Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.17K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

494

lifetime

Volume

$6.19M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12.5K

Open exposure

$72.7K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-16 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$15,728

Other

22% 100% +$12,410

Crypto

6% 100% +$3,222

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+77,777	$73,888	94¢	$72.7K	-$1,167	10-16 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$670.8K	672,788	+672,788	Yes	+$2,018	06-17 18:41
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	11	$449.6K	450,000	+450,000	Yes	+$450	04-14 19:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	1	$449.6K	450,000	+450,000	Yes	+$450	04-18 00:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	47	$449.1K	450,000	+450,000	No	+$900	04-01 16:57
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	42	$402.3K	403,170	+403,170	No	+$853	01-20 16:38
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	67	$392.4K	392,796	+392,796	No	+$393	05-22 08:35
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$374.6K	377,777	+377,777	No	+$3,222	06-02 16:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	43	$343.9K	345,416	+345,416	Yes	+$1,508	04-09 04:57
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$299.7K	300,000	+300,000	Yes	+$300	03-25 00:38
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$299.1K	300,000	+300,000	No	+$900	04-29 18:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	30	$284.7K	286,399	+286,399	Yes	+$1,691	04-07 23:50
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	6	$265.3K	265,782	+265,782	Yes	+$532	10-16 17:03
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	10	$199.8K	200,000	+200,000	No	+$200	04-06 05:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$196.7K	197,511	+197,511	Yes	+$790	01-31 16:13
will iran strike israel on march 6	6	$191.3K	191,486	+191,486	No	+$191	03-12 00:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	11	$175.5K	178,539	+178,539	No	+$3,030	03-26 21:22
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	65	$157.9K	158,076	+158,076	No	+$158	01-05 00:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	20	$134.3K	135,186	+135,186	No	+$867	01-30 20:06
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$116.9K	123,925	+123,925	Yes	+$7,047	04-29 02:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	47	$96.4K	99,999	+99,999	Yes	+$3,556	02-28 23:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	47	$79.3K	79,487	+79,487	Yes	+$159	03-13 00:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$73.9K	77,777	+77,777	open	—	10-16 16:49
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	15	$41.8K	42,000	+42,000	Yes	+$168	04-30 06:52
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$33.0K	34,924	+34,924	No	+$1,921	03-04 17:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	1	$7.6K	7,666	+7,666	Yes	+$56	04-08 00:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 17:03:52	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	14,265	100¢	$14,236	0x361136…
10-16 17:02:57	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x6c1458…
10-16 16:50:48	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	24,245	100¢	$24,197	0x261760…
10-16 16:49:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	77,777	95¢	$73,888	0x8bce5f…
10-16 16:45:10	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x00cf5b…
10-16 16:44:22	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	2,550	100¢	$2,545	0x15df30…
10-16 16:43:04	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	220,222	100¢	$219,782	0x5d22d3…
06-17 18:41:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	111,111	100¢	$110,778	0x501a65…
06-17 18:41:23	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,490	0x2b11dc…
06-17 18:41:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x626c14…
06-17 18:41:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6,667	100¢	$6,647	0xcb6ab9…
06-17 18:40:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e4973…
06-17 18:39:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x338f13…
06-17 18:39:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xea1b6f…
06-17 18:39:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9f6b70…
06-17 18:39:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x53a20d…
06-17 18:39:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0xb17574…
06-17 18:38:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	440,968	100¢	$439,645	0xbc85b9…
06-02 16:17:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	155,555	99¢	$153,999	0x496d28…
06-02 16:16:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111,111	99¢	$110,111	0x27f941…
06-02 15:34:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111,111	99¢	$110,444	0x112c59…
05-22 08:35:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	18,943	100¢	$18,924	0x7c3527…
05-22 08:34:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x0d3023…
05-22 08:26:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x60c9e9…
05-22 08:26:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	44,204	100¢	$44,160	0x5dbfca…
05-22 08:26:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x6d46db…
05-22 08:26:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	76,831	100¢	$76,755	0x72461c…
05-22 08:20:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0xa7bcc0…
05-22 08:12:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xfadf93…
05-22 08:09:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xb8b8b1…
05-22 08:09:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9b17ce…
05-22 08:07:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x91574b…
05-22 08:07:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4029bc…
05-22 08:06:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xd0b10b…
05-22 08:06:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x04c3a9…
05-22 08:02:46	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x56bac1…
05-22 07:55:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,540	100¢	$1,538	0x3363b5…
05-22 07:53:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe05048…
05-22 07:53:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,990	100¢	$1,988	0x23b9f4…
05-22 07:45:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	13,000	100¢	$12,987	0x270364…
05-22 07:34:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	15,460	100¢	$15,445	0x0aaae4…
05-22 07:26:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xc4a697…
05-22 07:10:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8,045	100¢	$8,037	0x97cbc5…
05-22 07:03:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x943bdc…
05-22 07:01:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x396bad…
05-22 06:54:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8e52d8…
05-22 06:44:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd4f38e…
05-22 06:23:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf69bb3…
05-22 06:22:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x341106…
05-22 06:22:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x20fcb1…
05-22 06:21:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeda7fa…
05-22 06:20:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x443be0…
05-22 06:13:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xec5ab8…
05-22 06:13:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x4dbf6a…
05-22 06:11:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x28b4f3…
05-22 06:05:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xea7686…
05-22 06:05:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0xcf1f97…
05-22 05:57:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xdfb9f2…
05-22 05:50:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xf40627…
05-22 05:43:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x25b732…
05-22 05:37:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xd36f9d…
05-22 05:19:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,960	100¢	$1,958	0x1abbc6…
05-22 05:12:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x826161…
05-22 05:01:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2a2438…
05-22 04:59:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7b13c5…
05-22 04:55:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	33,000	100¢	$32,967	0x658c27…
05-22 04:49:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x30a1db…
05-22 04:49:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa2c1dc…
05-22 04:30:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x5a0ad9…
05-22 04:27:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x4b62d0…
05-22 04:23:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x602a8b…
05-22 04:22:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x06f5af…
05-22 04:21:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x463f98…
05-22 04:19:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5,900	100¢	$5,894	0xdda0e8…
05-22 04:14:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x1c5071…
05-22 04:12:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	28,520	100¢	$28,491	0x25825f…
05-22 04:10:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x8580ab…
05-22 04:08:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8,400	100¢	$8,392	0x2aa458…
05-22 04:08:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	9,510	100¢	$9,500	0x705e26…
05-22 04:08:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3,060	100¢	$3,057	0x5c8a8d…
05-22 04:06:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x0fc037…
05-22 04:04:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x2d2d1b…
05-22 04:03:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe0c575…
05-22 04:00:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xdac850…
05-22 04:00:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x9383ec…
05-22 03:52:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9d6fb7…
05-22 03:49:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd6be88…
05-22 03:48:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0xc2fc87…
04-30 06:52:12	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	21,235	100¢	$21,150	0x20372b…
04-30 06:47:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xdc3944…
04-30 06:46:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	740	100¢	$737	0xd05cdc…
04-30 06:43:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x5d9c4b…
04-30 06:40:10	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x39ad45…
04-30 06:39:40	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x1aef20…
04-30 06:37:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x4db336…
04-30 06:32:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xc3c75a…
04-30 06:29:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x500106…
04-30 06:29:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x98808c…
04-30 06:28:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,750	100¢	$1,743	0x2f85e8…
04-30 06:28:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,494	0x5fbe5c…