00:00:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x667be6…
04-27 14:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x12ef28…
04-27 08:59:28	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x00f695…
04-26 22:32:44	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0fed29…
04-26 07:47:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe46e08…
04-26 04:34:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xca1880…
04-24 05:44:24	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6a61b3…
04-22 07:29:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1a32a7…
04-21 23:13:50	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6cc19…
04-21 19:06:06	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8a64b0…
04-21 08:47:44	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab9093…
04-20 09:50:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8a2756…
04-19 01:31:06	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 165 189	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63cc4a…
04-18 09:22:02	2026 rbc heritage winner kurt kitayama win	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x22b43f…
04-18 03:08:50	Will Dimitar Glavchev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xd70f2e…
04-17 05:11:22	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0098e5…
04-17 03:25:58	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x7da430…
04-16 06:11:30	bitcoin above 68k on april 17	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x80f940…
04-15 22:58:20	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt5 and 6pt0	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x78bc6b…
04-15 00:31:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc9f11f…
04-14 08:52:25	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 18c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6c5099…
04-14 08:02:39	ethereum above 2200 on april 14	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5a891d…
04-13 12:03:19	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 190 214	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6333df…
04-13 09:41:11	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8e8ad8…
04-12 03:43:15	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa2b6ef…
04-11 20:59:47	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x067bf9…
04-10 21:44:25	will ben griffin win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1008e4…
04-05 10:28:33	will bitcoin reach 72k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x99e647…
04-03 03:29:39	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb1821e…
03-31 06:06:27	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xede38c…
03-28 00:57:53	2026 texas childrens houston open winner johnny keefer win	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x35d0f2…
02-08 01:51:21	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa0d0d1…
01-13 00:01:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4942ff…
01-09 02:15:18	will ethereum dip to 1600 in january 2026 383	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x795a83…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	43	$93.6K	1,837	06-01 23:13
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	35	$753	244	06-06 01:03
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	20	$3.64K	2,267	04-17 14:25
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	19	$804	263	05-26 17:04
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	18	$7.53K	46	05-24 06:28
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	18	$915	19	05-27 16:21
Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd	18	$655	62	05-24 06:28
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	17	$33.4K	881	05-19 10:02