Realized P&L
-$3.01K
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
42.8%
Resolved
1,547
Trades
5,971
lifetime
Volume
$133.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$8.29K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
81% 37% -$646
Sports
14% 48% -$1,626
Tech
4% 0% -$702
Politics
1% 43% -$38
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +5,627 $2,177 37¢ $2.1K -$95 10-23 09:59
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +18,888 $443 8¢ $1.6K +$1,162 10-16 01:31
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,265 $1,076 91¢ $1.2K +$77 10-22 20:07
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +5,980 $1,854 18¢ $1.0K -$808 10-23 01:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +875 $656 81¢ $709 +$52 10-23 05:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,275 $444 24¢ $548 +$105 10-23 04:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +4,171 $1,055 12¢ $521 -$533 10-25 21:58
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +1,000 $330 34¢ $345 +$15 10-23 05:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +980 $206 22¢ $211 +$5 10-23 09:59
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? Yes +862 $56 5¢ $47 -$9 10-23 04:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +135 $8 17¢ $23 +$15 10-23 15:17