Disloyal-Vulture — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

148 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$236

$2.78K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-05 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 100% +$4

Other

45% 100% +$5

Politics

8% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No		+17	$17	100¢	$17	+$0	11-05 01:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?	2	$45	45	+45	No	+$0	04-26 07:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	2	$44	44	+44	Yes	+$0	05-27 03:59
bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	2	$36	36	+36	Yes	+$0	07-05 04:28
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	2	$34	34	+34	No	+$0	04-22 07:29
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$31	31	+31	No	+$0	10-28 20:47
ethereum above 1800 on august 12 2026	1	$31	31	+31	Yes	+$0	08-12 09:41
will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	07-17 17:16
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	08-29 19:24
will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	07-24 15:30
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-12 14:37
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	04-15 00:31
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	05-15 17:09
bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	07-06 05:30
bitcoin above 68k on april 17	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	04-16 06:11
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	09-03 12:43
Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	08-26 18:32
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	06-21 21:04
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	04-20 09:50
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	10-03 18:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	07-11 23:01
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	10-21 04:30
bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	1	$27	27	+27	Yes	+$0	08-22 02:22
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	1	$26	27	+27	No	+$0	05-09 02:27
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	02-08 01:51
ethereum above 2200 on april 14	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-14 08:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-17 04:36
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-09 09:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-02 00:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	06-21 17:41
will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	08-08 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 01:13:55	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa6ff45…
10-31 02:38:06	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x0f6257…
10-28 20:47:56	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8dae42…
10-23 20:19:57	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd58ee9…
10-21 12:23:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x539408…
10-21 04:30:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe7f4a3…
10-18 05:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xa7d4aa…
10-17 13:22:51	will bitcoin reach 86k october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x632d5a…
10-13 01:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x244763…
10-12 14:37:23	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9fa789…
10-09 19:09:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6c89be…
10-05 15:51:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc42810…
10-03 18:36:02	Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa49827…
10-02 18:08:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe18129…
09-29 09:16:11	Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5d4f2a…
09-26 10:43:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 26?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x048c81…
09-26 08:25:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x259329…
09-23 23:59:59	Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd00336…
09-20 18:42:52	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x469cd4…
09-19 01:02:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x838a51…
09-12 17:16:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x1b4e84…
09-07 20:25:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x780390…
09-05 20:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9843cf…
09-03 22:34:27	Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6af97d…
09-03 12:43:13	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x901566…
08-29 19:24:15	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0384ce…
08-26 18:32:51	Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaef2a6…
08-23 16:33:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x15baa6…
08-22 02:22:36	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcede5d…
08-20 04:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x59572c…
08-17 11:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd79988…
08-13 14:17:42	will bitcoin reach 72k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6478e5…
08-12 09:41:36	ethereum above 1800 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x809f08…
08-10 00:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x07bdb2…
08-08 20:07:01	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3f1621…
08-06 12:30:33	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbf057d…
07-29 02:08:24	Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0x9821cb…
07-28 11:20:17	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x681831…
07-28 10:09:52	Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe0bc4f…
07-24 15:30:13	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfd0dbd…
07-21 21:39:04	Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2c6aca…
07-17 17:16:51	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x32996f…
07-15 15:20:43	bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x63386a…
07-14 15:26:11	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2952ab…
07-14 10:30:04	bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xce7e92…
07-13 02:35:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2a2d01…
07-11 23:01:38	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xf8bdf8…
07-11 18:40:55	Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x08a0da…
07-10 08:16:47	will bitcoin dip to 52k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2f2412…
07-09 03:36:19	bitcoin above 58k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbadf2c…
07-08 20:36:49	bitcoin above 56k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x1dfabb…
07-07 18:10:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe915f6…
07-06 05:30:32	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xec8eec…
07-05 04:28:08	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd2513c…
07-04 17:41:32	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1d751e…
07-04 00:46:25	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x16cc0f…
07-03 03:37:37	ethereum above 1500 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcec7ba…
07-02 03:36:05	ethereum above 1500 on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x935c55…
07-01 20:12:59	bitcoin above 68k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x870873…
07-01 06:45:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbbef8e…
06-30 17:43:07	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf85f4d…
06-29 18:38:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbeaf06…
06-25 06:18:17	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x880cc3…
06-24 08:55:53	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x12cc3e…
06-21 21:04:59	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x80df02…
06-21 17:41:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf7e020…
06-05 17:12:39	bitcoin above 76k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x81caa4…
06-02 03:30:02	Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x919da0…
06-01 19:26:04	Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x30cb29…
06-01 14:40:14	Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x92345e…
05-29 19:14:24	Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x910969…
05-29 08:35:48	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe06c25…
05-28 11:46:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa73650…
05-28 04:55:29	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa98672…
05-27 18:07:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaf7c4a…
05-27 03:59:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd6c41c…
05-26 00:04:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0333d5…
05-25 07:28:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc204ad…
05-23 13:00:10	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1f7208…
05-23 06:51:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x295fba…
05-23 02:10:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x108f9e…
05-21 21:59:05	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1aa8ed…
05-21 17:05:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x858b07…
05-21 07:56:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc3abe1…
05-20 17:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4d0c0a…
05-20 07:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xc0e52b…
05-19 21:51:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x482c35…
05-19 09:53:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1a4f95…
05-19 09:40:03	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9bd66a…
05-19 04:29:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x8af97e…
05-18 07:25:29	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5e5a74…
05-18 03:28:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x4435d4…
05-17 20:18:15	Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x28141b…
05-17 04:36:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdd1038…
05-15 17:09:11	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x5182ab…
05-15 15:11:26	Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf891de…
05-15 02:02:23	Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd89d3f…
05-14 13:26:58	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x06e866…
05-13 09:59:17	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd56bff…
05-12 13:42:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3693f2…